Syrmax Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Sq 1 hour ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: I’m expecting nothing more then a half hour of snow switching over to sleet and then quickly to rain. Not expecting anymore then a dusting that will be gone within an hour after the changeover. Just not a good setup for us on the lake plain south of BUF. I tend to agree for BUF -> SYR. The hills may bag an inch or two but the warm nose or flat out warm sector will keep any meaningful frozen from the ADKs over to Central NE and interior Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: @Blue Moon, I'll make sure to really push Thinksnow for a 2 bedroom shanty for our banning to Worth, NY... I saw plenty of purty Unabomber shacks up in St. Lawrence County driving around on storm duty. Many in "move in" condition! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Not that it matters but NAM 0z looks north and strong through 36. It’s gonna be even uglier. Cottage country in Canada looking good. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Pretty similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Not that it matters but NAM 0z looks north and strong through 36. It’s gonna be even uglier. Cottage country in Canada looking good. Lol yea its toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Adjusting south some. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 It's better at first lol And it transfers, just too late.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Nam long range over 48 hours always play catchup to globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 At least it wasn’t horrible. Gives me hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 39 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I saw plenty of purty Unabomber shacks up in St. Lawrence County driving around on storm duty. Many in "move in" condition! St. Lawrence County??? Who wants bitter cold without the high snowfall averages? I suppose you have lots of frozen ponds and couple inch snowpacks though. Perhaps I could start working on this look: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Not bad! RGEM stays south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 ICON bumps south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 48 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: St. Lawrence County??? Who wants bitter cold without the high snowfall averages? I suppose you have lots of frozen ponds and couple inch snowpacks though. Perhaps I could start working on this look: Exactly. You won't be the Jonah robbing anyone of major amounts of snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 This beast in the Pacific could impact our weather in the next 1-2 weeks as it recurves 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Maybe slightly warmer on the GFS.. Gonna be hard not to mix..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 13 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: This beast in the Pacific could impact our weather in the next 1-2 weeks as it recurves 161 MPH Sustained, 195 MPG Gusts....MONSTER 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Not much different. Decent consensus this far out. Still fighting for my angry inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Ukie jumped on board with 3"-5" for most.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 Have never seen this observation before Current conditions at Marquette, Sawyer International Airport (KSAW) Lat: 46.35°NLon: 87.4°WElev: 1220ft. Heavy Snow 46°F 8°C 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 22 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Ukie jumped on board with 3"-5" for most.. That looks good for the Ukie. It could be the most widespread snowfall of the season to date for New York state! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 57 degrees at midnight in Buffalo in December. Craziness! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 16, 2021 Author Share Posted December 16, 2021 16 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: 57 degrees at midnight in Buffalo in December. Craziness! its 59 at 1 am on dec 16th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Euro came in warmer, brings the mixing up to about here.. Decent quick thump verbatim.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 The NWS is, shocker, going with the warmest solution possible, the NAM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Could be a decent ice storm too out this way, surface is fairly cold despite the mid level torch and UL torch. Still uncertain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Have never seen this observation before Current conditions at Marquette, Sawyer International Airport (KSAW) Lat: 46.35°NLon: 87.4°WElev: 1220ft. Heavy Snow 46°F 8°C I've personally seen moderate snow driving thru NW NJ at 51° per car thermo. It was pretty weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 Saturday Snow before 4pm, then sleet. High near 33. East wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Saturday Night Freezing rain and sleet before 10pm, then snow and sleet between 10pm and 1am, then a chance of snow after 1am. Low around 24. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 44 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I've personally seen moderate snow driving thru NW NJ at 51° per car thermo. It was pretty weird. I would love to see that sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 16, 2021 Share Posted December 16, 2021 5 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: I would love to see that sounding. Yeah, flakes weren't slushy either. Had slushballs fall yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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