BuffaloWeather Posted November 27, 2021 Author Share Posted November 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: It’s active. But we need one to catch and it’s tough to catch. It’s a swift flow and we’ll lose our block. I think it looks like more of the same- good for the Lake Effect Elevation areas. BS for the rest of us. But at least it bears watching. We don't lose our blocking, its still there. Very quick flow though. There is nothing that makes me think we won't get a normal Upstate December so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 27, 2021 Author Share Posted November 27, 2021 The models are all over though, look at NAO forecast lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 27, 2021 Author Share Posted November 27, 2021 That is a great setup at 192 hours on EPS. Greenland block along with deep through and plenty cold for snow. That is time period to watch for big snowstorm somewhere in the East. The biggest takeaway on this picture is the PV rotating lobes of colder air around as its on our side of the globe. That favors periods of below normal temps every couple days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 27, 2021 Author Share Posted November 27, 2021 Canadian with strong storm next Saturday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 Definitely too early to be useful (snowmobiling), but I will always take snow and cold when it's offered up. At least it will look and feel like winter/December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 54 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: @lakeeffectkid383 taking the under on this map, we're close to the 8-12. Are you thinking a WSW for tomorrow through Monday? Will end up being a WWA but this is looking impressive at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 58 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: @lakeeffectkid383 taking the under on this map, we're close to the 8-12. Definitley the under lol. I’m actually just inside the 8-12 inch zone. Not happening lol. Give me half of that and I’d be thrilled 4-6” over the next couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: @lakeeffectkid383 taking the under on this map, we're close to the 8-12. I think this could verify, it runs all the way until Tuesday 7am. I really like these clippers next few days. Won’t be anything crazy but chance of a couple inches each of the next three night with maybe some little surprises. Tonight we need to watch central Erie county for a lake band to setup out ahead and then embedded within the overall synoptic precip. Could provide a few hours of heavier rates IF it in fact does develop. Sunday PM still a bit unclear how much lake enchanted precip comes with system #2 but looks to target more south along the Ridge anyways so doesn’t really matter to me. Monday PM may also be interesting as winds back to SW ahead of a third wave and could bring a band dancing around up near the metro albeit short lived. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 3k 18z run hints at this narrow band tonight and has it hug the north shore of Lake Erie into BUF metro showing 3-4”. Raised the eyebrows enough to get a blurb in the 3pm AFD. Early season clipper with a warmer lake could get us a little overachiever. Well one can hope, at least we got something to watch tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 Evening runs looking even more pathetic for CNY snowfall the next few days. I thought I would come home from Tennessee with the ground completely covered and a winter wonderland. Not looking like that now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 58 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Evening runs looking even more pathetic for CNY snowfall the next few days. I thought I would come home from Tennessee with the ground completely covered and a winter wonderland. Not looking like that now. Have a minor dusting in my yard lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 11 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: Have a minor dusting in my yard lol. Friend in Bville sent me this picture a little bit ago of our snowcover there. Big numbers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 Snowing very nicely right now. Having no trouble what so ever covering the roads already. Sticking immediately with temps only making it to 34 today here and we’re back down to 30 as of now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 You can see the line of lake effect over Erie. Appears to be zeroing in on Buffalo. You can also see the precip drop off once it descends into the Genny Valley. Have fun Buf. I’ll enjoy my overcast. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 29 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Snowing very nicely right now. Having no trouble what so ever covering the roads already. Sticking immediately with temps only making it to 34 today here and we’re back down to 30 as of now. Nice! Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 This isn’t a true block pattern. It’s not zonal. But more conducive to more clippers? No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 28, 2021 Author Share Posted November 28, 2021 Grass almost covered here. A wintry evening 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 59 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Grass almost covered here. A wintry evening Same here. About an inch down already and snowing nicely despite radar looking kind of blah. Keeps up like this all night and no doubt we’ll have 3-4” by morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 What the heck happened lol? Went to bed and the snow must have stopped right after. Just measured 1.1” . Radar looks like crap for my area with nothing headed this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 14 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: What the heck happened lol? Went to bed and the snow must have stopped right after. Just measured 1.1” . Radar looks like crap for my area with nothing headed this way. Afd makes it sound like this afternoon should be interesting for a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 Nice little light snow here this morning with about an inch OTG from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 At least it looks wintry today. Inch or so down with nice sprinkle of flurries flying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 44 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Afd makes it sound like this afternoon should be interesting for a bit. nice… I’m up for some chasing this afternoon! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 A nice steady snow this morning, probably a few tenths of an inch..I believe that's coating#9 on the month.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 28, 2021 Author Share Posted November 28, 2021 Good start for the ski resorts 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 Could be a decent but brief lake response behind tomorrow's clipper, could be rain or snow or combination of both lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 51 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: A nice steady snow this morning, probably a few tenths of an inch..I believe that's coating#9 on the month.. Haha...we do those better than anybody... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 Full on sunshine and 50 degrees here in Kentucky. We will probably be running into that lake enhanced snow around Buffalo this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 Anyone got a link for ensemble stamps? The one that shows all the different runs on a single gridded page? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted November 28, 2021 Author Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, rochesterdave said: Anyone got a link for ensemble stamps? The one that shows all the different runs on a single gridded page? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/ewallmref.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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