MJO812 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: did you call NCEP and tell them to fix that for the 6Z run? I control all the snow maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 GEPS actually seem pretty cold around xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Could envision a rain to snow type scenario Saturday and snower next Monday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Could envision a rain to snow type scenario Saturday and snower next Monday All three ensemble suites are in really good agreement on a few inches of snowfall around the holiday period from about I84 points N. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All three ensemble suites are in really good agreement on a few inches of snowfall around the holiday period from about I84 points N. Let’s do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: All three ensemble suites are in really good agreement on a few inches of snowfall around the holiday period from about I84 points N. Nice LR call. Steve also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Nice LR call. Steve also. Eh....lets see it happen first. Plus my monthly call as a whole left a lot to be desired...too cold and missed the extreme RNA. I'll be happy to see the snows ultimately come to frution, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Nothing has changed my mind for the 19-21st period, Looks to get reinforced actually, Good signal if it works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Eh....lets see it happen first. Plus my monthly call as a whole left a lot to be desired...too cold and missed the extreme RNA. I'll be happy to see the snows ultimately come to frution, though. Yea true. Pretty overwhelming signs on guidance though. Wintry feel for xmas week and then possible big ticket items as we close the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea true. Pretty overwhelming signs on guidance though. Wintry feel for xmas week and then possible big ticket items as we close the year. Between now and Christmas CNE and NNE likely to get at least something. Hopefully one of them works out for SNE. I'm still looking mostly beyond that as anything before Christmas is gravy for me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Saturday is NNE on Euro guidance. That is toasty. So likely beyond that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its easier to deal with when the end is in sight before the holidays. Anything before Christmas is gravy here imby. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Anything before Christmas is gravy here imby. Remember when it use to snow in early December? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Saturday is NNE on Euro guidance. That is toasty. So likely beyond that. Yeah… I’d consider anything before Christmas south of NNE gravy. Might take a bit to get the snows down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah… I’d consider anything before Christmas south of NNE gravy. Might take a bit to get the snows down here Latitude will matter. But we'll see as some guidance is flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Remember when it use to snow in early December? Doesn't very often. And I really only care for the big storms now. Mundane 1-3"/ 2-4" deals just don't do it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Between now and Christmas CNE and NNE likely to get at least something. Hopefully one of them works out for SNE. I'm still looking mostly beyond that as anything before Christmas is gravy for me. Yup. Just having a wintry feel xmas week is good enough. Cold with chances of frozen is just fine compared to previous years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Remember when it use to snow in early December? In general, no. Most years in the notch of CT we never expected it before Christmas. On the rare occasions we did get it, it was gravy. This is going back to about 1976... earliest I remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 10 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Doesn't very often. And I really only care for the big storms now. Mundane 1-3"/ 2-4" deals just don't do it for me. December has averaged snowier than January very recently for SNE. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Latitude will matter. But we'll see as some guidance is flat. Saturday Euro too amped. That’ll tend cooler . Other models show rain to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Epo looks good on the 6z gefs around the timeframe of the storm for next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Saturday is NNE on Euro guidance. That is toasty. So likely beyond that. No it isn't. Its like 9" near the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No it isn't. Its like 9" near the border. Looks good north of the pike....but my gut is that one ends up being NNE....we'll see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Looks good north of the pike....but my gut is that one ends up being NNE....we'll see though. Well, yea...I was just saying...he said the EURO is a NNE deal, but that is wrong. Maybe it ends up that way, but that isn't what the 00z EURO implies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No it isn't. Its like 9" near the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would take that and run! Hell I would be happy with half those amounts to start my season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 Just now, 512high said: I would take that and run! Hell I would be happy with half those amounts to start my season I haven't really looked at this yet, but my guess would be a couple/few inches to a mess for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I went by EPS. That is more CNE/NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 I also said euro guidance meaning incorporating ensembles. I don't think that one works out for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 Jesus, the OP GFS went ballistic with snow for holiday week....spiked egg nog for all on that run. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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