ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:43 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Let’s hope for some cooler tics Expand I think all of us in SNE are going to need them because it’s prob coming back north a little once we get inside of 48-60h or so. My gut still says mostly a miss for the majority of SNE (maybe not up by Ray)...lots of sleet and maybe some ZR too but not much snow and mostly rain near the coast. But we’ll see. It’s already trended colder than I ever thought it would so maybe it’s got another tick or two left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: Really tight gradient there on rgem. Like, Foxborough def gets a decent hit of snow...tougher call for you. Right on the line. Expand Icestorm conditions? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:38 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: One of my fav December analogs going in. Expand Hope the NAO is a little more west based this year. Don't think there was a lot is snow in SNE 70/71 but could be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:46 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think you would want 3"+ to ensure a white xmas. Expand 3” of sleet-infused pack would prob do it. Otherwise we’ll have to hope something in the 12/23-25 range works out....which it might. Pattern is ripe for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think all of us in SNE are going to need them because it’s prob coming back north a little once we get inside of 48-60h or so. My gut still says mostly a miss for the majority of SNE (maybe not up by Ray)...lots of sleet and maybe some ZR too but not much snow and mostly rain near the coast. But we’ll see. It’s already trended colder than I ever thought it would so maybe it’s got another tick or two left. Expand I am nervous I am a bit too far south on the first map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:47 PM, EastonSN+ said: Hope the NAO is a little more west based this year. Don't think there was a lot is snow in SNE 70/71 but could be wrong. Expand Northern half of SNE did well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:46 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think you would want 3"+ to ensure a white xmas. Expand Why wouldn’t 1-3 last? It stays in the 30’s all next elevated interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:49 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Why wouldn’t 1-3 last? It stays in the 30’s all next elevated interior Expand Well, easier for you...he lives in Taunton. But 1" even for you could sublimate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 It also may get milder next week as flow gets a little zonal. So that could melt a bit. It's not really cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:49 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, easier for you...he lives in Taunton. But 1" even for you could sublimate Expand I’m thinking 1-2” here tops ahead of zr . It may be mostly sleet and zr and never sniff freezing . You’ll get more snow for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:19 PM, dryslot said: Where do i sign? 70-71 was epic. Expand In that setup does the western trough just keep spitting out energy while the epo feeds cold and the Atlantic doesn’t allow cutting without redevelopment? Basically a bunch of 3-6, 4-8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:46 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think you would want 3"+ to ensure a white xmas. Expand I’d agree with that…. Like will said… add a little sleet for good measure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:01 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’d agree with that…. Like will said… add a little sleet for good measure Expand If I were you, I’d prepare to meet Kali. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:02 PM, CoastalWx said: If I were you, I’d prepare to meet Kali. Expand We know where you stand …. You’ll sneak in last minute with some excitement if this holds promise on Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:57 PM, mahk_webstah said: In that setup does the western trough just keep spitting out energy while the epo feeds cold and the Atlantic doesn’t allow cutting without redevelopment? Basically a bunch of 3-6, 4-8? Expand There was some big coastal events that winter that helped in some big totals up here, I'm quite sure there were several lt/mod events too, But i was more focused on girls back then then weather............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:03 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We know where you stand …. You’ll sneak in last minute with some excitement if this holds promise on Friday Expand Yeah I’m not expecting much but I wouldn’t rule out 1-3. That’s where I stand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:48 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am nervous I am a bit too far south on the first map. Expand We'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:03 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: We know where you stand …. You’ll sneak in last minute with some excitement if this holds promise on Friday Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 18z gfs came in a tick colder than 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 15, 2021 Author Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:09 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: We'll be fine. Expand I think worst case, 3" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:19 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think worst case, 3" here. Expand I was thinking the same. Rt 2 corridor into SNH 3-4" and 4-6" if we can get the juicier initial thump. I'm fine with some freeing drizzle to finish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 9:46 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think all of us in SNE are going to need them because it’s prob coming back north a little once we get inside of 48-60h or so. My gut still says mostly a miss for the majority of SNE (maybe not up by Ray)...lots of sleet and maybe some ZR too but not much snow and mostly rain near the coast. But we’ll see. It’s already trended colder than I ever thought it would so maybe it’s got another tick or two left. Expand Will, What are your thoughts on the southern Greens for the weekend, Stratton/Mount Snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:24 PM, greenmtnwx said: Will, What are your thoughts on the southern Greens for the weekend, Stratton/Mount Snow? Expand A good place to be. I feel like these like to be SVT-Dendy-Dryslot style events for a jackpot zone. Merely climo-wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:06 PM, dryslot said: There was some big coastal events that winter that helped in some big totals up here, I'm quite sure there were several lt/mod events too, But i was more focused on girls back then then weather............ Expand Nothing better than being with a beautiful lady while its S+ outside, best of both worlds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:23 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: I was thinking the same. Rt 2 corridor into SNH 3-4" and 4-6" if we can get the juicier initial thump. I'm fine with some freeing drizzle to finish. Expand That’s my take on it as well for now. Would prefer a drier powder bomb but I’ll take anything. At least wet mixed stuff sticks around 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 This would be be a lot more productive with a non garbage antecedent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 18Z NAM torch runs often come true. I’m keeping expectations for much accumulating snow in the Cap District low for now but we’ll definitely watch dem trends. On another note, 70-71 redo in Albany would be welcome and frightening at the same time. Adrenaline might kill me…. but I guess death by snow is the weenie way to go. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 Decent sleet and zr here a safer bet for now with that cold drain down the Hudson gutter. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 On 12/15/2021 at 10:24 PM, greenmtnwx said: Will, What are your thoughts on the southern Greens for the weekend, Stratton/Mount Snow?I’ll be at Stratton Sat if it looks like sneaky warm later doesn’t penetrate into S VT. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 15, 2021 Share Posted December 15, 2021 What's happening in the heart of the country now is absolutely wild. The videos are epic. I guess some wildfires going too 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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