HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Mediocre patterns are prone to disappointment. You can call it bad luck but the atmosphere does not care about odds. Systems are getting shredded as they move East and the results are paltry precipitation moving into marginal air masses. They are not even train wrecks just slow derailment in the mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Love are some are ever the optimists. Some are pessimists and some just keep it real and roll with it. Love the assumption in that statement that the pessimists are the correct ones. 5 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2021 Share Posted December 28, 2021 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: Mediocre patterns are prone to disappointment. You can call it bad luck but the atmosphere does not care about odds. Systems are getting shredded as they move East and the results are paltry precipitation moving into marginal air masses. They are not even train wrecks just slow derailment in the mid-levels. That term bad luck is not part of weather. I’ve always hated that . If you want to say someone got lucky with a band for a white Xmas.. ok .. but in a pattern scheme.. luck is non existent. If it’s good it’s good and will deliver . If it’s bad.. it’s bad for a reason and it’s scientific not luck 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Radar looks good, too bad we didn't have last night's airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 18 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Radar looks good, too bad we didn't have last night's airmass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 19 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: Radar looks good, too bad we didn't have last night's airmass Pretty much a lot of virga anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 City landscape after a blizzard 11 years ago. This was my condo in Dorchester. Note those trash barrels haha. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Oh god, we need some snow, lest we start reminiscing about Boxing Day on the main thread 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Snowing lightly now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Just now, ineedsnow said: Snowing lightly now Maybe for the last time this winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 17 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Snowing lightly now Same here, very light, snizzly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 4 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: That term bad luck is not part of weather. I’ve always hated that . If you want to say someone got lucky with a band for a white Xmas.. ok .. but in a pattern scheme.. luck is non existent. If it’s good it’s good and will deliver . If it’s bad.. it’s bad for a reason and it’s scientific not luck Luck and due, same bad terms, agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Slush balls falling...... someone on a hilltop is probably getting it really good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Who's going to jack pot tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Same here, very light, snizzly started off light picking up now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: City landscape after a blizzard 11 years ago. This was my condo in Dorchester. Note those trash barrels haha. This.....used to make me nuts, we had a few inches of sand. How much is that ?? 2 feet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 close to moderate now everything turning white again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 10 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: close to moderate now everything turning white again Yeah BL was kind of torchy but we measurable now. Pretty good flakeage at present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, radarman said: Yeah BL was kind of torchy but we measurable now. Pretty good flakeage at present. Flakes are huge now definitely better than last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Picking up here too, just some white patches here and there. Im at 34. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 that band about to move in looks impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 48 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: This.....used to make me nuts, we had a few inches of sand. How much is that ?? 2 feet? Around 20”. I was at work in Andover so never got to measure but that’s my best guess. Officially 18” and change at Logan but I think my area was a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 A few minutes of drizzle and a couple of mangled flakes were it here. Times are tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2021 Author Share Posted December 29, 2021 7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: That term bad luck is not part of weather. I’ve always hated that . If you want to say someone got lucky with a band for a white Xmas.. ok .. but in a pattern scheme.. luck is non existent. If it’s good it’s good and will deliver . If it’s bad.. it’s bad for a reason and it’s scientific not luck Luck is involved in science...its called chaos and is the reason for variance. If there were no luck involved in science, then there would be no variance and similar variable would always lead to a similar outcome. But that isn't the case. This is why it's best to view patterns in a probabilisric sense, as opposed to anticipated outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 29, 2021 Author Share Posted December 29, 2021 I'm sorry, if you are a snow lover living in SNE and turned down a chance to repeat the 2009-2010 pattern for a season, then you are an idiot and should not reproduce. Period. Perfect example of bad luck in a good pattern. This year is an example of bad luck in an already relatively poor pattern. Not awful...however, the sensible result in terms of snowfall has been awful. This was not a Dec 2011 type of deplorable pattern. Unfortunately, it hasn't made much of a difference in terms of snowfall. Yes, it's still been warm, but normally a period of blocking like this will produce. We never had a chance in more hostile months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Around 20”. I was at work in Andover so never got to measure but that’s my best guess. Officially 18” and change at Logan but I think my area was a little better. Looks like lots of moisture in it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Luck is involved in science...its called chaos and is the reason for variance. If there were no luck involved in science, then there would be no variance and similar variable would always lead to a similar outcome. But that isn't the case. This is why it's best to view patterns in a probabilisric sense, as opposed to anticipated outcomes. Which all says your LR predictions can't predict chaos which means you are just lucky to get it right or unlucky to get it wrong. Your having an unlucky year hopefully your luck changes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Luck is involved in science...its called chaos and is the reason for variance. If there were no luck involved in science, then there would be no variance and similar variable would always lead to a similar outcome. But that isn't the case. This is why it's best to view patterns in a probabilisric sense, as opposed to anticipated outcomes. No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 5 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: A few minutes of drizzle and a couple of mangled flakes were it here. Times are tough. Ditto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 12 hours ago, powderfreak said: Love the assumption in that statement that the pessimists are the correct ones. Not sure how you came up with this response, but whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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