dryslot Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 In my next life, Instead of living @H5, I want to live in MJO 7/8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/3/2021 at 10:28 PM, Mr. Kevin said: JB is hyping a pv split at 50mb is underway right now leading to 84-85 type winter lol or similarities to it Expand that winter was terrible, biggest snow storm produced 5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 The 80's was good for big hairbands not snow. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 No response from Scoots. Radio GA GA silence 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/3/2021 at 10:28 PM, Mr. Kevin said: JB is hyping a pv split at 50mb is underway right now leading to 84-85 type winter lol or similarities to it Expand Now? No way....manageable assaults during December...just like I said. PV will be fine this month, though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/3/2021 at 10:32 PM, binbisso said: @40/70 Benchmark isn't this nina now east based? These are current surface temps for each region using the tropical tidbit site 4/ -.645 3.4/ -.844 3/ -1.084 1.2/ -1.679. Expand Those look like dailes... look at weekly anomalies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 Region 4 is in la nina territory...coldest anomalies are centered eastern half of region, but that is not strongly east based...its still basin wide. Take a look at years like 2005, that had negative anomalies relegated to eastern zones. I wish the modoki site would open back up...it assigns EMI index. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Just saw Buffalo forecast for Monday night game with Pats. Temp in the 20s LES with winds gusting to 50s. I was there right before Christmas and had a squall come thru very similar. Totally wild 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Looks like MJO is heading strongly into phase 7-8 if it can stay in those phases all winter. I would be happy. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 1:35 AM, Ginx snewx said: Just saw Buffalo forecast for Monday night game with Pats. Temp in the 20s LES with winds gusting to 50s. I was there right before Christmas and had a squall come thru very similar. Totally wild Expand Heh... Mac never even seen snow...yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 1:41 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Heh... Mac never even seen snow...yikes Expand Run game with Mac short passes. Allen has the arm to rip thru wind. Hope it's dumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Now this is what I expect for a SWFE sounding up here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 1:41 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Heh... Mac never even seen snow...yikes Expand As a result of the forecast, I took Buffalo -2.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 1:58 AM, Chrisrotary12 said: As a result of the forecast, I took Buffalo -2.5 Expand Buffalo's home team too, when I first looked at the forecast it looked like warm and rain but the front's moving through quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 1:58 AM, Chrisrotary12 said: As a result of the forecast, I took Buffalo -2.5 Expand Agree on close win for Buf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 I think obessesing over every nuance of nina at this point is losing sight of the forest through the trees....just watch that forcing and make sure it moves east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/3/2021 at 11:53 PM, Henry's Weather said: As a coastal dweller (college in Cambridge), I'd want that high west of Maine to avoid easterly winds, but favorable look nonetheless for pike on north on the 18z GEFS. Expand That images right there is a N ageo wind on the west side of a CF pressed right astride Rt 128 … 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 2:10 AM, Typhoon Tip said: That images right there is a N ageo wind on the west side of a CF pressed right astride Rt 128 … Expand Was gonna say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 The present emerging MJO is momentum biased S of the equator. “Whatever happens in Vegas stays in Vegas” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 2:17 AM, Typhoon Tip said: The present emerging MJO is momentum biased S of the equator. “Whatever happens in Vegas stays in Vegas” Expand I think it will be enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2021 Author Share Posted December 4, 2021 Maybe it doesn't do much in phase 8, but it should clear 6 and take on a more phase 7 like look at the least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 1:58 AM, Chrisrotary12 said: As a result of the forecast, I took Buffalo -2.5 Expand Hmmm…do I have the balls to bench Allen and stream someone like Carr on Sunday instead. I can’t imagine a ceiling game from him against Pats D plus wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 2:42 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Hmmm…do I have the balls to bench Allen and stream someone like Carr on Sunday instead. I can’t imagine a ceiling game from him against Pats D plus wind. Expand Allen might run for 100 yards and still end up scoring 20+...I'm a Phins fan, so hopefully they both lose, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 2:27 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think it will be enough. Expand Yeah it’s not abundantly clear how much that limits forcing N … but it has to - latent heat flux moves away from the source but does not cross the equatorial asymptote personally I don’t think the MJO … i just suspect that it’s in trouble because of HC anyway. It’s been having trouble coupling, and now it’s S eq based, and south of the eq virtual axes in which the atmospheres of the hemispheres don’t tend to interact The math of all that does not add up to influencing the northern hemisphere… Now if the wave suddenly expands across the equator and starts generating convection on that side … the flux moves away and we’ll see but then again my personal hang up still have to work the HC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 2:10 AM, Typhoon Tip said: That images right there is a N ageo wind on the west side of a CF pressed right astride Rt 128 … Expand yeah, I didn't mean to imply that it isnt, if that's how I came off. Still a little tenuous for people right along the coast right? Anyways, that's a minor detail at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:13 AM, Henry's Weather said: yeah, I didn't mean to imply that it isnt, if that's how I came off. Still a little tenuous for people right along the coast right? Anyways, that's a minor detail at this point. Expand Heh. I just read ‘east wind’ in the context fear. Lol i looked at that and thought good, all safe and snug and tucked in for no worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 First run of the 0z regime Icon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:23 AM, MJO812 said: First run of the 0z regime Icon Expand I know you mean well but I really hate these charts… This is not the icon model run - this is an interpretive algorithm spitting out snow based on who knows what math they use. Goes for all snowfall layouts regardless of model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:23 AM, MJO812 said: First run of the 0z regime Icon Expand Still snowing at that time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 3:28 AM, Ginx snewx said: Still snowing at that time Expand Hold on I will post it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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