Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Upstream radar showing snow in NE Pennsylvania, but it's dry, virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Here come a week's worth of isobaric orgasms over minimum central pressure output, which will attempt to drown out the elephant in the room being that an unimpressive amount of snow will fall where most people live. But hey, Hogscrotum Bay in downeast Maine reads an impressive baro! Wonder how high the tides will be at Marriedmycousin Light- Heh yeah, and though we realize the snark in your post here, perhaps motivated out of smoldering frustration ( lol ), the upshot (for me) is that those excessively deep category 4 hurricane depths are - duh - less likely to verify anyway. Just sayn'. But, I've long been annoyed that this engagement, which some validate by calling it a hobby ... is really more about a model-cinema create pre-dystopian euphoria/addiction. Folks are probably more at a sense of loss in the days preceding any event, if the that period of time sans that "charge" they get out of model pornographics. The storm? yeah, they're kinda cool. LOL How's that for snark? No, but mid latitude lows tend not to sub 950 at our latitude, though can occur ...very rarely. Rareness, by convention, should require huge degrees of incredulity and skepticism, particularly for beyond D5's. But ... alas! There will be those that don't seem to ascribe or operate within convention - huh. I saw some reasons overnight that are more rational, in all seriousness. Yesterday I wrote that the telecon spreads ( provided by GEF -based) were not altogether very supportive of a big continental mauler low ... like that which the the GFS has been insisting now for ( as far as I can tell...) for some 4 consecutive days of model cycles. Sometimes more primary, sometimes more commitment to coastal as a bona fide Miller B .. but carrying the system nonetheless. Particularly in the PNA. Still, at the time, there was a tentative trend in the EPS to be more amplified with the same trough ejection through the west - a trend that continued 00z last night. And that was also when the GGEM runs began nodding to the notion for bombs. I surmised it is possible that this is one of those rarer times when the higher resolution, more 'souped up' model versions lead the telecon, and that the latter may start opening up to the notion in future cycles. That happened Last night, ...about 1/3 to 1/2 the GEF members instantiate a mode change in the PNA beginning in 6 or so days, one that carries on through week two. The signal is very new... but, when one surmises a notion, the the notion gets supported ... it makes it hard for the notion creator to dump said notion. Lol... we'll see how it goes. This appears ( to me ..) to be the next significant event, but probably it is in the magnified/over-amped phase that all models regardless seem to do with features in the D6-9 range. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Upstream radar showing snow in NE Pennsylvania, but it's dry, virga. It’s ripping in State College Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Throw up some snow maps please anyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2021 Author Share Posted December 27, 2021 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh yeah, and though we realize the snark in your post here, perhaps motivated out of smoldering frustration ( lol ), the upshot (for me) is that those excessively deep category 4 hurricane depths are - duh - less likely to verify anyway. Just sayn'. But, I've long been annoyed that this engagement, which some validate by calling it a hobby ... is really more about a model-cinema create pre-dystopian euphoria/addiction. Folks are probably more at a sense of loss in the days preceding any event, if the that period of time sans that "charge" they get out of model pornographics. The storm? yeah, they're kinda cool. LOL How's that for snark? No, but mid latitude lows tend not to sub 950 at our latitude, though can occur ...very rarely. Rareness, by convention, should require huge degrees of incredulity and skepticism, particularly for beyond D5's. But ... alas! There will be those that don't seem to ascribe or operate within convention - huh. I saw some reasons overnight that are more rational, in all seriousness. Yesterday I wrote that the telecon spreads ( provided by GEF -based) were not altogether very supportive of a big continental mauler low ... like that which the the GFS has been insisting now for ( as far as I can tell...) for some 4 consecutive days of model cycles. Sometimes more primary, sometimes more commitment to coastal as a bona fide Miller B .. but carrying the system nonetheless. Particularly in the PNA. Still, at the time, there was a tentative trend in the EPS to be more amplified with the same trough ejection through the west - a trend that continued 00z last night. And that was also when the GGEM runs began nodding to the notion for bombs. I surmised it is possible that this is one of those rarer times when the higher resolution, more 'souped up' model versions lead the telecon, and that the latter may start opening up to the notion in future cycles. That happened Last night, ...about 1/3 to 1/2 the GEF members instantiate a mode change in the PNA beginning in 6 or so days, one that carries on through week two. The signal is very new... but, when one surmises a notion, the the notion gets supported ... it makes it hard for the notion creator to dump said notion. Lol... we'll see how it goes. This appears ( to me ..) to be the next significant event, but probably it is in the magnified/over-amped phase that all models regardless seem to do with features in the D6-9 range. Well my honest answer is that its both for me...no doubt I suffer from that addictive affliction to which you allude, but its also a legit hobby. What validates the latter for me is the hours that I spend researching the craft on an annual basis....that balances the addictive proclivities that are on display for you fine folks to see during the winter season. When I end up expecting decent snow, and am left wiping my ass with the 20+ pages of elaborately scientific description of what did NOT happen, its frustrating....you bet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s ripping in State College York too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Initial batch may dry up as it encounters drier air further east. Better precip will come when we increase the WAA where the best forcing is. Could be a nice band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Give me the snow, I'm still in Windsor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s ripping in State College A really light dusting of graupel is happening right now at my sister's house. 29F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 16 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Initial batch may dry up as it encounters drier air further east. Better precip will come when we increase the WAA where the best forcing is. Could be a nice band. Yeah this initial stuff shreds as it heads into tri-state region but overnight another pulse looks like it will survive a bit better. Still nothing big but a couple inches wouldn’t be shocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Throw up some snow maps please anyone GFS was kind of meh' I thought. NAM was more generous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 CMC looking better for tonight looks like we snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 You wonder to yourself if We at EMass wx will blog about it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: CMC looking better for tonight looks like we snow! By better you mean a chance at coating to an inch before freezing rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: By better you mean a chance at coating to an inch before freezing rain? Yeah it looked like maybe an inch…2 if lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Ukie was pushing 2" up here...maybe an inch down in SNE. Looks like most other models. 3k NAM was paltry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Upstream radar showing snow in NE Pennsylvania, but it's dry, virga. blueball system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: By better you mean a chance at coating to an inch before freezing rain? looked like 1 to 2 to me.. thats a win this year and looked better then 0z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 Nothing like the wintry look of snow melting in the low 40s tomorrow. 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing like the wintry look of snow melting in the low 40s tomorrow. We’re morphing into Mid Atlantic climo. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing like the wintry look of snow melting in the low 40s tomorrow. What a melt ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2021 Author Share Posted December 27, 2021 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You wonder to yourself if We at EMass wx will blog about it No, we won't. Told you, we're done with 1" snowfalls. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: We’re morphing into Mid Atlantic climo. Nah, just a poop pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nothing like the wintry look of snow melting in the low 40s tomorrow. . I was going to say, hope everyone gets up real early to see their half inch of snow… because it’s going to be gone by like 9am. looks mid 49s here tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: No, we won't. Told you, we're done with 1" snowfalls. Why though , we? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 On my ride back home. Graupelly light snow here in SW CT at 36 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Throw up some snow maps please anyone How do you not have a subscription service? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 18 minutes ago, powderfreak said: How do you not have a subscription service? Don’t need one when it’s all available free. Just didn’t feel like looking on phone at that particular moment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: GFS was kind of meh' I thought. NAM was more generous Nice NAM map. I’m at pit2 tonight, perhaps a dusting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2021 Share Posted December 27, 2021 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Don’t need one when it’s all available free. Just didn’t feel like looking on phone at that particular moment I have a few subscriptions but I prefer to look at models on my laptop so if I am on mobile I like when people post maps here also. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now