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Upstate/Eastern New York-Into Winter!


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24 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Gfs still giving hopium to buf roc. 

12z held serve. I kinda think that with this system not being wrapped up as tightly as it originally was modeled that an open wave would give way to the Canadian high just to the north…it’s why I still believe the 90 north and northeast has the best chance for a few inches out of this system. I also noticed the middle “warmup “ next week was very minimal on the GFS. More if a clipper type system with a little WAA ahead of it. 

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30 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Nbm. Wtf 

Lol yeah... National Blend of Models. I had to Google to see what it was. I've seen the NWS discussions citing it quite a bit the past few years. Apparently it's a melting pot of all the various operational and ensembles but I'm not sure what the weighting system is. The latest version 4.0 from October 2020 now includes the Euro and EPS.

https://luckgrib.com/models/nbm_conus/

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