dendrite Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 The euro has a little under 0.50" of glop tomorrow morning for the Lakes Region. Congrats CAR. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm not upset...you said there was nothing wrong with it, and I agreed, but stated it was OT. Fact. Well should my post with the tweet from Eric Fisher be moved?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Well should my post with the tweet from Eric Fisher be moved?? No. Teleconnections are one thing that does directly impact our weather. However, direct posts pertaining to the sensible weather of a locale 3,000 miles away defeats the purpose of subforums. Make it all one forum, then. Truth be told, I couldn't give two shits about OT, but since people are going to needle the shit out of us about troll posts being "factual", that post was technically OT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No. Teleconnections are one thing that does directly impact our weather. However, direct posts pertaining to the sensible weather of a locale 3,000 miles away defeats the purpose of subforums. Make it all one forum, then. Truth be told, I couldn't give two shits about OT, but since people are going to needle the shit out of us about troll posts being "factual", that post was technically OT. So you view his post as "needling"??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Euro has some light snow early on the 24th. Pretty cold so may be able to get decent ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: So you view his post as "needling"??? No, I viewed it as OT. You wanna mention how it will be more difficult to get snow here due to record RNA...have at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 5 hours ago, MJO812 said: Euro mjo stalls out even longer in 7 and now the gefs does the same also. Hmm... ya know folks should really get into the habit of reading the weekly PDF publications that come along with the CPC's RMM graphics. Their summations are on point by Meteorologist, and they offer some crucial insights and suggestions that both enlighten present circumstances/implicaitons, but also as a learning tool? Not trying to be condescending ...but it may help - this was released yesterday, and they tend to date these PDF's at the first of every business week. They begin with these paragraph summations of "key take-aways" ..but they files contain depth, with other graphs relating Kelvin waves and SSTs ...and La Nina interference scaling. I've bold some aspects below that I found intriguing for this week's • MJO indices continue to depict an enhanced West Pacific signal, and upper-level velocity potentialanomalies show the enhanced phase crossing the central Pacific.• The amplitude of the MJO has decreased, and the RMM-based MJO index depicts little eastwardpropagation over the past week due to interference from the La Niña base state and Rossby waveactivity.• The GEFS and ECMWF ensembles depict persistent enhancement over the West Pacific, withlittle to no eastward propagation. It is possible that this signal may reflect a temporary weakeningof the La Niña atmospheric response.• There is considerable uncertainty regarding the potential for this MJO event to remain coherent asit crosses the Pacific. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Hmm... ya know folks should really get into the habit of reading the weekly PDF publications that come along with the CPC's RMM graphics. Their summations are on point by Meteorologist, and they offer some crucial insights and suggestions that both enlighten present circumstances/implicaitons, but also as a learning tool? Not trying to be condescending ...but it may help - this was released yesterday, and they tend to date these PDF's at the first of every business week. They begin with these paragraph summations of "key take-aways" ..but they files contain depth, with other graphs relating Kelvin waves and SSTs ...and La Nina interference scaling. I've bold some aspects below that I found intriguing for this week's • MJO indices continue to depict an enhanced West Pacific signal, and upper-level velocity potentialanomalies show the enhanced phase crossing the central Pacific.• The amplitude of the MJO has decreased, and the RMM-based MJO index depicts little eastwardpropagation over the past week due to interference from the La Niña base state and Rossby waveactivity.• The GEFS and ECMWF ensembles depict persistent enhancement over the West Pacific, withlittle to no eastward propagation. It is possible that this signal may reflect a temporary weakeningof the La Niña atmospheric response.• There is considerable uncertainty regarding the potential for this MJO event to remain coherent asit crosses the Pacific. It may never make it to phase 8....always suspected that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Merry Christmas 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Merry Christmas Little bit of light snow near dawn. Maybe mix in areas SW SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 So...Euro is near 90 in Dallas on Christmas. W.T.F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Little bit of light snow near dawn. Maybe mix in areas SW SNE. Yea, I saw the caption and expected to see a storm...hope Rodolph can guide the sleigh through heavy virga. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Little bit of light snow near dawn. Maybe mix in areas SW SNE. Flakes on Christmas is a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: So...Euro is near 90 in Dallas on Christmas. W.T.F. It seems taboo but I have this weird fascination with spending one Christmas of my life in a hot, tropical place with palm trees. That’s not DFW but sort of reminded me with the temperatures. Just to see how that climo part of the world experiences Xmas. Air conditioning while opening packages must be a trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Little bit of light snow near dawn. Maybe mix in areas SW SNE. PRetty weak sauce...but at least flakes on both Xmas and Xmas eve might be enough to grab an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Will morph into mostly cloudy both days . Wood chipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Flakes on Christmas is a win If your xmas tree extends up to H5 it will be very festive. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: PRetty weak sauce...but at least flakes on both Xmas and Xmas eve might be enough to grab an inch or two. Looks like less than that to me, but possible, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like less than that to me, but possible, I guess. Don’t want to say told you, Told you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It seems taboo but I have this weird fascination with spending one Christmas of my life in a hot, tropical place with palm trees. That’s not DFW but sort of reminded me with the temperatures. Just to see how that climo part of the world experiences Xmas. Air conditioning while opening packages must be a trip. Not Christmas, but I've been to the USVIs and in SW FL right after Christmas. Kind of cool seeing palm trees all lit up with Christmas lights. I wouldn't mind opening gifts and going to a beach bar to rip back a few pain killers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Don’t want to say told you, Told you Go for a jog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Don’t want to say told you, Told you I never doubted it...I'm with you on not jumping onto anything until its imminent. This is a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like less than that to me, but possible, I guess. Xmas eve might actually be pretty fluffy if we can even wring out like 0.05-0.10....Xmas day still seems like it could be a bit heavier than shown there, but admittedly a total whiff wouldn't surprise me either. The model guidance has been struggling badly with the NAO block and the PNA firehose out west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro has some light snow early on the 24th. Pretty cold so may be able to get decent ratios. 200:1 for jspin? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Xmas eve might actually be pretty fluffy if we can even wring out like 0.05-0.10....Xmas day still seems like it could be a bit heavier than shown there, but admittedly a total whiff wouldn't surprise me either. The model guidance has been struggling badly with the NAO block and the PNA firehose out west. I'd be more enthused if my inch or crust wasn't melting as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 We can't even get a strong storm in this pattern . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 Should be a fun Christmas dinner in the Wood household with bare ground and his daughter bringing home the boyfriend with two holes cut in the bottom of his ears. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 Man, did I miss the mark this month. That record RNA just hosed the whole period....one of the most frustrating months of December that I can recall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I never doubted it...I'm with you on not jumping onto anything until its imminent. This is a mess. Took one look at 5 this morning and couid tell it was going right to the shredder . NAO only help NNE in general Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: We can't even get a strong storm in this pattern . You will when that shifts east a bit. Again....after Christmas and towards NY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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