Baroclinic Zone Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Bruschi in the snow? Maybe? Dec 5-7, 2003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 6 hours ago, OceanStWx said: Another thing you notice with both the CMC and the GFS is that they have pretty big dropouts in skill relative to the Euro. Every so often they just whiff, whereas the Euro tends to always be in the game even if not totally correct. I've personally noticed the GGEM's improvements, tho - competing with its self, it's better in that space then prior to a couple years ago when I noticed it abruptly started looking more "Euro like" one D4 to 6s. fwiw - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 I thought the EPS was better for the run up D 5--> 10 range last night. GEFs wasn't terrible either. The numerical EOFs didn't look terrible, with briefer -PNA returning neutral positive toward the 2nd week of Dec. They are missing some of the classic featuring in the mean layouts of the polar-stereographic views, but, there is a deep nadir/SPV over James Bay not really allowing much warmth N of IND-PHL ...some perhaps very brief in shunting warm sectors...But that look could end up with ice events. One thing I am concerned about is the look as though we are setting into a huge gradient over our hemisphere ...again - jesus I'm sick of that sonic speed look. Transporting S/W from California to the southern tip of Greenland at orbital velocities gets old. Anyway, folks mentioned volatility so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2021 Author Share Posted November 28, 2021 2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: That is kinda what being a blogger is though...posting for reaction ...:D Kind of....but the investment far outweighs the return, unlike trolling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 31 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yea, let’s predict a +PNA for the entire month of December in a Niña approaching moderate status. Brilliant, should work out great. This guy isn’t even a meteorologist 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2021 Author Share Posted November 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yea, let’s predict a +PNA for the entire month of December in a Niña approaching moderate status. Brilliant, should work out great. This guy isn’t even a meteorologist RNA is favored during la nina, but there are plenty of instances of a month averaging PNA in the means...especially during the month of December. Just like RNA takes place during el nino. There should at last be some PNA spikes during December. Bad post. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 8 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yea, let’s predict a +PNA for the entire month of December in a Niña approaching moderate status. Brilliant, should work out great. This guy isn’t even a meteorologist Yea let's predict a big warmup like you do everytime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Yea, let’s predict a +PNA for the entire month of December in a Niña approaching moderate status. Brilliant, should work out great. This guy isn’t even a meteorologist He's making a statement based upon persistence and seasonal trend; completely valid approach and there's nothing really there that impugns his ability as a Meteorologist. Let's not jump on the pig pilin' parade float? Instead, judge the content on it's own merit ? That said, he may in fact not be good at his craft - I don't know the man. Don't follow his work. But that tweet in and of its self it perfectly valid. Fact of the matter is, it's been a game of postponing - he right. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Kind of....but the investment far outweighs the return, unlike trolling. Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 EPS at 18z kind of likes next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 48 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS at 18z kind of likes next Saturday. Looks like a swfe with redevelopment off the eastern Cape probably a winner for Hubbie North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Looks like a swfe with redevelopment off the eastern Cape probably a winner for Hubbie North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Looks like a swfe with redevelopment off the eastern Cape probably a winner for Hubbie North I'd take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 If we can get the NAO recovery to stall, that’d transitively help confluence/llv cold. PNA is dipping neggie next weekend by a modest amount before what looks in the vague distance to be a positive reload. … about 4 days or so. Does offer cutter track activation in that window … If cold/ west limb neg NAO dams we SWFE/ overrun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'd take that. There was also a signal on the 12z euro for a clipper around the 6th on the heels of that Dec 4 front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: There was also a signal on the 12z euro for a clipper around the 6th on the heels of that Dec 4 front Looks active…there will be some chances. That’s the positive take away at the moment. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Gfs shifted way east from the lakes cutter at 18z. Ensembles have been colder than the op for a few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 2 hours ago, Wentzadelphia said: There was also a signal on the 12z euro for a clipper around the 6th on the heels of that Dec 4 front Right on cue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 SWFE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 CMC gone wild in the LR 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Clown model gone wild in the clown range FYP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 29, 2021 Author Share Posted November 29, 2021 Euro has interesting event in the extended. See if it warrants a blog when I subscribe later this week.....you know, for a reaction (just for you @Torch Tiger) 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 33 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Euro has interesting event in the extended. See if it warrants a blog when I subscribe later this week.....you know, for a reaction (just for you @Torch Tiger) Much more interested in King George's reaction...or even metfan 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 The horror. The horror. https://www.foxnews.com/world/snowstorm-strands-61-in-pub-for-third-night-plenty-of-beer-available 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 6z gfs has the event on the 6-7th and so does euro but it’s warmer…couple degrees from feet of snow with a vicious shortwave….long way out but something to keep an eye on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 The ensembles have been flatter than the op for days . Matter of time the op runs follow it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 1 hour ago, Wentzadelphia said: 6z gfs has the event on the 6-7th and so does euro but it’s warmer…couple degrees from feet of snow with a vicious shortwave….long way out but something to keep an eye on A lot better chance of Wentz winning the MVP award for the next 10 seasons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: A lot better chance of Wentz winning the MVP award for the next 10 seasons. It's almost winter We track 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 29, 2021 Share Posted November 29, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: It's almost winter We track You can track Wentz's turnovers.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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