96blizz Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Looks like some light lake effect mood drops of rain on Xmas while we huddle around the tree here in upstate NY. …just freaking fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 5 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: Remember the days when we didn’t have one of strongest -pna’s on record? It's not just the -PNA causing this "problem." It's been a pretty common theme across the Great Lakes in recent years. You have to be waaaaaaay north of a Low to get snow because the air is "stale cool" air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 11 minutes ago, sferic said: I pay the $6.99/ month, any other paid sites you recommend? Why isn't the ICON on pivotal? Thanks! Well not at that price point lol I like Weather Bell but it $25 a month, can cancel at anytime though..Storm Vista is another one that will run you about$20 a month.. Just a heads up PW will be increasing membership cost starting January 1st..It will now be $9.99 a month.. On December 1st, 2021 to help our users forecast for the upcoming winter season we expanded our Euro model data to all our Plus members! A summary of new data and features that will be available are listed below. Finally, to allow us to continue to expand our solution offering and fund the new ECMWF data cost, new pricing for all Plus memberships will go into affect on January 1st, 2022. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 THE kick in the jimmy? The 12z has a HP so strong the systems in the LR fizzle out or get pushed south!!! I keep looking for the cameras because this has to be a sit-com… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 9 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Looks like some light lake effect mood drops of rain on Xmas while we huddle around the tree here in upstate NY. …just freaking fantastic. Maybe if you get up at 1 am and put on the flood lights, you can huddle around the tree and still have a White, rainless Christmas. Win! (Kind of?) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: The sun just came out, and within seconds I could HEAR and see the dusting of snow melting rapidly off the rooftops. lol Sun angle increasing already! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 5 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Sun angle increasing already! I'm hedging my bets on the longer day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Looks like some good instability crossing over Lake Ontario right now. Perhaps we'll see some squalls forming this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 This pattern is infuriating. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Aren't people still mowing this year? I actually mowed a little area on Monday. Fixed the mower and one area that was too wet to mow last time was dried up and bugging me. The area was still snow (dusting) covered, but grass was cut! Snow flurries currently! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 GEFS showing a rebuilding of eastern ridge around new years, pattern is LOCKED 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 12 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS showing a rebuilding of eastern ridge around new years, pattern is LOCKED Historic pattern for the west, they deserve it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Starting to come down solid here even though the band is meh lol It's gotten a little stronger locally.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 There are still flowers blooming in Rochester. Snap Dragons and the such. To quote Tim, “This pattern is infuriating “. I see no signs of a breakdown (in the pattern that is). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 16 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: I actually mowed a little area on Monday. Fixed the mower and one area that was too wet to mow last time was dried up and bugging me. The area was still snow (dusting) covered, but grass was cut! Snow flurries currently! I've had the mower out a few times in December this year to clean up some shaggy grass and rogue leaves. The lawns are pretty lush right now and the golf courses I've been playing on are in phenomenal shape all things considered. I imagine I'll get in some January rounds at this rate. February is our only consistent wintry month over the last decade, so I still have hope we'll get some winter, just a smaller dose than we had hoped. Our winter kickball league starts next week and we don't play unless the ground is frozen or there is at least 1 inch of snow, so that looks to be in serious jeopardy. The league threatens to cancel it altogether every year because we have had to cancel so many games, then last year we would would have 6 consecutive weeks where we could have played but of course it was canceled because of Covid, bahhhh Can't win! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 25 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS showing a rebuilding of eastern ridge around new years, pattern is LOCKED That’s a wrap…at least for the next 2 weeks again. I’m pretty certain this is going to be quite a teaching to many Mets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 5 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: That’s a wrap…at least for the next 2 weeks again. I’m pretty certain this is going to be quite a teaching to many Mets. It's certainly not pretty, but this is not a shutout pattern we're in. We have chances over the next 2 weeks. It's not a torch, and it's not a winter wonderland. But, it's better than what we had the first half of the month. I'm keeping expectations super low, but also would not be surprised with some surprises. If tomorrow night works out, that would be one of example of a minor event that was non-existent on the models a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 36 minutes ago, Flying MXZ said: I actually mowed a little area on Monday. Fixed the mower and one area that was too wet to mow last time was dried up and bugging me. The area was still snow (dusting) covered, but grass was cut! Snow flurries currently! I shoulda just left my mower deck on. Odds of needing the plow or snowblower attachments are steadily declining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 7 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: That’s a wrap…at least for the next 2 weeks again. I’m pretty certain this is going to be quite a teaching to many Mets. Now if we could just get this pattern to lock in for spring and summer we'd be in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Now if we could just get this pattern to lock in for spring and summer we'd be in business. Would love this pattern for spring/summer but would like to go skiing a few times this winter. I'm thinking about booking a trip out west in march. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: It's certainly not pretty, but this is not a shutout pattern we're in. We have chances over the next 2 weeks. It's not a torch, and it's not a winter wonderland. But, it's better than what we had the first half of the month. I'm keeping expectations super low, but also would not be surprised with some surprises. If tomorrow night works out, that would be one of example of a minor event that was non-existent on the models a few days ago. But It does feel like we are the NY Mets losing 12-1 in the 2nd inning or the NY Giants down 17-3 in the 1st Quarter...I've become all too accustomed to both of those realities in recent years. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 @wolfie09, I just found a live webcam for Pulaski. This must be a new one. Now I can 'fact check" your observations. https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/pulaski/?cam=pulaski_salmon 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Would love this pattern for spring/summer but would like to go skiing a few times this winter. I'm thinking about booking a trip out west in march. You just know the pattern will have shifted by then. Rockies will be melting while we "enjoy" our traditional late season snow showers and well below avg temps from mid March into the April timeframe. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, Syrmax said: But It does feel like we are the NY Mets losing 12-1 in the 2nd inning or the NY Giants down 17-3 in the 1st Quarter...I've become all too accustomed to both of those realities in recent years. I take it you might want to do... "ahem" ... some trading? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Haha thanks..Or you can just look at radar lol In and out of heavier burst.. Take what I can get I guess.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just remember this is from Feb. of this year (Last winter). Things can change quickly in upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Haha thanks..Or you can just look at radar lol In and out of heavier burst.. Take what I can get I guess.. Radars lie. Rumors about lake effect. Gotta set it or it ain't happening. It certainly looks more wintry there than the next county south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 5 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: @wolfie09, I just found a live webcam for Pulaski. This must be a new one. Now I can 'fact check" your observations. https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/pulaski/?cam=pulaski_salmon Good stuff.. That's about a mile and a half away.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 @TugHillMatt setup watching every webcam with snow falling in the world 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: Sun angle increasing already! Same sun angle as Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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