Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 15 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Really ? Ya it’s weird I follow these for trends.. still a really good mean, best of the year. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya it’s weird I follow these for trends.. still a really good mean, best of the year. Which site do you think is the best with clown maps ? I always use SV and pivotal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 2 hours ago, rclab said: High school, Fort Hamilton, class of 64. My eldest is weeks away from 47. I’m alone now and what was beautiful and shared in my life is gone. All that’s left is memories and what I can see of her in our daughters and grandchildren. No other grandparents are left, just me. As always … Sad story-I guess the only advice I can give is take care of yourself-you’re all they have too! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 12 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Which site do you think is the best with clown maps ? I always use SV and pivotal. Out of weatherbell SV and pivotal? All have their pitfalls however I noticed that the SV snow maps have been unreasonably high many times over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 35 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Out of weatherbell SV and pivotal? All have their pitfalls however I noticed that the SV snow maps have been unreasonably high many times over the years. They recently fixed it on SV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 18z GEFs mean sweetening the deal … 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 That look supports a seasonal arctic/polar hybrid air strike along the NP -NE axis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Haven’t seen the individual members but that look argues several members likely carry along significant event from the nadir of that trough to NF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 18z GEFs mean sweetening the deal … The trough/height angle is pretty awesome. Negative tilt in the mean over New England? Let's go. Just off-shore is that vertical south-north anomaly couplet we like to see to not let stuff escape eastward. Increase that Atlantic ridging a bit and that's a real solid look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The trough/height angle is pretty awesome. Negative tilt in the mean over New England? Let's go. Just off-shore is that vertical south-north anomaly couplet we like to see to not let stuff escape eastward. Increase that Atlantic ridging a bit and that's a real solid look. Let’s get a slow moving behemoth that doesn’t blow its load SW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Which site do you think is the best with clown maps ? I always use SV and pivotal. F5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 11 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The trough/height angle is pretty awesome. Negative tilt in the mean over New England? Let's go. Just off-shore is that vertical south-north anomaly couplet we like to see to not let stuff escape eastward. Increase that Atlantic ridging a bit and that's a real solid look. Yeah I mean considering margins for error that’s already likely getting it done … we’ve ended up just fine in the past heading into less impressive looks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah I mean considering margins for error that’s already likely getting it done … we’ve ended up just fine in the past heading into less impressive looks. Like you have been on top of for years, there’s still some compression going on along the gradient that likely indicates faster flow and could lead to less organization, but it’s a good place to start. Would roll the dice with that look any day. Compared to almost anywhere else on the globe those heights are compressed just as tightly around our area into the North Atlantic. It looks great but still run the risk of shredding energy. Negative tilt helps a lot in keeping it together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Like you have been on top of for years, there’s still some compression going on along the gradient that likely indicates faster flow and could lead to less organization, but it’s a good place to start. Would roll the dice with that look any day. Compared to almost anywhere else on the globe those heights are compressed just as tightly around our area into the North Atlantic. It looks great but still run the risk of shredding energy. Negative tilt helps a lot in keeping it together. It's a little compressed, but not bad...get that 579 line in N FL down to around Miami and we're golden. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Like you have been on top of for years, there’s still some compression going on along the gradient that likely indicates faster flow and could lead to less organization, but it’s a good place to start. Would roll the dice with that look any day. Compared to almost anywhere else on the globe those heights are compressed just as tightly around our area into the North Atlantic. It looks great but still run the risk of shredding energy. Negative tilt helps a lot in keeping it together. Yup yup some vestigial compression there … but I’d be willing to hedge the totality wins there. It’d keep things moving along but from orbit that’s cold ptype events verifying STL-PWN while the construct lasts. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Man/wo man snow Tonight Snow, mainly after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 25. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible. Monday Night Snow before 11pm, then snow showers after 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 22. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 34 to 40 inches possible. Tuesday Snow showers, mainly before 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 25. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 20 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Man/wo man snow Tonight Snow, mainly after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 25. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible. Monday Night Snow before 11pm, then snow showers after 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 22. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 34 to 40 inches possible. Tuesday Snow showers, mainly before 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 25. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. Where is this from, Aomori Snow Corridor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, MJOatleast7 said: Where is this from, Aomori Snow Corridor? Don't know, but Tahoe has a WSW for 4-8 feet right now...Heavenly and Kirkwood should be skiing well next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJOatleast7 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 10 minutes ago, bwt3650 said: Don't know, but Tahoe has a WSW for 4-8 feet right now...Heavenly and Kirkwood should be skiing well next week. They desperately need it actually… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 46 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Man/wo man snow Tonight Snow, mainly after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 25. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible. Monday Night Snow before 11pm, then snow showers after 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 22. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 34 to 40 inches possible. Tuesday Snow showers, mainly before 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 25. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. 81-105"....reads like a George forecast for Foxborough 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 LOL CMC with a big snowstorm GFS almost showed a Christmas Miracle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Nice cold pattern on the gfs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 7 hours ago, MJOatleast7 said: Where is this from, Aomori Snow Corridor? Mammoth 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Pretty active look on the deterministic models. Hopefully one of these works out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 9 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Man/wo man snow Tonight Snow, mainly after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 25. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible. Monday Night Snow before 11pm, then snow showers after 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 22. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 34 to 40 inches possible. Tuesday Snow showers, mainly before 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 25. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. I was going to chase near Lake Tahoe, but I probably would have died so opted out this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 9 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Man/wo man snow Tonight Snow, mainly after 8pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 25. Breezy, with a southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches possible. Monday Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 27. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 21 to 27 inches possible. Monday Night Snow before 11pm, then snow showers after 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 22. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 34 to 40 inches possible. Tuesday Snow showers, mainly before 5pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. High near 25. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 14 to 20 inches possible. 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 81-105"....reads like a George forecast for Foxborough I found one at 10K feet thats even more ridiculous. 89-115". And thats only for the first storm, to the end of the warning. Earlier i saw one at 12K feet that i didn't save but it was 118-155". I used to live in South Lake Tahoe and it this is a lot, even for them. A historical event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 13, 2021 Author Share Posted December 13, 2021 12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Its easier to deal with when the end is in sight before the holidays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 7 hours ago, MJO812 said: LOL CMC with a big snowstorm GFS almost showed a Christmas Miracle did you call NCEP and tell them to fix that for the 6Z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now