SJonesWX Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 12:08 PM, butterfish55 said: Stay safe everyone Expand what a + dude is obsessed with dry weather, and should not be taken seriously. i literally still have water in my yard from last summer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 12:57 PM, SJonesWX said: what a + dude is obsessed with dry weather, and should not be taken seriously. i literally still have water in my yard from last summer. Expand It's one thing if it were a dry summer and we are filling up the reservoirs. Everything is full. Even normal amounts of rains will run off into the oceans. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Euro is definitely insisting on the colder/flatter look for Saturday. Should be an interesting set of guidance today as we’re getting around the 100 hour mark. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 12:52 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Back on the bottle late nights just in time for winter ey… Expand Nice man. We knew you’d come around to the beer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 12:51 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Epstein is like one of those dandelions that sprouts in mid December after a 3 day mild spell. Expand Good morning SCMA. I’ll have to go out and check the postage stamp. I do admire/envy that talent/ability. As always ….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 12:51 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Epstein is like one of those dandelions that sprouts in mid December after a 3 day mild spell. Expand i got those! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 12:48 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Others saw the good changes way back so credit to them. I just didn’t think it could change as easily/quickly. Now that it’s no longer a deep fantasy that tickles Ant is his squad car during his graveyard shift…I’m all in. Let’s go. Expand Good morning R A W and thank you. Anthony’s ‘going on patrol sans cloths’ post makes a lot more sense to me now. As always … 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:00 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro is definitely insisting on the colder/flatter look for Saturday. Should be an interesting set of guidance today as we’re getting around the 100 hour mark. Expand Starts out grabbing moisture over the deep south. I'm not sure that would get much flatter given the origins unless 500 goes into warp speed across the CONUS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 12:53 PM, CoastalWx said: I've seen a few Dandesteins already. Expand I noticed a few forsythia blossoms yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:07 PM, Johnno said: I noticed a few forsythia blossoms yesterday. Expand Same. I think the coldest I have been is 23. It's been so mild lately. We haven't had those real bitter airmasses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:05 PM, CoastalWx said: Starts out grabbing moisture over the deep south. I'm not sure that would get much flatter given the origins unless 500 goes into warp speed across the CONUS. Expand Definitely not flatter. i like that the flow over the northeast is compressed. Keeps this from cutting west. If we can keep the confluence ahead of it for a bit longer, we can see a Euro scenario. If it pulls out quicker, we see the GFS solution with the C/NNE hit. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 0z euro for the 19th and 0z control look better for the HV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:14 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Definitely not flatter. i like that the flow over the northeast is compressed. Keeps this from cutting west. If we can keep the confluence ahead of it for a bit longer, we can see a Euro scenario. If it pulls out quicker, we see the GFS solution with the C/NNE hit. Expand it really is a fine line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2021 Author Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 12:03 PM, CoastalWx said: 00z euro. It’s probably gonna be a shredded mess when all is said and done lol. Expand OMFG LBSW 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:17 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: OMFG LBSW Expand Meh what load. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2021 Author Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:19 PM, CoastalWx said: Meh what load. Expand EPS didn't change much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 I also like the sounds of spring with the birds right now lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 That 0z EURO is about best case for my area. Would a more suppressed storm on the 19th help out the potential on the 21/22nd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:05 PM, CoastalWx said: Starts out grabbing moisture over the deep south. I'm not sure that would get much flatter given the origins unless 500 goes into warp speed across the CONUS. Expand My guess is it still ends up too warm in SNE for snow. But we’ll see. Pretty insistent so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 what a weenie 6z GFS run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:21 PM, SouthCoastMA said: That 0z EURO is about best case for my area. Would a more suppressed storm on the 19th help out the potential on the 21/22nd? Expand Agreed hard to imagine any better for those S of I90 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2021 Author Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:21 PM, ORH_wxman said: My guess is it still ends up too warm in SNE for snow. But we’ll see. Pretty insistent so far. Expand I'd prefer it too warm for most of SNE at this point....I'll take my chances with precip type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2021 Author Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:22 PM, HVSNOWSTORM said: Agreed hard to imagine any better for those S of I90 as well. Expand I wouldn't read too much into it given that the EPS mean is virtually unchanged...actually edged north at 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:21 PM, ORH_wxman said: My guess is it still ends up too warm in SNE for snow. But we’ll see. Pretty insistent so far. Expand climo would lean that way but was seen things go the other way for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:23 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I wouldn't read too much into it given that the EPS mean is virtually unchanged...actually edged north at 06z. Expand 6z gfs was also slightly colder than 0z and pushed the ice/ snow further south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2021 Author Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:28 PM, HVSNOWSTORM said: 6z gfs was also slightly colder than 0z and pushed the ice/ snow further south Expand The GFS doesn't get any snow south of the NH border until Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSNOWSTORM Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 6z gfs 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:21 PM, ORH_wxman said: My guess is it still ends up too warm in SNE for snow. But we’ll see. Pretty insistent so far. Expand I don't expect much here locally, but interesting to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 On 12/14/2021 at 1:35 PM, CoastalWx said: I don't expect much here locally, but interesting to watch. Expand As @MJO812 would say, we track. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Good to track something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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