TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 I hate to say this, but what this shows here has been THE track the past decade. Compared to normal Southeast Michigan has been doing quite well compared to almost everywhere else in the East. Many of the systems have ended up on this path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I hate to say this, but what this shows here has been THE track the past decade. Compared to normal Southeast Michigan has been doing quite well compared to almost everywhere else in the East. Many of the systems have ended up on this path. I s add Leo hate to say it but the Niagara frontier is definitely in the best position for this event, as of now, of course that could change. The 18z did shift a bit SE from the 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Be interesting to see ensables 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Sunday morning on the GFS..Low 20s in Watertown, upper 30s/low40s in the Syracuse area.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Sunday morning on the GFS..Low 20s in Watertown, 40s in Syracuse lol If you could only see the amount of times I roll my eyes at the sizzle bubble that shows up in the Cuse on models AND in real life... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: 4 would be most of the forum 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 4 would be a miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: There's a lot of misses in there...different ways too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 29, 2021 Share Posted December 29, 2021 Still alot of spread so close in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: There's a lot of misses in there...different ways too. The one thing most of them have in common is they either miss to the north or the south, with the big ol' screwhole through much of NY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 18z Euro was essentially same as 12z and seems to be near locked in. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 5 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: https://www.glerl.noaa.gov/res/glcfs/ Thank you ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Thinking we're going to get skunked by two Lows this weekend. Primary too far north and secondary too far south. If we could get everything to press south 100 to 150 miles this weekend, we would have a better shot with the primary. 0Z Nam shows the sizzle of the Cuse sucking that Low right in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Thinking we're going to get skunked by two Lows this weekend. Primary too far north and secondary too far south. If we could get everything to press south 100 to 150 miles this weekend, we would have a better shot with the primary. 0Z Nam shows the sizzle of the Cuse sucking that Low right in. Next winter it will be better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Next winter it will be better. LOL. But, but, but... @BuffaloWeatherpromised this winter would be better! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 30, 2021 Author Share Posted December 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: LOL. But, but, but... @BuffaloWeatherpromised this winter would be better! IMG_3095.MP4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: IMG_3095.MP4 Lol... "We have not had 3 winters in a row with below average snowfall. Next winter will be better." You used stats to cover this though, so it's not your fault the winters suck. It's mine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 22 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Lol... "We have not had 3 winters in a row with below average snowfall. Next winter will be better." You used stats to cover this though, so it's not your fault the winters suck. It's mine. I said that many times. Believed it too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 GFS 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 So I'm just going to ignore the stupid little tongue of "lesser snow" that reaches out into Syracuse and focus on the big picture.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Interesting GFS run to say the least. Might have to stay up the Euro tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: Interesting GFS run to say the least. Might have to stay up the Euro tonight. I wouldn't unless the Ukie shows something. Cmc is far south and east with the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 The Icon doesn't agree, but that's not saying much. It wouldn't take much for the NAM to start heading in that direction. It's hard to go against what has been the main track for several winters though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I wouldn't unless the Ukie shows something. Cmc is far south and east with the low. We're talking about the primary low for Saturday, not the secondary. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: We're talking about the primary low for Saturday, not the secondary. I've lost track of which low anyone is talking about. #drunj ? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 Welp, the Canadian says, "You thought you were getting snow, eh? Think again, ya hosers!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 14 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: We're talking about the primary low for Saturday, not the secondary. Gotcha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 30, 2021 Share Posted December 30, 2021 0z GEFS mean is a bit improved from 18z especially from finger lakes westward but still alot of duds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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