CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 18 minutes ago, weathafella said: The thing about winter is you just don’t know what is going to play out. So today anything is possible including epicosity or total ratter. I’ll be happy if one of two work out between Saturday night and Monday/Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’ll be happy if one of two work out between Saturday night and Monday/Tuesday. Yea, I highly doubt both work out, but one has a good shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I highly doubt both work out, but one has a good shot. Just don't want first system to redevelop too late but be strong enough to screw up the dynamics of system #2. I guess that is more of a worry for those of us further inland though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, I highly doubt both work out, but one has a good shot. Two never happens. It’ll be one or other …. If it happens…They always split the difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Just don't want first system to redevelop too late but be strong enough to screw up the dynamics of system #2. I guess that is more of a worry for those of us further inland though. It's a valid concern for everyone...just be on the look out for the inverter trough like crap because that will be the kiss of death that something like that will probably take place. There will be several posters lurking around the thread from that point forward playing "pin the tail on the delusion", but don't be one of them. Get out, and if you're pleasantly suprised, great. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Two never happens. It’ll be one or other …. If it happens…They always split the difference It can, but rare...like norluns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Yes over the years, The 12/5 date has produced over the years. Less so in my memory - nice events 3-4-5 in 1989 and 2007 but 6-7/03 is easily tops for 1st week Dec. NNJ memories of big Dec snowstorms begin with 11-12/1960, 18" at low teens for the deer season opener - learned to field dress on dad's 5-pointer. Nearest to serious hypothermia came on 12/4/1965 at my uncle's N. PA hunting camp. 4° at sunrise, but it was the day's final hours that did it, plus inadequate clothing. Temp never topped 15 and I sat for 2+ hours facing NW into strong winds and some light LES before heading back to camp. Was okay for dinner but the instant I stepped outside afterwards the heavy shivering resumed, and continued throughout the 4-hour drive home, while dad and uncle C roasted in the front seat. Only the warm bath at home stopped it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It can, but rare...like norluns. Norluns are more likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's a valid concern for everyone...just be on the look out for the inverter trough like crap because that will be the kiss of death that something like that will probably take place. There will be several posters lurking around the thread from that point forward playing "pin the tail on the delusion", but don't be one of them. Get out, and if you're pleasantly suprised, great. I bet some of the H5 looks will be fantastic though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's a valid concern for everyone...just be on the look out for the inverter trough like crap because that will be the kiss of death that something like that will probably take place. There will be several posters lurking around the thread from that point forward playing "pin the tail on the delusion", but don't be one of them. Get out, and if you're pleasantly suprised, great. I could have used this yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Hounds be howlin 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Dec 2019 I had 2 12” events within 24 hours. They were sorta parts of the same system though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Norluns are more likely Not in any one spot within SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 43 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Dec 2019 I had 2 12” events within 24 hours. They were sorta parts of the same system though. Ya, that was the same system for sure Dave. But I remember the ones Will mentioned…especially the twin Feb 94 systems. 93-94 was a record breaking and special winter though, so it fit the narrative that season for sure. They do happen, so ya can’t say they never happen, but as Ray said it’s rare. And you can certainly hedge your bets against anything like that happening most of the time. But one of these times it will happen again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Hounds be howlin The best and most realistic charts you’ve posted since last winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The best and most realistic charts you’ve posted since last winter With all that snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Charts, hips, and lips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: With all that snow? Well he’d post those ones in summer with 10 days of Coc k which would end up verifying 7 days of dews over 70 and tstorms . This is much more realistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well he’d post those ones in summer with 10 days of Coc k which would end up verifying 7 days of dews over 70 and tstorms . This is much more realistic Saturday night on is questionable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Really need to get rid of that positive EPO. We can still work with a -PNA but please get rid of that positive EPO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Saturday night on is questionable. I think it ends up being Sunday or Sunday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said: In Hamden? How much did you get? I was in Boston then. I don't think Hamden got much, maybe 8-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Do we have a thread for December 6th? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 49 minutes ago, Hoth said: I was in Boston then. I don't think Hamden got much, maybe 8-10". They might have had a lil more than that. I know it skipped to the east with the real huge amounts, but I had 13-14” here, which compared to eastern CT paled in comparison obviously. But in ‘13 Hamden jackpotted and was totally buried with the big 40” total from the February 2013 Blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 18z GFS was a snooze fest, interspersed with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Yeah… 18z gfs lost the Saturday deal and basically has a Rainer every few days after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Lol…well at 5 days out(Saturday) we knew that was coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well he’d post those ones in summer with 10 days of Coc k which would end up verifying 7 days of dews over 70 and tstorms . This is much more realistic Lie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 hours ago, leo2000 said: Really need to get rid of that positive EPO. We can still work with a -PNA but please get rid of that positive EPO. Agree but I expect that to be the case often this season, especially the first half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Saturday night on is questionable. Posting model output is not forecasting but some don't understand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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