North Balti Zen Posted November 18, 2021 Share Posted November 18, 2021 Bowling balls! Phantom bowling balls! PNAs of all types and sizes! Fringing! 70s! Discuss it all here! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 -PNA. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 -----(to infinity)PNA!!!!! (just to upstage CAPE there, hahaha!!). But could that actually work if we also have a -----(infinity)NAO??? The mind wonders!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 Yeah, that's actually a +400dm -PNA on the 18z GFS ensemble mean at 384hr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 The blocking looks to hold on through mid Dec at least. None of us are getting buried the next 4 weeks. But I think snow is coming for the favored areas. Now give me a weenie. 46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 6z gfs has a nice set up for next weekend with a cold high pressing south and a storm to our southwest. A month from now it would be a nice set up to atleast get some front end love but it's still a little early. As is, it does gives some flakes to the northern crew but it's over a week out so probably will be gone by 12z run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 9 hours ago, clskinsfan said: The blocking looks to hold on through mid Dec at least. None of us are getting buried the next 4 weeks. But I think snow is coming for the favored areas. Now give me a weenie. It really does seem like high-latitude blocking wants to stick around, which is obviously one big necessary ingredient if we want to score. If nothing else, it keeps hope alive. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ldub23 Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 JB keeps my hopes alive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 13 hours ago, clskinsfan said: The blocking looks to hold on through mid Dec at least. None of us are getting buried the next 4 weeks. But I think snow is coming for the favored areas. Now give me a weenie. Wow, congrats....that is the most weenies I have ever seen for one post. You asked for them, and you received lol 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 13 hours ago, clskinsfan said: The blocking looks to hold on through mid Dec at least. None of us are getting buried the next 4 weeks. But I think snow is coming for the favored areas. Now give me a weenie. 3 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 That period after thanksgiving around D9-11 is interesting. Again just wish it was late December instead of late November. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: That period after thanksgiving around D9-11 is interesting. Again just wish it was late December instead of late November. Yeah I thought the op Euro 12z look was quicker to push the front south late on Thanksgiving vs. previous runs and GFS. Has that CAD/overrunning sig. long way to go and lots of calories to consume before next weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wow, congrats....that is the most weenies I have ever seen for one post. You asked for them, and you received lol Hahaha! I was just thinking the same thing...that must be a record number of weenies received for a post. I chucked another one his way just to be sure! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: Not sure I can ever eat hotdogs again... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 25!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 25!! 26 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 19 minutes ago, mattie g said: 26 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted November 19, 2021 Share Posted November 19, 2021 Level 34 Post 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 That period from November 29th thru December 10th will see a cornucopia of s/w's that will be interesting to follow. Also, if anyone wants my take on winter for the Mid Atlantic this year, there are two periods I like for bigger events this winter; the first 3 weeks of December and most of the month of February into March. I do see a January thaw, once again considering the evolution of ENSO and the analogs based on the current unfolding of everything. I really like @40/70 Benchmark writeup and forecast and is very in-line with the progs from other LR forecasts from mets across the east. The core of the cold still needs to manifest itself after a late start, but it's certainly building over the Yukon, AK, and Siberia, so patience will be a virtue. Hopefully there are multiple storms everyone can cash, but I will warn, this could be a dud winter as well with the Nina, so expectations should be tempered. My forecast is slightly above normal temp wise with below normal snow, but potential for snow to bust high is legit 50/50 considering how things can break second half of winter. I'd say 80-90% confidence in AN temps and lean 60% below normal snowfall, but around 50-75% of normal with higher risk of ice west of the BR for later in season. 15 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Kevin Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 27 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: That period from November 29th thru December 10th will see a cornucopia of s/w's that will be interesting to follow. Also, if anyone wants my take on winter for the Mid Atlantic this year, there are two periods I like for bigger events this winter; the first 3 weeks of December and most of the month of February into March. I do see a January thaw, once again considering the evolution of ENSO and the analogs based on the current unfolding of everything. I really like @40/70 Benchmark writeup and forecast and is very in-line with the progs from other LR forecasts from mets across the east. The core of the cold still needs to manifest itself after a late start, but it's certainly building over the Yukon, AK, and Siberia, so patience will be a virtue. Hopefully there are multiple storms everyone can cash, but I will warn, this could be a dud winter as well with the Nina, so expectations should be tempered. My forecast is slightly above normal temp wise with below normal snow, but potential for snow to bust high is legit 50/50 considering how things can break second half of winter. I'd say 80-90% confidence in AN temps and lean 60% below normal snowfall, but around 50-75% of normal with higher risk of ice west of the BR for later in season. I think the east based niña that is forming and -qbo that is now at 50mb should be not discounted. We hope it's for colder stormier, but laniñas can be duds with no cold no snow/ice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Level 34 Post 37...keep the support coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 28 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 37...keep the support coming Vote early...vote often!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Vote early...vote often!!! The reminds me of the weenie of the year voting we used to do here at New Years. I remember I upset Brick Tamland in 2009 haha. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The reminds me of the weenie of the year voting we used to do here at New Years. I remember I upset Brick Tamland in 2009 haha. Haha! Did it go to a recount?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 5 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Haha! Did it go to a recount?! Nah, I took him down...I campaigned relentlessly throughout all of the regional forums. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wow, congrats....that is the most weenies I have ever seen for one post. You asked for them, and you received lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 That is a sad OP run for getting into early Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 8 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: That is a sad OP run for getting into early Dec. It has cold but no storm systems to take advantage of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted November 20, 2021 Share Posted November 20, 2021 15 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: That is a sad OP run for getting into early Dec. I don’t hate all that snow in a cold source region. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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