ILSNOW Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 12z GFS still amped still wet and incredibly icy for portions of NE IL (still a week out and as others above have said we havent seen a wrapped up bomb in a long time) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 11, 2022 Author Share Posted February 11, 2022 thought the same. Can't remember the last wrapped bomb. 12z GFS still amped still wet and incredibly icy for portions of NE IL (still a week out and as others above have said we havent seen a wrapped up bomb in a long time) As depicted right now, it’s definitely not a wrapped up bomb.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 Should there be a thread for this now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 Yeah, definitely not wrapped. However, still remain cautiously optimistic about a season best snowfall for parts up this way. Like the GFS/Euro consistency with something happening in the middle of the country. Still a little far out to get excited though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 Hoping for the seasonal trend of a shift south over time. Unfortunately if it starts south now, it will probably keep right on going south until like the last storm I am missed to the south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 11, 2022 Author Share Posted February 11, 2022 Should there be a thread for this now?if you insist.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 19 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: if you insist. . Why did you start a threat at the behest of someone named “solidice”. Do you know what you’ve done? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 10 hours ago, ILSNOW said: 12z GFS still amped still wet and incredibly icy for portions of NE IL (still a week out and as others above have said we havent seen a wrapped up bomb in a long time) Yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 12, 2022 Share Posted February 12, 2022 9 hours ago, WestMichigan said: Hoping for the seasonal trend of a shift south over time. Unfortunately if it starts south now, it will probably keep right on going south until like the last storm I am missed to the south. The most probable disappointing outcome will be either a strong miss NW or a much weaker miss SE. It just doesn’t seem to have the amount of cold behind it compared to last time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 outside the possible late week dog, extended looks wet/warm, which is a nice change of pace heading into spring 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Those that are buying into the warm up next week, look at the difference between the Eruo and GFS. Night and day compared to each other. Euro says winter holds strong through next week. GFS says Winter is over. Curious what the Mets have to say about this?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 eps looks warm in the extended 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 9 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: eps looks warm in the extended Didn't recognize you without Smooth Jimmy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaryWarren Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 M-M-Morch? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 minute ago, CheeselandSkies said: Didn't recognize you without Smooth Jimmy. iconic for sure but time for a change 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Everyone ignoring what the Euro is showing next week?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 5 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Everyone ignoring what the Euro is showing next week?? Euro Ensembles favor the main cold dump to go further west, setting up SW flow over our area. There will be some cold air lurking but signs point to it being shunted west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 14, 2022 Author Share Posted February 14, 2022 Those that are buying into the warm up next week, look at the difference between the Eruo and GFS. Night and day compared to each other. Euro says winter holds strong through next week. GFS says Winter is over. Curious what the Mets have to say about this?? EPS have been very flip-floppy. Just a day or so ago it was like the GEFS. And even so, it’s still not a ‘winter holds strong’ look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 All about the MJO Euro MJO Goes through 3-4-5 faster than the gefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 I think the ensembles look interesting going forward. Both the gefs and especially the eps have higher heights building in Alaska and NW Canada in the medium range. That would push/bleed cold air into the SE ridge. The red colors on the height anomaly maps don't always mean warm at the surface in a pattern like that, especially the more north you go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 I think we are getting hood winked next week. It's one thing if the Canadian was showing cold, but it's the Euro showing it's hand, perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: All about the MJO Euro MJO Goes through 3-4-5 faster than the gefs. Quit advertising your screen name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 7 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: outside the possible late week dog, extended looks wet/warm, which is a nice change of pace heading into spring It might end up being more of a battle ground with snow potential north of I-90. Less boring is good for me no matter what happens. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Insane moisture for trough in the extended, pwats off the charts 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Four years ago in February, we had absolutely devastating river flooding across Michiana. It was caused by a foot of snow followed by several inches of rain a week later. I hope to never see that again…but the next two weeks are looking eerily similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 32 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Insane moisture for trough in the extended, pwats off the charts Usual disclaimer, it's the 18Z GFS at >200hours but that run verbatim would be another significant ice storm somewhere in the sub. Maybe third time's the charm for those of us getting missed again this week? At any rate, it would be nice to start eating away at the precip deficit here as we head into spring. Dreaming of with a surface pattern like that about 10 weeks from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Up_north_MI Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Heavy rain doesn’t do us here in MI thumb much good this time of year. We have way to much frost in the ground for much of it to find its way into the ground unfortunately. We live on a small 120 acre farm, it’s my in-laws, we built our house on the far corner years ago and my son and I help my father in law farm this and around a additional 150 acres that he rents. This 120 is tiled but the rented land isn’t unfortunately. This past Fall was pretty wet out this way but it’s been dry since late November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 GFS shows an active week next week, multiple storms ejecting from the SW trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 28 minutes ago, madwx said: GFS shows an active week next week, multiple storms ejecting from the SW trough Hopefully could help with drought. Expect wet not white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 Looks like the next wave of disappointment arrives next Mon-Tuesday. I think the GFS should just sit this one out lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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