ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: It says 30° right there? Maybe his tropical microclimate only got down to 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: On the bright side, we won’t have to fret about a Grinch storm. Monday is the dress rehearsal for 12/24 and/or 12/25.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: The GEFS are not as bad so we’ll hope for that. Yeah looks like the AO goes negative and comes back at us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Yeah looks like the AO goes negative and comes back at us. That has to be an error lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 10 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That pattern for the past month or so has strongly resembled the phase 6 la nina composite...don't think that is a coincidence. La Nina and MJO phases late 6 thru 2 are destructive interference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 just checked out the individual 0z gfs ens, they look pretty nice for D10-14. Hope that holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Icon likes SNE with a nice low placement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 70/30 euro/gfs compromise at this stage seems reasonable? I was thinking early on our over/under for the season was 40 inches....might have to backtrack down to 30 inches? This season definitely has the hallmarks of a cool/dry, warm/wet winter, reminds me of living down in PA.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: looks like a nice shift north on the Icon, but not sure I believe anything with that model other than maybe trends.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ya moved north a decent amount but it’s the ICON only thing to take is it still has a storm. Once again storm vista with double the amounts , like :20:1 ratios. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya moved north a decent amount but it’s the ICON only thing to take is it still has a storm. Once again storm vista with double the amounts , like :20:1 ratios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Upgrade obviously didn’t work. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 .75-1.25" qpf and 4-8" on snowfall doesn't seem to be outlandish up here, That's not even 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya moved north a decent amount but it’s the ICON only thing to take is it still has a storm. Once again storm vista with double the amounts , like :20:1 ratios. ya those amounts always seem high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 49 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: La Nina and MJO phases late 6 thru 2 are destructive interference My point is that the MJO has been coherent. I think this is like the HC phenomenon in that yes, it can be reduced, but not eradicated...how much is it muted is the question. Not much throughout November. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 6z GEFS Mean Snowfall through 7 Days 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: But Ray’s winter forecast doesn’t have that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Iceresistance said: 6z GEFS Mean Snowfall through 7 Days I could live with that 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I could live with that I could too. And then back to palm trees a few days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 so far GFS looks like it will go south a little at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: so far GFS looks like it will go south a little at 12z Yep and colder Crush job for SNE 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yep and colder Crush job for SNE I mean.. Who would want 12"-15"? Do I think we'll see that? No I don't, but.. W need to see the other models shift back a bit. A blend could give inland connecticut a good 3"-6"/4"-8" ( hey... Maybe Kevin will get his 4"-8" after all ) lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 pivotal maps have a ton of zr for western ct but cut that in half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 I'll put a down payment on that...but won't buy until Tuesday. Would like to see all models showing something similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yep and colder Crush job for SNE those maps might be high looks like alot of sleet in northern ct and southern ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 gfs also likes the idea of a changeover to a little snow Monday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Just now, ineedsnow said: gfs also likes the idea of a changeover to a little snow Monday night Maybe ends as flakes? Don’t fall for the fraud five. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Man gfs would be nice. Sort of borderline here, but nice look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yep and colder Crush job for SNE They Fixed the thermals???!! Lol 10” of snow when mid levels warm after an inch or so for most of CT central parts on south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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