ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Just now, weathafella said: I was living in LA pining for winter. I moved there in November 1976. I wonder if that move made you an even bigger snow weenie...knowing you moved just before the exceptional ‘76-77 and ‘77-78 winters. So when you got back, you relish it even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2021 Author Share Posted December 14, 2021 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I was living in LA pining for winter. I moved there in November 1976. Jesus...of all the two seasons to miss 76-77 and 77-78...ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 I def recall the Christmas 1980 cold. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I wonder if that move made you an even bigger snow weenie...knowing you moved just before the exceptional ‘76-77 and ‘77-78 winters. So when you got back, you relish it even more. I remember sitting at my breakfast table reading the LA Times before work at my then private office. I noted the prog of a low in the gulf. I canceled the rest of the week and was on the red eye to Boston that night. Event was a dud-maybe 2 inches. But there was snow cover and cold. This was maybe January 1981? Yeah it definitely uber weenieed me. I lost 15 winters! I probably will give them up soon and maybe become a snowbird. For now, I think a 1-2 week break late in winter works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSC97wxnut Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 1 hour ago, weathafella said: I just saw a squirrel run across the top of the wall bordering our French drain in the back-it was pretty tubby tbh. There are at least 3 fat squirrels running around our backyard. Never seen them so big here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 1 minute ago, LSC97wxnut said: There are at least 3 fat squirrels running around our backyard. Never seen them so big here. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 24 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It was 1980. There was also an arctic airmass in 1983 but the 1980 one was colder. 1983 wasn't much warmer, -12 in Fort Kent, but with modest winds. In 1980 the temp dropped from 9° at 9 PM on the 24th to -23 at sunrise Christmas day with 40+ gusts. Afternoon high was -16. I've read that Boston's afternoon topped at zero and NYC something like 7. At 1st CT Lake with their 7 AM obs, 12/26 temps were -24/-32. That max is the coldest I've found in New England except at MWN. Top snows on 12/25 are 8.0", in 1978 (Fort Kent) and 2017. The latter storm all came on the 25th but the '78 event continued into the 27th with 16.5" as the total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Still a ways out but the clown range NAM looks pretty flat kind of like the euro for this weekend. 18z ICON actually looks like euro except maybe about 10-15 mi north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still a ways out but the clown range NAM looks pretty flat kind of like the euro for this weekend. 18z ICON actually looks like euro except maybe about 10-15 mi north. That's some strong CAA at 925 on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's some strong CAA at 925 on the NAM. Yeah you could tell that was probably going to be a pretty snowy solution if it went another couple frames. There was active cold air drain and the low coming out of the OH valley was already pretty far south so the drain wasn’t going to really stop/reverse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Maybe it will be flat. Nothing has really panned out as I've expected over the last month so why not lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Maybe it will be flat. Nothing has really panned out as I've expected over the last month so why not lol. I’ll maybe believe it if there’s good model agreement on it by 12z tomorrow. But I'm still a skeptic for now. I always hate “waiting” for the cold air to drain down during the event. It rarely works out. There are exceptions of course...one of our recent favorites was 10/30/20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’ll maybe believe it if there’s good model agreement on it by 12z tomorrow. But I'm still a skeptic for now. I always hate “waiting” for the cold air to drain down during the event. It rarely works out. There are exceptions of course...one of our recent favorites was 10/30/20. I’d have to go back and look but I think I got over 4” with that one. I’ll remember that one for life, pretty rare event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I’ll maybe believe it if there’s good model agreement on it by 12z tomorrow. But I'm still a skeptic for now. I always hate “waiting” for the cold air to drain down during the event. It rarely works out. There are exceptions of course...one of our recent favorites was 10/30/20. Going into a rather pig SE ridge too. Maybe the confluence to our north helps a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 I’ve said it once, I’ve said it a thousand times. We are absolutely due for a white Christmas here. 2017 didn’t cut it It’s been over a decade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Angus Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 59 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I def recall the Christmas 1980 cold. grew up on the south shore and remember walking up to the local pond on xmas day to try on the skates Santa had brought the night below. Right around zero degrees...a couple of circles around the pond and I was done and headed home. That was some real cold. I still have the skates. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Angus said: grew up on the south shore and remember walking up to the local pond on xmas day to try on the skates Santa had brought the night below. Right around zero degrees...a couple of circles around the pond and I was done and headed home. That was some real cold. I still have the skates. Where abouts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still a ways out but the clown range NAM looks pretty flat kind of like the euro for this weekend. 18z ICON actually looks like euro except maybe about 10-15 mi north. Ryan has snow and ice for CT Saturday pm and night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 18z GFS won't be flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 GFS is rather warm. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 It's like the Euro and GFS have swapped. How many times was the GFS always flat with these things? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 1004 mb compared to 1008 mb at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 1004 mb compared to 1008 mb at 12z That flips Dendy lol. Congrats Stowe to Tammy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That flips Dendy lol. Congrats Stowe to Tammy. It even goes to 997mb in the GOM with a CCB lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's like the Euro and GFS have swapped. How many times was the GFS always flat with these things? Yeah seriously. GFS vomited all over itself in the 12/8 event too being way too amped so I’m not buying GFS yet either even though I’d probably lean that way right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 Ryan going with colder ensembles instead of waffling day 5 ops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah seriously. GFS vomited all over itself in the 12/8 event too being way too amped so I’m not buying GFS yet either even though I’d probably lean that way right now. If euro wins, I’m going to feel a lot better with it again in the cold season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan going with colder ensembles instead of waffling day 5 ops EPS was a bit warmer than op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: If euro wins, I’m going to feel a lot better with it again in the cold season. Yeah it would be two solid wins in a row on events. We’ll see I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 14, 2021 Share Posted December 14, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan going with colder ensembles instead of waffling day 5 ops Bruce on wfsb showed both scenarios. Gfs being warmer and the Euro colder. Didn't lean towards 1 or the other yet. I also say what Ryan had to say on Wvit. He is pretty solid on his forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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