vortmax Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Hanging by a thread still. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 18, 2021 Author Share Posted December 18, 2021 This is what upstate winters have come to, sad times. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Flakes are gone. Every time this setup occurs, I think maybe this time it won't changeover. Lol. Physics always wins. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 When did the UK become so bad? Grossly off inside 18 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Huge cotton balls falling now, we know what that means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Cold air delayed but not forgotten, just give me one good LES storm this year and I'm happy. Both EPS/GEFS show a good clipper pattern showing up in January. We 100% take that with warm lakes. Not buying it yet. It was supposed to be colder after Xmas and it has been delayed. Call it buyers remorse or just been burned too many times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Big flakes here...but since it's been April the past week, snow is struggling to add up. By the time we finally hit an inch, we'll change over. Looks like the Mix line may be holding at the Thruway for a bit. When did winters become so sucky? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 You set yourself up for failure with that question lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Two hours of snow with less than a slushy inch. That's what I called for 5 days ago. What's the point of having models anymore when we know it's going to be the SAME thing every time? Snow quickly shut off and doesn't seem to be doing anything now...Which means sleet and rain next. Maybe we'll have some forsythia blooming for a yellow Christmas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 PLSN at the airport right now. I can smell the taint. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 1.75 so far here in lowville, temp 28 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: PLSN at the airport right now. I can smell the taint. It transitioned from heavy snow to heavy hell in about 1 minute. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 18, 2021 Author Share Posted December 18, 2021 26 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Not buying it yet. It was supposed to be colder after Xmas and it has been delayed. Call it buyers remorse or just been burned too many times. I don't blame you but that typhoon resulted in a delay of MJO going to phase 7 by about a week. That's why were a week behind. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I don't blame you but that typhoon resulted in a delay of MJO going to phase 7 by about a week. That's why were a week behind. 12Z GFS shows several opportunities for snow between Christmas and New Years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 What a waste of moisture. Training right over the thruway. This was inches from a solid snow event. Ugh. Not a lot between now and Christmas but there’s a couple of possibilities. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Perhaps the snow will pick up when this dry pocket (shocker) that formed over Onondaga county, goes away. Checking out webcams, it doesn't even look like downtown Syracuse/metro. area even has a coating. That's worse so far than how Buffalo has done! lol.... Atleast we have like 3/4's of an inch here in the NW burbs...haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Took a measurement before this melts. I tried but only 7/8". Not even a proper inch. Good job to all the NWP that showed 3-6" here pretty consistently. Mix of shite flakes and pingers now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 17 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I don't blame you but that typhoon resulted in a delay of MJO going to phase 7 by about a week. That's why were a week behind. From what I’m seeing constructed OLR maps push this into phase 7 this coming week. Gefs OLR look to stall it at border of phase 6/7 or just barely into 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Careful what you type...I saw buckeye lurking on here................. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 32.4f with heavy rain and sleet. Crazy to miss a solid event by some decimal dust. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Took a measurement before this melts. I tried but only 7/8". Not even a proper inch. Good job to all the NWP that showed 3-6" here pretty consistently. Mix of shite flakes and pingers now Do we hope for Lake Ontario to do its normal job of saving us with an inch of snow after the normal synoptic failure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Careful what you type...I saw buckeye lurking on here................. Go Blue! Buwahaaa 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Do we hope for Lake Ontario to do its normal job of saving us with an inch of snow after the normal synoptic failure? Maybe. Who knows. I don't recall a great LES signature on the backside but anything is possible when it comes to scratching out trivial snowfalls here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Just enough to screw us 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 7 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: 32.4f with heavy rain and sleet. Crazy to miss a solid event by some decimal dust. Probably a quick jaunt up 81 and I could still get to a winter wonderland. In Liverpool it turned at about noon. Can still see the grass - and damn it's still waterlogged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Wet snowflakes falling after a brief lull. So bad when we have to settle for this mashed potatoes snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: Wet snowflakes falling after a brief lull. So bad when we have to settle for this mashed potatoes snow. I just can't believe my lowered expectations still weren't low enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I just can't believe my lowered expectations still weren't low enough! This is what winter in much of western Europe is like. Seasons Beatings are upon us! Watching my football team now, Borussia Dortmund. Trying their best to also underperform. Looks gray and murky in Berlin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 A coating this morning, now sad drizzle. "It's technically still fall" not much consolation. Seems like a repeat of last winter. At least then we had a solid 4 weeks (late January to late February) of active and cold, replenishing 5-6 inches at a time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 18, 2021 Share Posted December 18, 2021 Mix line well into LO. Does the NWS ever learn?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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