Thinksnow18 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 59 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That system is going to cut west mine as well get some decent les behind. Flow turns nw behind so impacts everyone really. Who doesn’t want to watch the bills vs pats on Monday in a lake effect band? Not really a good synoptic pattern next 2 weeks with se ridge. It’s cutter season. GFS yes…Euro not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Even if it does snow next week, it will melt the next day or two as temps jump right back into the 40s. Very reminiscent (for the next couple weeks) of our "coldest" periods of the 11-12 winter. The few times it did snow, the snow was gone the next day. You really should have moved somewhere with elevation if you want snow retention in Upstate NY. I don't think there is any winter where we go nonstop snowcover around here, there are always at least 3-4 cutters a winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: GFS yes…Euro not so much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: You really should have moved somewhere with elevation if you want snow retention in Upstate NY. I don't think there is any winter where we go nonstop snowcover around here, there are always at least 3-4 cutters a winter. I reluctantly know that cutters will happen every winter....but we have had waaaaaaaay more than this past decade. You know I love snowcover....and we should get more than 3 to 4 weeks of snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Well here is the euro at 7pm..Looks a little south compared to what's shown above..The low level winds over Erie are basically W/WSW verbatim.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Well here is the euro at 7pm..Looks a little south compared to what's shown above..The low level winds over Erie are basically W/WSW verbatim.. Would be awesome to get that band over orchard park for a Monday night game. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 When was the last monday night game at the ralph? A few decades ago? I looked it up Nov 17th, 2008, we also had one in 2007 and then before that 1994. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Probably a little on the old side but I think they added a bit to it lol Cold air at 850 hPa deepening -10 to -14C behind the cold front through Tuesday will set the stage for a lake effect precipitation response, with accumulating lake snows likely Monday afternoon through Tuesday. Exact placement is still uncertain at this point...but could include areas northeast of the Lakes, including Buffalo and Watertown Monday. More of a westerly flow Monday night should nudge lake snows southward across the typical snow belts. Lingering lake snows Tuesday should diminish some late in the day with a slightly drier air mass, before another system approaches Wednesday. 00Z model guidance is weaker with this wave of low pressure, lowering the risk for strong winds. However, it`s also a bit colder supporting a widespread light snow for most of the area with some lake enhancement possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Well the icon has a nice lake response on Monday..GFS? Says next lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 47 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: You really should have moved somewhere with elevation if you want snow retention in Upstate NY. I don't think there is any winter where we go nonstop snowcover around here, there are always at least 3-4 cutters a winter. Have you even had an inch at your house yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Have you even had an inch at your house yet? Right around 5” biggest event was on the 13th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Well the icon has a nice lake response on Monday..GFS? Says next lol Gfs has been consistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 33 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: When was the last monday night game at the ralph? A few decades ago? I looked it up Nov 17th, 2008, we also had one in 2007 and then before that 1994. Patriots and Bills played a MNF game in Buffalo on Oct 29 2018… Bills starting QB… was checks notes… Derek Anderson? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Patriots and Bills played a MNF game in Buffalo on Oct 29 2018… Bills starting QB… was checks notes… Derek Anderson? Let’s hope the outcome is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Patriots and Bills played a MNF game in Buffalo on Oct 29 2018… Bills starting QB… was checks notes… Derek Anderson? I just came in to post this. I was at that bizarre game. It was all field goals until the fourth quarter. Not the Tom Brady shootout I was expecting. A snoozer of a game to be honest. I threw some great cornhole in the parking lot beforehand which was the highlight of the night, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 42 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Would be awesome to get that band over orchard park for a Monday night game. Well I officially have tickets now so I'll be there! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 17 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Right around 5” biggest event was on the 13th But a measured, on the ground, inch. Grass blades covered? How about the rest of you Buffalonians, you guys been living in a winter wonderland too? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 18 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Well I officially have tickets now so I'll be there! Let’s meet up for a pregame beer! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: But a measured, on the ground, inch. Grass blades covered? How about the rest of you Buffalonians, you guys been living in a winter wonderland too? Lol Yes that same event we picked up 3.2” in Williamsville and the grass was covered…it didn’t last particularly long but it was shovelable 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: But a measured, on the ground, inch. Grass blades covered? How about the rest of you Buffalonians, you guys been living in a winter wonderland too? Lol Lol...the 2 of you definitely are seeing the start of this season differently? Rochester and Syracuse itself have started off this season super slow. Looking at well below average if the next few weeks don't produce. Here in the northern burbs of Syracuse we're doing better snow-wise with that LES event we lucked out on. As I've said numerous times, the Pacific Jet the past several winters has been killing our winters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Just had a gust that shook the house. Had to be over 50mph…sun was out for about 30 minutes…wonder if that helped in mixing the atmosphere a bit more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Canadian came through with the goods for next week. Will it verify? No. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 Canadian with about 6 hours of a WSW flow, should be a pretty strong band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Canadian with about 6 hours of a WSW flow, should be a pretty strong band. Sleepover at the ralph! or whatever its called now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Not even a single winter weather adv. in the lower 48, and just a WWA in Alaska. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Sleepover at the ralph! or whatever its called now. Even the UK has it, it rarely shows lake effect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 43 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Even the UK has it, it rarely shows lake effect Sadly I think this is a southtowns special. The north towns will get their turn, just not this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said: Canadian came through with the goods for next week. Will it verify? No. Gfs is there but phases a bit slower than the Canuck…awaiting the Euro…which just showed an in between version of the GFS and the Canuck…it would be all snow but a 2-4” type event more as you go south towards PA line. 5-6 days out but all looks in unison…for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Euro is a solid event here as well. We shall see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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