Baroclinic Zone Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Bunch of miserable SOBs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Bunch of miserable SOBs. I’m literal pretty positive about most stuff lol. I just don’t see what’s to like there? It’s a weakening shortwave that’s getting sent through the grinder. That looks more like snow showers to me as opposed to a solid arra of legitimate snow. I want it to work out as much as the next guy, but I’m not taking the cheese on one of these again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m literal pretty positive about most stuff lol. I just don’t see what’s to like there? It’s a weakening shortwave that’s getting sent through the grinder. That looks more like snow showers to me as opposed to a solid arra of legitimate snow. I want it to work out as much as the next guy, but I’m not taking the cheese on one of these again I’m just having fun. I’d be happy with an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’m literal pretty positive about most stuff lol. I just don’t see what’s to like there? It’s a weakening shortwave that’s getting sent through the grinder. That looks more like snow showers to me as opposed to a solid arra of legitimate snow. I want it to work out as much as the next guy, but I’m not taking the cheese on one of these again We're bumping this post when you start making optimistic posts at 00z about that system. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We're bumping this post when you start making optimistic posts at 00z about that system. Fair …. Given the look though, might not be anything to bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 55 minutes ago, George001 said: Nope, my forecast busted again. I do think we get a couple of blizzards later in the winter though. The pattern change is getting delayed more than I thought. happens every year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 @CoastalWxremember this storm? I was just thinking of this one because the pattern kind of reminded me of it.....if oneof these shortwaves works out, it might look like this....you have this zonal -PNA flow running into a NAO block. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1995/us1214.php 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 50 minutes ago, weathafella said: Paradise Ranger Station (which I visited in June 1990) begs to differ. To thnk the Cascades don’t get too much snow is to not know the area at all. I skied at Timberline Lodge on Memorial Day weekend in 1999 and they had a 200" base at lodge level. Paradise Lodge broke the national snowfall record with 1,140" of snow in a 12 month season. Unfortunately I don't have any pictures because I used my video camera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: @CoastalWxremember this storm? I was just thinking of this one because the pattern kind of reminded me of it.....if oneof these shortwaves works out, it might look like this....you have this zonal -PNA flow running into a NAO block. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1995/us1214.php I remember it! The first serious dump (widespread 6-12) that year. Then we had some OES and didnt Weymouth get 18-24 total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: what website is that graphic from? it's cute I made the graphic from a wxbell image 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I made the graphic from a wxbell image ahhh should have guessed that was wxbell. I've been looking for a new subscription place. debating between wxbell and F5. weathermodels blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: @CoastalWxremember this storm? I was just thinking of this one because the pattern kind of reminded me of it.....if oneof these shortwaves works out, it might look like this....you have this zonal -PNA flow running into a NAO block. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1995/us1214.php It's really sad when we have to resort to "name that storm" in the December thread. Also, have a wicked good Solstice everyone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: ahhh should have guessed that was wxbell. I've been looking for a new subscription place. debating between wxbell and F5. weathermodels blows Yea, I just took an EPS H5 image from xmas and annotated. Wxbell has better graphics, but F5 has the Narcan snowmaps, nice simulated radar and Long range Ukmet plus ensembles. I would go w F5 bc wxbell maybe redundant for you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: @CoastalWxremember this storm? I was just thinking of this one because the pattern kind of reminded me of it.....if oneof these shortwaves works out, it might look like this....you have this zonal -PNA flow running into a NAO block. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1995/us1214.php Ha, I do remember. We actually got borderline temp wise where I lived but I think I had solid 7 or 8 inches if I recall correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: I remember it! The first serious dump (widespread 6-12) that year. Then we had some OES and didnt Weymouth get 18-24 total? That was the storm on the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: It seems taboo but I have this weird fascination with spending one Christmas of my life in a hot, tropical place with palm trees. That’s not DFW but sort of reminded me with the temperatures. Just to see how that climo part of the world experiences Xmas. Air conditioning while opening packages must be a trip. Umm did last Christmas not count? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: That was the storm on the 20th. No. The 18th was kind of a disappointment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That was the storm on the 20th. That's the winter I learned of OES. I couldn't figure out why in the hell Shelby Scott kept going to the south shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I just took an EPS H5 image from xmas and annotated. Wxbell has better graphics, but F5 has the Narcan snowmaps, nice simulated radar and Long range Ukmet plus ensembles. I would go w F5 bc wxbell maybe redundant for you I am heavily leaning towards F5. I loved alot of what they offered and the graphics were great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's the winter I learned of OES. I couldn't figure out why in the hell Shelby Scott kept going to the south shore Wasn’t that 94? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: No. The 18th was kind of a disappointment The storm on the 19th and 20th had a narrow area of coastal front enhancement near Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Wasn’t that 94? Oh, I just looked at the date on the image. I thought you were talking about 94...though 95-96 had it, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, I just looked at the date on the image. I thought you were talking about 94...though 95-96 had it, too I was sort of just too far SW where I lived on the west side of Brockton. We sometimes got CF enhancement, but that CJ event in Feb ‘94 gave areas like 7 miles east of me as crow flies double the amount. That was triggering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Ha, I do remember. We actually got borderline temp wise where I lived but I think I had solid 7 or 8 inches if I recall correctly. That was a bust too. Original forecast was for like 1-3/2-4 the 48 hours leading into it. They upped it that morning (like 4 hours before start time) to like 3-6” but it ended up being widespread 6-9”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Congrats on the 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Congrats on the 18z gfs That’s a bigger solution through the heart of New England. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Gfs would work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Better than the 12z for sure.. 5 days out though...lots of flopping ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Better than the 12z for sure.. 5 days out though...lots of flopping ahead 5?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: 5?? For the 26th... I guess 4.5 is more like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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