CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 May have to keep an eye on the Scandy ridging shown. Let’s see where that goes down the road. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 EPS shows how we can do it with swfe’s and timing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 47 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some of these will trend colder as we get closer with that cold air in canada pressing down. this pattern could be bread and butter for you and maybe me...we'll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2021 Author Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: this pattern could be bread and butter for you and maybe me...we'll see Especially you guys, but it can be the highest percentage pattern from around Boston points north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 SWFEs mean less ocean influence. Sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 Thanks to @NHDrySlot tries to come for Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 32 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS shows how we can do it with swfe’s and timing Happy 75th bday Jerry! From your fingertips to God’s ears 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Thanks to @NHDrySlot tries to come for Monday night. What ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What ? Screaming winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What ? Strong winds behind fropa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 18z NAM trying to make the clipper on Saturday more interesting. A lot of the SREFs did the same this run....still not much, but if that trend is real, then it wouldn't take much more to drop a couple of inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Happy 75th bday Jerry! From your fingertips to God’s ears Jerry;'s Birthday today? Happy birthday young man and a great dude. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM trying to make the clipper on Saturday more interesting. A lot of the SREFs did the same this run....still not much, but if that trend is real, then it wouldn't take much more to drop a couple of inches. Yeah still watching that. Won't take much to throw some moisture into a fairly cold airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Strong winds behind fropa. Exciting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Exciting! Isn’t that what you like? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 We need blocking, I hate the way the pattern looks on the European guidance long range. No blocking and a massive trough out west. Hopefully that changes soon, but things aren’t looking great for early December. I’d like to see signs of a pattern change on the models over the next couple of weeks though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Isn’t that what you like? Like it’ll happen in this faux model world we live in . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Like it’ll happen in this faux model world we live in . Man you gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 Some early 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 You know it’s a bad pattern when George can’t locate a shortwave anywhere in the world capable of exploding into a boston blizzard. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man you gone. Right here . Just not going to fall for the 18z NAM head fake or the 12Z EPS COC tease of multiple Swfe. We’ve all measured dustings and very likely that will continue for quite some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Right here . Just not going to fall for the 18z NAM head fake or the 12Z EPS COC tease of multiple Swfe. We’ve all measured dustings and very likely that will continue for quite some time. Time to lower the 30 yr normals from their ridiculous highs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM trying to make the clipper on Saturday more interesting. A lot of the SREFs did the same this run....still not much, but if that trend is real, then it wouldn't take much more to drop a couple of inches. It’s still pretty sheared out I thought… maybe I’m not looking at the right stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 Kevin will be back on the badnwagon by Friday 12z at the latest. One of these next few cycles will start honing in on a threat. He will flip from dustings to 6-10" just like he flipped from "no snow through Xmas" to 4-8" for November 29th last week. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 Regression can be unpleasant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s still pretty sheared out I thought… maybe I’m not looking at the right stuff It is, but it has decent warm air advection with it. You can see at 925 and 850, some warm air tries to move in on strong SW winds.......but yeah there isn’t much moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Kevin will be back on the badnwagon by Friday 12z at the latest. One of these next few cycles will start honing in on a threat. He will flip from dustings to 6-10" just like he flipped from "no snow through Xmas" to 4-8" for November 29th last week. Gotta let Fish know 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Unless you are fortunate enough to have a perfect pattern with ideal placement of +PP, the route to a plentiful December in terms of snowfall for coastal SNE is positive AO/NAO with a plentiful supply of cold in Canada. Not to say there isn't risk involved with that, but there is more risk for the coast with early season coastals IMHO. The 12/5/2003 events are not that common. That's true even in Far Northern Connecticut. For years we would never expect any meaningful snow until Christmas time. So many bridge jumpers now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 People keep mentioning how we are overdue for a ratter before but, we are really overdue for a wall to wall winter cold and snowy winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 2 hours ago, weathafella said: EPS shows how we can do it with swfe’s and timing Happy happy happy birthday young fella 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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