MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Stuck at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Not a huge fan of this model anyway but that’s a suppressing trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Who actually bases their forecast or even blends the ICON in one? Said no one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:39 AM, dryslot said: Who actually bases their forecast on the ICON? Said no one. Expand Cops in BK. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:40 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Cops in BK. Expand Anthony parked in a dark alley in his cruiser with the lights off watching model panels come thru with the phone brightness on minimum. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:42 AM, dryslot said: Anthony parked in a dark alley in his cruirer with the lights off watching model panels come thru with the phone brightness on minimum. Expand While the gang bangers are slinging and robbing…Ant is trying to unfreeze the 120hr icon panel. Tax dollars hard at work. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:09 AM, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah it’s not abundantly clear how much that limits forcing N … but it has to - latent heat flux moves away from the source but does not cross the equatorial asymptote personally I don’t think the MJO … i just suspect that it’s in trouble because of HC anyway. It’s been having trouble coupling, and now it’s S eq based, and south of the eq virtual axes in which the atmospheres of the hemispheres don’t tend to interact The math of all that does not add up to influencing the northern hemisphere… Now if the wave suddenly expands across the equator and starts generating convection on that side … the flux moves away and we’ll see but then again my personal hang up still have to work the HC Expand That pattern for the past month or so has strongly resembled the phase 6 la nina composite...don't think that is a coincidence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:42 AM, dryslot said: Anthony parked in a dark alley in his cruiser with the lights off watching model panels come thru with the phone brightness on minimum. Expand That's what I'm doing now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Gfs is colder and further southeast but still warm for the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 4:12 AM, MJO812 said: That's what I'm doing now Expand Meanwhile, in the subway a few feet away: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Nice thump up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 4:33 AM, dendrite said: Nice thump up here. Expand We thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 4:35 AM, dryslot said: We thump. Expand Pumps and a thump? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 That’s a pretty good run for the 84 corridor and points north. It should be a colder look too than what the surface spits out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 Nice run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Ukie lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Ukie is really squashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 4:55 AM, MJO812 said: Ukie lol Expand Ignored. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 5:03 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ignored. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Euro is alot colder and flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 North trend starts tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 6:42 AM, weathafella said: North trend starts tomorrow night? Expand A little more west would be nice Maybe the slight dip in the NAO is helping this storm not cut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 6:45 AM, MJO812 said: A little more west would be nice Maybe the slight dip in the NAO is helping this storm not cut. Expand Nah. It’s all timing with confluence-I think the end game is a moderate storm for northern SNE and most of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 6:46 AM, weathafella said: Nah. It’s all timing. Expand Big factor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 6:46 AM, weathafella said: Nah. It’s all timing with confluence-I think the end game is a moderate storm for northern SNE and most of NNE. Expand Yep. If it's doing that Monday, then maybe worry. 00z EPS will probably be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 6:50 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yep. If it's doing that Monday, then maybe worry. 00z EPS will probably be fine Expand This isn't even a SWFE anymore on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Eps is going to come in flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Lol winter anymore…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Better than the op . Nice and cold I will post soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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