Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Such a tortuous hobby/passion this thing called weather. When it goes bad.. it really goes bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Decent pattern upcoming for NNE, hope it produces for them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 That's a nasty ice look on some guidance next week. Ukie looks nasty up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Dec 8th emerges as a new threat this cycle. Always 8-9 days out …hope that doesn’t become a theme? I know it’s only 11/30, and we have yet to get rolling, but that’s always a worry in any winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Not a bad guess....here is 1970-1989 and 2001-2020 for ORH snowfall through 12/10 I just was looking at these again....check out the "Good La Nina" Decembers.....a lot of them had crappy totals through 12/10 and then all hell broke loose later in the month: 1970, 1975, 2000 (not on there but was paltry through 12/10), 2007, 2008, 2010....and both 2005 and 2017 had big events on 12/9 with not much before that....which may still happen this year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That's a nasty ice look on some guidance next week. Ukie looks nasty up there. That high starts off near Quebec City and then slowly slides east....that would be really cold probably all the way into SNE even....GGEM and GFS aren't really buying that high location, but if the Ukie is more correct, then you'd see that system likely trend colder. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That high starts off near Quebec City and then slowly slides east....that would be really cold probably all the way into SNE even....GGEM and GFS aren't really buying that high location, but if the Ukie is more correct, then you'd see that system likely trend colder. Yeah I was a considering the exact same aspects but ... the thing with this progressive nature to the flow ... the "correction vector" may actually be less supportive of the UKMET. it sucks sick of it. like everything just tries get around the planet immediately when it emerges 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Such a tortuous hobby/passion this thing called weather. When it goes bad.. it really goes bad And when it goes good, it’s not good enough. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Such a tortuous hobby/passion this thing called weather. When it goes bad.. it really goes bad ah yeah... that's an interesting veneer for it - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Euro is teeing up December 8th too now...looks like something brewing this run behind the 12/6 system (which is actually a decent front ender for NNE). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Nice +PNA behind that system on the 6th this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 But are we kicking the can ... It seems both warm and cool pattern looks are being pushed off in lieu of just oscillatory and uninspired. -nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 The other aspect that's as fun as a splinter lodged in the rib area of a sweater's fabric is that these individual horizon emergence' ? They unrelentingly become less and less as they get closer and closer in time. Maybe not on a straight diagonal to hell but the end points invariable seem to feature a verification that is downsized - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 enjoy that fantasy snow for the next 12 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, forkyfork said: enjoy that fantasy snow for the next 12 hours Sooner or later a snowstorm will happen 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Sooner or later a snowstorm will happen Methinks later for you and me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: But are we kicking the can ... It seems both warm and cool pattern looks are being pushed off in lieu of just oscillatory and uninspired. -nice 2 more Rainers and then we’ve got the day 10 system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 To me the biggest takeaway is the guidance is advertising SWFEs. Latitude ftw and consistent with decent nina winters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 The Euro trended pretty heavily toward the GFS for that gig next week... That's a polar warm sector for SNE on just this one 12z cycle. plus, it's likely over-amped - like I just got done saying... - but how about -30C over mid Ontario D7 poised and ready wow... and right after we get rain, too - perfect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: 2 more Rainers and then we’ve got the day 10 system And the confidence is a hard on, huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: And the confidence is a hard on, huh That too will turn warm to Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: To me the biggest takeaway is the guidance is advertising SWFEs. Latitude ftw and consistent with decent nina winters. As Bruce says, "Don't get caught on the wrong side of that line". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That too will turn warm to Maine Dam, was hoping to have a foot OTG and 2 feet in the snow column by now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Not much of a cutter on the EPS. If anything decent for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Dam, was hoping to have a foot OTG and 2 feet in the snow column by now. We can’t even do 1-3 in SNE on a front end . Warmth just overwhelming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2021 Author Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Not much of a cutter on the EPS. If anything decent for NNE. My prayers have been answered. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Nice 12z runs...just regular winter cold behind a few cutters. Wonder if SNE punts the first half of December and thus a large chunk of winter? Time will tell 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We can’t even do 1-3 in SNE on a front end . Warmth just overwhelming You can be such a downer. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2021 Author Share Posted November 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We can’t even do 1-3 in SNE on a front end . Warmth just overwhelming Its not really a warm pattern...just need some luck with all of the cold dumping out west, and we aren't getting it as modeled quite yet. Reminds me of 20018-2019 a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not much of a cutter on the EPS. If anything decent for NNE. 7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My prayers have been answered. God bless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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