MJO812 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Gfs looks good for your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 I don't think its a terrible look at all after next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Wow… Home on Hoover Beach in Hamburg literally ripped apart. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 23 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I’m in need of something. Maybe a pool and umbrella drinks? I'm driving around cow country trying to locate power outage sources. Blech. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 Looking at some damage reports of roofs that were blown off homes, definitely a high end event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 definitely some of the strongest winds I've ever experienced. The constant roar just a loft was insane. Lost power from 7pm to 8am this morning. Thinking easily 55-65 mph gusts in this area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Still no power here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 I think we made out pretty good here. We might have had a few gusts to 50 but the only damage I’ve found was my decorative flag and pole was ripped out of the side of my house. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 Lost in translation yesterday but Buffalo beat its record high by 6 degrees. Record was 61 we hit 67. The normal high is 38 so +29 yesterday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 47 minutes ago, tim123 said: Still no power here Same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 hour ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Wow… Home on Hoover Beach in Hamburg literally ripped apart. I knew that house looked familiar, they lost that side of the house in 2020 too. You can see the water damage in your pics. https://www.wgrz.com/amp/article/news/local/many-homes-along-hoover-beach-damaged-in-sundays-wind-storm/71-ee4d3d94-7f0a-4c5e-a6e3-5fb1a4023dd6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 Just incredible 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Looks like no one wanted to report from WNY lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 No power here since 530pm yesterday. Drove around today and didn’t see all that much damage. The worst I saw was just 500 yards from my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Something to follow I guess lol Within 6 days or so.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Storm damage survey around the harbor this morning. BW check out the debris on the break wall. Guess we left at the right time, would have hurt getting pelted with those stones. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Something to follow I guess lol Within 6 days or so.. Would love for that to happen I am heading to Lake Placid to Ski this weekend and could enjoy some new powder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2021 Author Share Posted December 12, 2021 Osu said the upcoming pattern is pretty dam good for synoptic snow. Chance of a cutter or two, but if you guys want “man” snow for your snow depth fetishes you may get your wish. My 5” per hour fetish will have to be put on hold. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 Not terrible lol With near normal probabilities.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 23 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: So tomorrow we get to solve this riddle. What on earth is this weird radar signature. Is it mist from the falls, trash from the landfill, birds from the landfills, smoke from a fire? It’s certainly not precip. Very interesting. Well it’s tomorrow! Guesses? For comparison here is what the Steel Plant Fire looked like on radar back in 2016. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 D8-14 Slight probabilities+ anomalies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 A lot of noise online about a decent pattern setting up around Christmas time. Based on MJO. Admittedly, I don’t understand this much but you’re going to have a hell of a time beating down the SE ridge. Transient cold shots, post cutters, would be my guess. But I wouldn’t argue with OSU. Cohen might though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 4 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Looks like no one wanted to report from WNY lol I believe they only record and report thunderstorm-related wind reports. Non-tstorm wind damage only gets recorded and reported by the local NWS offices. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: A lot of noise online about a decent pattern setting up around Christmas time. Based on MJO. Admittedly, I don’t understand this much but you’re going to have a hell of a time beating down the SE ridge. Transient cold shots, post cutters, would be my guess. But I wouldn’t argue with OSU. Cohen might though Yeah that first storm for next weekend has a high potential of being a hybrid cutter IMO. I foresee it being a slop storm for many esp the further south you go. Maybe some get a decent thump snow before a warm nose brings the taint. We'll see what happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 2 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Well it’s tomorrow! Guesses? For comparison here is what the Steel Plant Fire looked like on radar back in 2016. So it looks like there was a fire overnight right in that area but it should have long been out by the time I captured that radar. I wonder if it flared back up? The address of the fire is 2040 cory drive. Sanborn ny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: So it looks like there was a fire overnight right in that area but it should have long been out by the time I captured that radar. I wonder if it flared back up? The address of the fire is 2040 cory drive. Sanborn ny. Based on this press release, that was a minor fire confined to a chimney. Would have needed a much larger fire to generate that much smoke. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2021 Share Posted December 12, 2021 2 hours ago, rochesterdave said: A lot of noise online about a decent pattern setting up around Christmas time. Based on MJO. Admittedly, I don’t understand this much but you’re going to have a hell of a time beating down the SE ridge. Transient cold shots, post cutters, would be my guess. But I wouldn’t argue with OSU. Cohen might though Eric Webb another well known Met was copied to the NE forum earlier as the EPS is beginning to show a -NAO the week of Xmas. I wouldn’t look into the op models all that much right now as they’re wildly all over the map, literally. Give it about 3 days and some things for the weekend will start to become clearer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: So it looks like there was a fire overnight right in that area but it should have long been out by the time I captured that radar. I wonder if it flared back up? The address of the fire is 2040 cory drive. Sanborn ny. Actually I think it was this fire in North Tonawanda. First alarm was toned out at 4:05pm. When you single frame the radar you first see the plume at 4:03pm. Fire was declared fully involved 50 minutes later at 4:55pm which would line up with the radar times. Probably just looking more impressive with the winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 Good look. Who knows? One of these transient set-ups could fire one up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 13, 2021 Share Posted December 13, 2021 1 hour ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Actually I think it was this fire in North Tonawanda. First alarm was toned out at 4:05pm. When you single frame the radar you first see the plume at 4:03pm. Fire was declared fully involved 50 minutes later at 4:55pm which would line up with the radar times. Probably just looking more impressive with the winds. I posted that last night. North Tonawanda looks to be south of where that radar echo was originating though. And I don't think an average size residential home would cause enough smoke to show up on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now