96blizz Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 43 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Euro consistent with the wrap around W/NW flow this upcoming weekend.. Man am I praying for this. Plan on decorating the tree and house and would pick the snowiest day! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaistDeepSnow Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 50 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks pretty good for those that get hit with NW flow the next 10 days or so. Couple decent events. I don't see any synoptic hits just lake effect behind cold fronts. I like the end of the GEFS, lets hope it stays like that. It would be nice to get some SW flow events for the north towners. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 The joys of predicting lake effect precipitation.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2021 Author Share Posted November 22, 2021 26 minutes ago, WaistDeepSnow said: It would be nice to get some SW flow events for the north towners. Going to be a little while for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 GFS looked somewhat better for this weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 46 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The joys of predicting lake effect precipitation.. Knowing how well the Rgem does with lake effect snow, it kills me seeing it miss me to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yea early December doesn't look wintry at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 WSYR local meteorologist are calling for 1-3 as the band oscillates and then it looks like they went with more of the southern model run of a band setting up shop over eastern cayuga/southwest onondaga. i am with you tughillmatt, my name is matt as well and i just relocated last year from oswego down here to liverpool right off soule rd about a minute from rte 31...being new to the route 31 corridor, what kind of wind is the best setup for us that can produce a stationary band that doesnt jump right over us? Is there any historical archive maps of northern onondaga county that reflect past big pure lake effect events other then nws maps..i would assume a west to north west wind with more towards a northwest wind would be almost ideal..i was accustomed to oswego getting the winds on a west to slightly west north west wind. but i tended to find that oswego had to have pretty light calm winds for a big time stationary band to set up over the city of oswego... i drive daily from liverpool to oswego and traveling up 481 the fulton/volney area always seems to be the sweet spot..let me know your thoughts with this storm regarding snow amounts and in general for northern onondaga. Also if anyone can help me out and repost what i had seen a picture of from a good while back. it was a picture of the direction of the wind flow it had different arrows coming off the lake and for each arrow it showed the degree of wind flow for each angle. would like a picture to relate to when the national weather service discussion talk about the wind direction degree relating it to my area.. Thanks everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 5 minutes ago, Blue Moon said: Fulton's obs. temp is 32F right now. Curious if they're getting accumulating snow down the road. SUNY Oswego's on-campus tower reports 38F: https://www.oswego.edu/met_class/tower/ Latest metar from the Oswego County airport in Fulton is reporting light snow with 1 mile visibility. But in the remarks it states that visibility is variable from 1/2 to 5 miles. It’s possible that in one of those heavier squalls the temperature could fall to 32. METAR for:KFZY (Fulton/Oswego Cnty, NY, US) Text:KFZY 221821Z AUTO 26017G25KT 1SM -SN BKN026 OVC033 01/M04 A2991 RMK AO2 VIS 1/2V5 P0001 T00111039 Temperature:1.1°C ( 34°F) Dewpoint:-3.9°C ( 25°F) [RH = 69%] Pressure (altimeter):29.91 inches Hg (1013.0 mb) Winds:from the W (260 degrees) at 20 MPH (17 knots; 8.7 m/s) gusting to 29 MPH (25 knots; 12.9 m/s) Visibility:1.00 sm ( 1.61 km) Ceiling:2600 feet AGL Clouds:broken clouds at 2600 feet AGL, overcast cloud deck at 3300 feet AGL Weather:-SN (light snow) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Ground is white here again. Maybe a 1/2"-3/4" of white gold. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Band has been teasing here all day. Looks like it's heading north a bit. Yep, I can tell where this is going... Southern Oswego County gets it...transitions and jumps over us to hit the Finger Lakes. Right, @Syrmax? I think I'm getting the gist of this. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Band has been teasing here all day. Looks like it's heading north a bit. Yep, I can tell where this is going... Southern Oswego County gets it...transitions and jumps over us to hit the Finger Lakes. Right, @Syrmax? I think I'm getting the gist of this. lol I think I read in one discussion that the L.O. band would be more westerly at first and sag to WNW flow over the night. I never have much expectation with Fake Effect snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Matt, did you do this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 WSYR NEWS CHANNEL 9 newest updated snowfall map for tonight... based off this map looks like they have adjusted the highest snow totals and bullseye for the lake effect band to set up over southern oswego county into the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 I just saw a car driving through Bville with snow on it. Obviously came from Oswego county. That was my snow find for the day. Haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 3 hours ago, Syrmax said: Matt, did you do this? Haha! They actually just updated it, and to my surprise, they expanded that area of 6 to 8 inches. Did YOU have something to do with this... Hmmm?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 That's actually 6"-8" Mr Matt, 4"-6" for syracuse proper.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Band is a mess right now, should organize better this evening just in time to move south lol Either way intermittent snow showers.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 19 minutes ago, mattny88 said: WSYR NEWS CHANNEL 9 newest updated snowfall map for tonight... based off this map looks like they have adjusted the highest snow totals and bullseye for the lake effect band to set up over southern oswego county into the night I'd bet on this map verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That's actually 6"-8" Mr Matt, 4"-6" for syracuse proper.. Yeah, I corrected it shortly after typing that. BGM mentioned in their headlines that the band could start affecting Northern part of Syracuse by sunset. I don't see that happening. The winds are reading at WNW, but I don't see that corresponding to the band yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Love watching bands move in off the lake...Looks like maybe a dusting there...Oswego webcam: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 29 minutes ago, vortmax said: I'd bet on this map verifying. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Starting to stick to the roadways, mix of heavy snow and graupel.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Looks like WPC going with moderate probabilities (4+) in C Oswego county.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Glad to see the Oswego County guys getting some snow action right now. Enjoy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, Blue Moon said: Light snow falling here. The IP to snow transition happened around sunset. Snow is moderate at times but mostly light. Ground is dusted. Temp = 33.5F, air at 2m near saturation. You are going to quickly learn how a snowfall that would shut everything down in Tennessee is cleaned up in an hour and life goes on as if nothing ever happened. Sure, people will complain about the cold and snow cleanup...but usually you don't hear too much of that from "most" people until you get the 10 to 14 days of daily several inch snowfalls. Those really can be an inconvenience, as any time you go outside you're clearing a car off or shoveling. But us snow weenies LOVE that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2021 Author Share Posted November 22, 2021 GL central NY crew. That band is going to be KICKING for a few hours. 3 lake connection, at night, great moisture, has it all. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 22, 2021 Author Share Posted November 22, 2021 @wolfie09 Hows it looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: @wolfie09 Hows it looking? Getting bouts of heavier snow with occasional graupel..A little disorganized at the moment..It is slowly accumulating with temps a little below freezing.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 22, 2021 Share Posted November 22, 2021 Now we are seeing some traditional"parachutes" but the band is slowly sinking southward.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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