mississaugasnow Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 28 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The GFS would turn our winter around in a hurry. It features a 20" snowstorm for all and then an epic LES event east/northesat of the lakes. That would be a big turn around haha. I say it every winter but I hope the SE ridge flexes hard in March and April. I enjoy warmer springs and despise mud season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 19 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: That would be a big turn around haha. I say it every winter but I hope the SE ridge flexes hard in March and April. I enjoy warmer springs and despise mud season I personally consider this hate speech. We already have one annoyance who routinely cheers-on warmth. We don’t need another. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 47 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Plus...look at your Username... that's bound to strike a nerve.... It was the only thing I was allowed to do while banned lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I personally consider this hate speech. We already have one annoyance who routinely cheers-on warmth. We don’t need another. Every forum has to have their warm lover. Me and @Syrmax have volunteered to play our part. Sizzlemas was awesome. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Active storm track. It has the potential to deliver but it also has the potential to really break hearts. Most of these are sliders without buckles in the jet stream- so they won’t have beefy north-northwest quadrants of snow, they’ll have slivers. It reminds me of last years pattern where Toronto got hit several times and everyone else got rain. Hey! At least it’ll be fun to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 53 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The GFS would turn our winter around in a hurry. It features a 20" snowstorm for all and then an epic LES event east/northesat of the lakes. We’ve had plenty of epic winters start in January. I’d take a snowless dec for a solid Jan and Feb every year. 01-02 and 00-01 come to mind. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Huge cutter on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 24 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Every forum has to have their warm lover. Me and @Syrmax have volunteered to play our part. Sizzlemas was awesome. Oh look, it's raining again! Shocked face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Huge cutter on the gfs So now it looks like the good ol' primary going waaaay NW and we hope for a secondary to form in time for us to cash in. I suppose it's better/different than what we've had the past two months. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: So now it looks like the good ol' primary going waaaay NW and we hope for a secondary to form in time for us to cash in. I suppose it's better/different than what we've had the past two months. I'm still waiting for my first legit dusting down here 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 2 hours ago, Syrmax said: Pretty much almost back to status quo ante here with a light covering of snow that managed to fall earlier this a.m. after the light snow-cover was washed away by our traditional XMas sizzle-rain. And the Jonah was even out of town for that. Go figure. See that hole in Northeastern PA? That's where I am at right now. (I see my aura holds strong in Bville as well.) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 16 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: So now it looks like the good ol' primary going waaaay NW and we hope for a secondary to form in time for us to cash in. I suppose it's better/different than what we've had the past two months. The 12z taketh what the 6z giveth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 31 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Huge cutter on the gfs 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: The 12z taketh what the 6z giveth The Canadian agrees...Ugh. Discouraging, but it's still a week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 949!!! Lol. These models. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 58 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Huge cutter on the gfs 180 hr OP models, its fun to post them with hot dogs but they shouldn't be taken seriously. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Seems like this might be a 2 part event. The initial wave has a good chance to cut NW. Seems the trailing energy might be the main event to focus on. Hopefully the lead wave doesn't gum up the works. Canadian deepened the 2nd wave to 949mb in New England lol. Very believable. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 GEFS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 With that gradient pattern, someone will be getting a big storm in that Jan 2-4 timerange. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 @TugHillMatt Nice little jack over sizzlecuse 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Nobody likes the euro anymore? Lol It shows some rain-light snow.. Last night's 0z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: @TugHillMatt Nice little jack over sizzlecuse Lol... I was going to type something earlier, but kept it to myself. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Nobody likes the euro anymore? Lol It shows some rain-light snow.. Last night's 0z.. Why refer to the Euro anymore when it doesn't give us the 200 non-existent inches of snow that the GFS does? 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 This GEFS Member: the closest to reality? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Euro past year has been kinda crazy. I'd have to say gfs is actually on par or better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Why refer to the Euro anymore when it doesn't give us the 200 non-existent inches of snow that the GFS does? Euro is by far the best model still as evident from its long range forecast compared to others so far this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: The Canadian agrees...Ugh. Discouraging, but it's still a week out. Well, my son reports heavy snow around the Navy base in Bremerton Washington, not far from Seattle. I told him we have the Seattle weather ready to go when he flies home on leave in a few days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Lead wave on the Euro cuts NW for Sat Night into Sunday. Good model consensus for this solution it seems. Main trough still gathering itself at the NM/TX border... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 I knew it was coming lol Next one misses to the SE.. Plausible scenario.. Still far out though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Trailing storm stays an open positively tilted wave on the Euro and misses east. Blah. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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