Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: The woods behind my house has a ton of oaks...so even though I had the yard pristine 3 weeks ago, there are a lot of stragglers that blew leaves into the yard. Really annoying actually.... But anyways, EPS going full nuclear into January is nice: Fwiw - I don't see any difference wrt to the GEFs that offer much distraction. Both EPS/GEFs means even quasi manifest a polar cut flow ...centered ~ D10 . As is typically the case ... by 300 hours the mean starts to look increasingly annular around the hemisphere, bleeding out the nodes toward entropy ..etc. But, there are still vestiges of the D10 echoing through the disarray of those vast extended frames... so.. short version? cross guidance support about as far as can be seen in the future... That looks like an emerging threat for an arctic outbreak like old school - that's the scaffolding anyway.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 33 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: Will, What are your thoughts on the southern Greens for the weekend, Stratton/Mount Snow? Those two mountains could use a really meaty snowfall with some sleet mixed in. I’d assume they have zero base left even up high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 30 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Nothing better than being with a beautiful lady while its S+ outside, best of both worlds. Like walking back home in college at UVM in Burlington at 2am while it’s dumping with a girl…. ”You seem cheery, you excited I invited you back to my place for the night?” “Sure, but I’m also stoked the flow is blocked and the snow has backed up into the Champlain Valley…” 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 What's happening in the heart of the country now is absolutely wild. The videos are epic. I guess some wildfires going too I know, right! 107 mph in CO!!. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 Looking at some of the particular details in the PP/mass field behavior... It wouldn't shock me if this thing were to labor toward mixing, then a "tuck" jet swooshes SW and formulates a more proper rain/snow line that bows into RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 Hoping we can bring this south a little.. I hate being right on the line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 51 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: Will, What are your thoughts on the southern Greens for the weekend, Stratton/Mount Snow? I think that is a great spot. Prob at least high end advisory snows (4-6”) but could be a bit more. We’ll see how this trends in the final couple days. My gut is this bumps a little north but maybe becomes juicier. Hopefully no ZR there. Sleet isn’t a big deal for the resorts if that happens for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 26 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: What's happening in the heart of the country now is absolutely wild. The videos are epic. I guess some wildfires going too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Looking at some of the particular details in the PP/mass field behavior... It wouldn't shock me if this thing were to labor toward mixing, then a "tuck" jet swooshes SW and formulates a more proper rain/snow line that bows into RI Hmmmm not seeing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: absolutely unreal. you could be outside enjoying the beautiful December day with sun peaking through, run inside to use the bathroom for 2 minutes, and go back out and trees are down everywhere and the sun is back out 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: absolutely unreal. you could be outside enjoying the beautiful December day with sun peaking through, run inside to use the bathroom for 2 minutes, and go back out and trees are down everywhere and the sun is back out New England weather is boring AF. Give me a break with the “harsh” New England weather nonsense. We have no severe, no canes, and ok some snow. Big deal compared to what these other places get. I know there is the one in 20 year cane and some nor’easters......but we have it easy when you think of it. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 18z GEFS did tick south... it keeps increasing that RT 2 area in MA the past couple runs. It is world's different than some other guidance though in terms of the warm air advection and precipitation amounts across the north country. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: New England weather is boring AF. Give me a break with the “harsh” New England weather nonsense. We have no severe, no canes, and ok some snow. Big deal compared to what these other places get. I know there is the one in 20 year cane and some nor’easters......but we have it easy when you think of it. We were talking about that the other day in the office... how ice storms and occasional high wind or flash flooding is a "threat" here... but no matter what, those who experience TOR threats on the regular are on a whole other level. Tornadoes, high-end severe storms, and hurricanes are the apex predators of the weather world. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: New England weather is boring AF. Give me a break with the “harsh” New England weather nonsense. We have no severe, no canes, and ok some snow. Big deal compared to what these other places get. I know there is the one in 20 year cane and some nor’easters......but we have it easy when you think of it. Absolutely agreed...100%. Our weather is quite tame when you look at other parts of the country. I mean when they get blizzards in the Plains...they get blizzards. Portions of highways will be shut down and the videos are absolutely wild. Visibility is zero. These places make our snow look meh and they certainly make our severe weather look even more meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Absolutely agreed...100%. Our weather is quite tame when you look at other parts of the country. I mean when they get blizzards in the Plains...they get blizzards. Portions of highways will be shut down and the videos are absolutely wild. Visibility is zero. These places make our snow look meh and they certainly make our severe weather look even more meh We’ll to be fair…the Plains is the Severe Capital of the world! But ya…our weather is benign for the most part compared to out there for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We were talking about that the other day in the office... how ice storms and occasional high wind or flash flooding is a "threat" here... but no matter what, those who experience TOR threats on the regular are on a whole other level. Tornadoes, high-end severe storms, and hurricanes are the apex predators of the weather world. I couldn’t live in a high TOR area. I actually have a phobia of them 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: We’ll to be fair…the Plains is the Severe Capital of the world! But ya…our weather is benign for the most part compared to out there for sure. It’s not just severe. We don’t have the high end stuff that many other parts of the country get. We do snow and maybe a few strong nor’easters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 It’s not over yet but it does look maybe the threat for Minnesota won’t be as bad as initially expected 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: We’ll to be fair…the Plains is the Severe Capital of the world! But ya…our weather is benign for the most part compared to out there for sure. Actually the severe weather capital has been more east of the Plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: New England weather is boring AF. Give me a break with the “harsh” New England weather nonsense. We have no severe, no canes, and ok some snow. Big deal compared to what these other places get. I know there is the one in 20 year cane and some nor’easters......but we have it easy when you think of it. We do severe fairly well out here which is scary but agree, we live in a fairly docile weather zone. Although those ice storms and droughts in NECT have become more extreme. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Just the way we like it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I couldn’t live in a high TOR area. I actually have a phobia of them Same. No thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 87kts at KRSL. Russell Kansas. That’s not from convection. WTF. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 18z Euro a tick or 2 north of 12z, Ramping up the qpf some as well this run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 I wonder if they trop folded 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 87kts at KRSL. Russell Kansas. That’s not from convection. WTF. The only thing we do well is snow and backdoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Snowing pretty well right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Maybe the GFS will be right after all. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 87kts at KRSL. Russell Kansas. That’s not from convection. WTF. How do you get synoptic 87 knots? I can’t process that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Just now, powderfreak said: How do you get synoptic 87 knots? I can’t process that. Mixing like hell. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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