A-L-E-K Posted November 5, 2021 Share Posted November 5, 2021 had a light frost on the top of cars this morning looks like a best climo weekend and week on tap blessed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 5, 2021 Share Posted November 5, 2021 gfs still selling flakes after the mini torch and cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 5, 2021 Share Posted November 5, 2021 Here's the Oct chart, and rankings by max, and high min. Fifth place overall since 1850. Max averages were very respectable over parts of the region, with high min averages seeing quite a few near records/records, especially in the eastern areas. Very impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 5, 2021 Share Posted November 5, 2021 GFS sure likes the bomb over my area on Vets Day. Kitchen sink might be there too. LOL. I do have a system moving in, tho, in my Holiday Forecast thread with a southern low. Will be interesting to see how this pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 I’ll have whatever the GFS is serving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Blizzardsman Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 6 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: I’ll have whatever the GFS is serving. Lol. Interesting.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 cold air is coming starting next weekend, should get fun quick the end of the euro... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: cold air is coming starting next weekend, should get fun quick the end of the euro... Still adjusting to your new optimism. Any alien abductions in your neck of the woods lately? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: cold air is coming starting next weekend, should get fun quick the end of the euro... Really, prefer the turn to winter to come last few days of November or early December. These early starts in November have spelled doom for the month of December and the Holiday season. I'll take the rapid flip to winter right around December 10th. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 Really, prefer the turn to winter to come last few days of November or early December. These early starts in November have spelled doom for the month of December and the Holiday season. I'll take the rapid flip to winter right around December 10th.The early starts are in October (Think 2019), and this isn’t October anymore. Next weekend we’re in mid-November already.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 16 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: I’ll have whatever the GFS is serving. Here's Duluth's 2 day snow totals between Nov 1-15. The above event would be a rare one like the Halloween event of 1991 for early snow season. 32.6 1991-11-01 1991-11-02 28.3 1991-10-31 1991-11-01 13.9 1992-11-02 1992-11-03 12.2 1956-11-14 1956-11-15 11.9 1956-11-15 1956-11-16 10.9 2010-11-13 2010-11-14 9.8 2000-11-12 2000-11-13 9.6 1992-11-01 1992-11-02 8.8 1955-11-15 1955-11-16 8.7 2020-11-14 2020-11-15 8.6 1991-11-02 1991-11-03 8.4 1919-11-05 1919-11-06 8.2 1998-11-09 1998-11-10 8.1 1993-11-04 1993-11-05 8.0 2014-11-10 2014-11-11 These are 1 day totals. 24.1 1991-11-01 1991-11-01 11.1 1956-11-15 1956-11-15 8.6 1992-11-02 1992-11-02 8.5 1991-11-02 1991-11-02 7.3 2020-11-10 2020-11-10 7.2 1998-11-10 1998-11-10 7.1 2010-11-13 2010-11-13 6.7 2000-11-12 2000-11-12 6.3 1993-11-04 1993-11-04 6.1 2003-11-04 2003-11-04 6.0 1920-11-08 1920-11-08 5.5 1996-11-15 1996-11-15 5.3 1936-11-06 1936-11-06 5.3 1992-11-03 1992-11-03 5.2 2020-11-15 2020-11-15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 6, 2021 Author Share Posted November 6, 2021 Hoping to see the first mood flakes by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted November 6, 2021 Share Posted November 6, 2021 Straight torching today, might hit 65. Lake is still in the mid 50s so I’m going swimming. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 6, 2021 Author Share Posted November 6, 2021 Oak trees are sure slow to turn around here this year. Many are still mostly green, and a lot of them that are turning are pretty dull looking. The new white oak is just barely starting to turn a bit. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 6, 2021 Author Share Posted November 6, 2021 For some reason it's only letting me attach one pic at a time so guess I'll make separate posts lol Northern red oak is finally starting to turn red, but waay behind. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 6, 2021 Author Share Posted November 6, 2021 Autumn blaze maple is just a bit past peak, and has already lost a good 1/4 of it's leaves. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 28 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Oak trees are sure slow to turn around here this year. Many are still mostly green, and a lot of them that are turning are pretty dull looking. The new white oak is just barely starting to turn a bit. Drove over to Ann Arbor this pm, and only maybe 5 miles west you're in the country more or less. I was really surprised how all the color was already finished there and even the hardy oaks were mostly done or completely brown. That's the area that saw some 30's readings one cold morning way back in October. So far back I can't remember the date. Meanwhile, here in the cozy burbs, this past week-ish has seen a last minute peaking of color. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 Looks like a faster more progressive system on today’s runs. Should still usher in flakes and colder air on the backside. Maybe northern Minnesota will start laying down a snowpack late week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 Looking like another great day. Going to hit the arboretum for a run today. Fall color looks prime. The obsession on the sky cover needs to end: 'TODAY MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. TONIGHT CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MONDAY MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.' Let's just go for "Fair and Mild for the season"..nit picky, but good luck trying to get the November sky cover call exactly correct. Noticed this was even worse during MCS season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 ^ Just so you know, us sky cover weenies appreciate that the NWS always tries to be accurate. I would think that a snow weenie would at least understand that other people obsess over clouds just like snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 3 hours ago, bowtie` said: ^ Just so you know, us sky cover weenies appreciate that the NWS always tries to be accurate. I would think that a snow weenie would at least understand that other people obsess over clouds just like snow. I get it. Just an FYI, I'd say today has been a tad more partly sunny as opposed to partly cloudy. Have to say nothing frustrates me more than having a mid July heatwave wrecked by blow off clouds from an MCS 250 miles to my west and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 17 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said: Looks like a faster more progressive system on today’s runs. Should still usher in flakes and colder air on the backside. Maybe northern Minnesota will start laying down a snowpack late week. It'll be mainly rain/mix for me. Warm air being funneled northward, along with warmer lake waters. Typical this time of year for the shoreline. The ridges will pick some wet snow. I could see some backside snows, as the wind turns N/NW. Models really want to lay down some good snow totals across the Northland, tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 Duluth NWS office discussion on this upcoming system. Much more conservative on snow total potential than GFS keeps showing. Just a sloppy mess on tap, but you never know, just a little bit more cold air, and you have a heavy snow event. Getting more interesting. Initial precipitation associated with this feature should move into the area on Wednesday as warm air advection overspreads the western Great Lakes and upper Mississippi Valley. As this occurs, much of our region will reside in a couplet-jet configuration, as a deep trough advances east across the central Plains and upper ridging prevails over eastern Canada. These features, combined with the aforementioned trough axis, will lead to low pressure development across the lower Missouri Valley on Wednesday night with nearly all global solutions now showing this feature lifting north to western Lake Superior by 00z Friday. After this, models show the low stalling and occluding as we head into the start of next weekend. Previously mentioned rain on Wednesday will change to a rain/snow mix by Wednesday night with this trend continuing through Friday before the rain/snow mix eventually turns to all snow Friday night as cooler air is drawn southward with time. It`s at this point where minor accumulations will be possible across portions of northern Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin, with lake effect snow showers persisting the upcoming weekend for South Shore locations. Additional accumulations will be possible, however it`s still too early to get excited simply based on the large distance into the forecast period. What does seem certain is that our region will finally have it`s first taste of winter as we head into the late work week and upcoming weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 Torching up to 66, just went swimming in the lake, first time I’ve been in the lake in November. Water still feels warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted November 7, 2021 Share Posted November 7, 2021 1 hour ago, Brian D said: It'll be mainly rain/mix for me. Warm air being funneled northward, along with warmer lake waters. Typical this time of year for the shoreline. The ridges will pick some wet snow. I could see some backside snows, as the wind turns N/NW. Models really want to lay down some good snow totals across the Northland, tho. Experienced the early season Superior snow shadow firsthand in 2018. 4” of wet slop in Grand Marais. 18” a few miles up the Gunflint trail. Models should start honing in on a solution over the next day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 Really great day today, clear blue skies with a high of 14C. Hard to get these this month. Still pales compared to last year's amazing heat event where I was over 20C for a few days - fond memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 Was at Starved Rock this weekend. Saw some nice fall color, but then there were areas that looked more like this. Also got mobbed by ladybugs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Was at Starved Rock this weekend. Saw some nice fall color, but then there were areas that looked more like this. Also got mobbed by ladybugs. Same! Except they aren't lady bugs. They were bred years ago to eradicate Japanese beetles. It kind of back fired and now we have these "Lady Bug" look a likes that are annoying as hell and bite. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Same! Except they aren't lady bugs. They were bred years ago to eradicate Japanese beetles. It kind of back fired and now we have these "Lady Bug" look a likes that are annoying as hell and bite. Yeah, they were an off color. I just call them all ladybugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 8, 2021 Share Posted November 8, 2021 I think we see flakes at the end of the week. Looks like a decent shot at it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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