weatherwiz Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Nice 2-4'' across eastern sections Wednesday..... of rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Looks like BOX only has two blizzard warnings in December since 2005 (2009 and 2010). And none since 2018. We probably get more ASOS stations verifying severe than they do blizzard criteria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Congrats Maine on the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 There are too many George Costanza gifs to choose from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Nice 2-4'' across eastern sections Wednesday..... of rain We do need the rain, so… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Have a tee time at old Scotland links in Bridgewater Friday morning. Shouldn’t be too bad 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 NAM has rays miller b east on Wednesday…: except it’s pouring rain. What a kick in the nads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Low was 7.0°F this morning, A little snow pack makes a difference. LEW's UHI. Dipped to -3 here. Hoping the firs will remain loaded thru Wednesday morning for the grandkids to see, as there hasn't been a flake at their SNJ home. They're planning to arrive tomorrow, but it will be after dark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: We do need the rain, so… It's so freaking pathetic how we can't get anything to work right for us. Actually have a decent shot for some phasing for once (and closer t o "perfect" than we've had) and what happens...we have a shitty airmass. So much for a "negative NAO". This just further proves that there is alot more to things than whatever phase a certain teleconnection is in. The structure and where core anomalies are situated are a million times more important than whatever something is just positive or negative. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 What will Ray do when that washes away his white Christmas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: NAM has rays miller b east on Wednesday…: except it’s pouring rain. What a kick in the nads If only we had a better pna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It's so freaking pathetic how we can't get anything to work right for us. Actually have a decent shot for some phasing for once (and closer t o "perfect" than we've had) and what happens...we have a shitty airmass. So much for a "negative NAO". This just further proves that there is alot more to things than whatever phase a certain teleconnection is in. The structure and where core anomalies are situated are a million times more important than whatever something is just positive or negative. This proves that the Pacific is more important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Needless to say kind of an interesting pattern developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Sloppy phase will screw most of us out of what could have been a decent snow event. Grinch is still in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This proves that the Pacific is more important. Anytime the pattern isn't perfect, there is a chance that it doesn't work out, but there are plenty of instances of RNA/-NAO working out around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2021 Author Share Posted December 20, 2021 Hell, sometimes perfect patterns don't bare fruit. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Anytime the pattern isn't perfect, there is a chance that it doesn't work out, but there are plenty of instances of RNA/-NAO working out around here. You just can’t have the pna so negative. A weak pna would have made a huge difference in this current pattern 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This proves that the Pacific is more important. I do agree the Pacific does hold more weight overall, however, that's not always 100% definitive. There are times where (b/c of our latitude...more us than you) that the Arctic can be a significant influence. At the end of the day there are alot more factors and influences to consider than just Arctic/Pacific but those are the go to b/c they're "easy to assess". But in this case and to your previous post...a better positioned PNA would have could have helped but I think the evolution of that southern stream s/w is what gets us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Hell, sometimes perfect patterns don't bare fruit. Exactly...getting a perfect pattern is one piece, getting pieces to time right is another 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Tuesday night and Wednesday is a funky adventure into chances for a mixed bag clipping my neighborhood. This has just come into better focus today and I am going to acknowledge there really is a slight chance of snow with this. I am not the only person who thinks this. Not much if any, but what if the current air mass is not fully appreciated. There’s a low of 29 Tuesday night where I live and I’m off Wednesday. It’s not entirely impossible. NAM throws no bones though, but it was quite chilly this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Anytime the pattern isn't perfect, there is a chance that it doesn't work out, but there are plenty of instances of RNA/-NAO working out around here. I've said it before and I'll say it again....many of our most prolific stretches have come during -PNA/-NAO patterns. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 That NAM run, perfect track and deformation rains. You have to laugh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 That was George's blizzard, only it occurs at 7,000ft above sea level. Just missed it. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That NAM run, perfect track and deformation rains. You have to laugh. Having a primary low up in lake huron is pretty useless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Is the majority of the initial cyclogenesis tied into the beginning of phasing or perhaps more of a byproduct of the gulf Stream? Maybe that northern stream vort is just a bit too strong as well here but this stupid zonal flow we have right now is probably the ultimate demise. nice airmass overhead now but that quickly gets shunted east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 52 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Wait... James?? I was thinking the exact same thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 57 minutes ago, George001 said: From what I saw on the models I’m going to double down, I will be surprised if we get out of December without a 12+ inch storm in eastern mass. I believed in that last week, and I’m not going to give up over a couple bad OP runs. i believe in Santa, but that doesn't mean that he is going to plummet down my chimney on Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 49 minutes ago, MJO812 said: He passed away Truly as shame. His enthusiasm will be missed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: Truly as shame. His enthusiasm will be missed. I'm currently reading his book that he wrote. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Having a primary low up in lake huron is pretty useless. Yep, the airmass ahead of it just is putrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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