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December 2021 Obs/Disco...Dreaming of a White-Weenie Xmas


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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

The longer range beyond looks even better too than the Pre-Xmas pattern. That has some higher end potential than just the SWFE pattern.

Early Jan absolutely has KU potential....it was one of the two periods that I specified, although I like early March better.

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6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

When will our fellow NNE brethren start fearing suppression?

Prob as soon as the -NAO shows up stronger on future runs. They'll whine their way to 50 inches in 3 weeks. Then they'll quickly forget it and irrationally fear the -NAO again next winter.

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16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

When will our fellow NNE brethren start fearing suppression?

 

9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Prob as soon as the -NAO shows up stronger on future runs. They'll whine their way to 50 inches in 3 weeks. Then they'll quickly forget it and irrationally fear the -NAO again next winter.

 

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35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

When will our fellow NNE brethren start fearing suppression?

maybe we could hold off on that for awhile?  Or make it a really slooooow process, once they have a big pack.  I'm happy to be in the middle.  Could be a good few weeks here.  I wouldn't think suppression would be a long-standing problem for us given a hopefully active northern stream.  I agree with Jeff that a couple dozen 3-6ers would be just fine.

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Grinch very much alive and well on most of the operational models.I think this pattern change coming a little late for Christmas. Probably have to endure a couple grinches outside of far NNE before a better pattern closer to NYE for the rest of the region. 

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