dryslot Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Looks to be a slick treacherous day Wednesday on the coastal plain It does right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Euro not really biting on Christmas Eve yet..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 hours ago, weatherwiz said: This system actually has a pretty well defined inverted trough feature. Not just defined at the sfc either but pretty stout well through the llvls. Also looks like there may be multiple llvl convergence zones at play here. northern tip of Maine where nobody lives may do well. Now I feel better. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, Spanks45 said: Euro not really biting on Christmas Eve yet..... It looks south of 00z for both days at the moment, so that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Euro is weak sauce and north with the Xmas eve shortwave...maybe a dusting for some folks in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 I think i would rather have the one on the 25th anyways if you had a choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Def gonna be south of 00z for Xmas though as Scooter said... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: It looks south of 00z for both days at the moment, so that's good. Hopefully this doesn't end up as days of clouds and drizzle....otherwise, clear everything out and have some sun for the holiday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 To bad the air mass is so iffy though for the 24-25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: To bad the air mass is so iffy though for the 24-25th. Airmass is decent for 12/24....but questionable for 12/25. IF 12/24 comes in south, that also helps for 12/25. There's several moving parts...12/22 affects these too. Euro run is south of 00z for 12/25 but still too far north for most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Nice little refresher up here with insitu CAD in place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Maybe the reindeer farting will add some additional nuclei into the atmosphere to help with the snow. Or maybe they'll pee and moistening it up a bit b/c regardless of what QPF looks like it's very dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, weatherwiz said: Maybe the reindeer farting will add some additional nuclei into the atmosphere to help with the snow. Or maybe they'll pee and moistening it up a bit b/c regardless of what QPF looks like it's very dry Or maybe they'll crash and shake things up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Airmass is decent for 12/24....but questionable for 12/25. IF 12/24 comes in south, that also helps for 12/25. There's several moving parts...12/22 affects these too. Euro run is south of 00z for 12/25 but still too far north for most of SNE. 24th looks moisture starved so mainly a dusting unless it can gather some moisture coming across the lakes, 25th seems to push the warmer air out ahead of it but does have more moisture to work with too, But the eventual tracks for these are TBD, But there is a lot of time left to see how it all shakes out once the 22nd system gets resolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Euro is rain Christmas down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 I have never seen so much going on and so little happening. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Congrats downeast ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I hate to see what happens when the euro has nothing for the 24th and rain for the 25th. Bold prediction. 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Euro is rain Christmas down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: 24th looks moisture starved so mainly a dusting unless it can gather some moisture coming across the lakes, 25th seems to push the warmer air out ahead of it but does have more moisture to work with too, But the eventual tracks for these are TBD, But there is a lot of time left to see how it all shakes out once the 22nd system gets resolved. 24th could give a couple inches if the energy ejected is a little stronger ala GFS (lesser extent the GGEM)....Euro and Ukie are pretty weak with it...not a good kink in the isoheights. The stronger the shortwave on the 24th, the colder Xmas will be too because it lowers the heights behind it a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have never seen so much going on and so little happening. Death by a thousand paper cuts. A crappy 24th leads to a crappy 25th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 24th could give a couple inches if the energy ejected is a little stronger ala GFS (lesser extent the GGEM)....Euro and Ukie are pretty weak with it...not a good kink in the isoheights. The stronger the shortwave on the 24th, the colder Xmas will be too because it lowers the heights behind it a bit. This is true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 15 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Hopefully this doesn't end up as days of clouds and drizzle....otherwise, clear everything out and have some sun for the holiday This. I wouldn’t mind a day of sun and 40s if the alternative is 3 straight piece of junk systems with marginal air masses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Death by a thousand paper cuts. A crappy 24th leads to a crappy 25th I'm just going to wait until tomorrow and see how everything looks. I am so sick of blogging for like .2" of snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 at least sun is starting to set later now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm just going to wait until tomorrow and see how everything looks. I am so sick of blogging for like .2" of snowfall. It also didn't quite phase or have the storm as intense on the 22 which is sort of a key thing too. But, I am sort of encouraged to see the other guidance show some holiday cheer and I'm waiting to see what the EPS does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, weatherwiz said: at least sun is starting to set later now I have no doubt the season is going to get going, but I am so exhausted by the early portion of this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, weatherwiz said: at least sun is starting to set later now One day closer to May 1st. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It also didn't quite phase or have the storm as intense on the 22 which is sort of a key thing too. But, I am sort of encouraged to see the other guidance show some holiday cheer and I'm waiting to see what the EPS does Euro has been off its game too, So will have to wait a couple more cycles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Euro has been off its game too, So will have to wait a couple more cycles. South shift on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Euro has been off its game too, So will have to wait a couple more cycles. Euro can eat it. I haven't been impressed at all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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