Baum Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 at least the GFS has something to look at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 There is some pretty stout WAA with the system Thursday night/Friday. Could be a nice burst of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 2 hours ago, Hoosier said: There is some pretty stout WAA with the system Thursday night/Friday. Could be a nice burst of precip. all in. Even seeing some signs of a secondary clipper past the Friday WAA event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Today's 12z GFS shows a realistic transition from NW flow to split flow to W trough over the next couple weeks. Wouldn't be surprised to see an evolution like that play out, with a cold shot this weekend, a warm up with a cutter next week, a final cold shot around the 20th and mild air flooding in afterwards 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Today's 12z GFS shows a realistic transition from NW flow to split flow to W trough over the next couple weeks. Wouldn't be surprised to see an evolution like that play out, with a cold shot this weekend, a warm up with a cutter next week, a final cold shot around the 20th and mild air flooding in afterwardsWouldn't mind an evolution like late Feb. 2017. Couple of gorgeous days, followed by kitchen sink winter storm, followed by another warmup with severe weather.Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 The next few weeks, well into March, really looks like a roller coaster ride to me with my modelling method. That should keep things quite interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Late February torch looks likely. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Cautiously optimistic for the 17th-18th time frame. At least for the west/NW portions of the sub. Quite frankly, I would welcome the rain just to see some f'ing precip. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SolidIcewx Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 I’ll definitely take some rain. With this warm day my yard is half swamp mind as well make the ogre happy and finish the transformation. Plus get salt off. With DTW luck we will get a good 4 to 6 incher sometime in April to throw us off a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Nelson said: Cautiously optimistic for the 17th-18th time frame. At least for the west/NW portions of the sub. Quite frankly, I would welcome the rain just to see some f'ing precip. Looks like a good May pattern to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 GFS shows over 2" of QPF with the big system later next week for a good chunk of the sub. At MLI they've only had 2.07" total precip since Dec 1st so that would be quite impressive if we can get 2.5 months of precip from this next storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 tracking drought relief mid winter, we've had better days 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Welcome back December...missed ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 we'll eventually snap back to wild and interesting weather but this has been a real snoozer of a stretch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 we'll eventually snap back to wild and interesting weather but this has been a real snoozer of a stretchI like the optimism.Sent from my Pixel 4a using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 12z Euro loving ALEK next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Y'all excited about the mini-thump tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 10, 2022 Author Share Posted February 10, 2022 Y'all excited about the mini-thump tonight?can’t even call it a mini-thump.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: can’t even call it a mini-thump. . .5 or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 4 hours ago, ILSNOW said: 12z Euro loving ALEK next week 18z GFS nearly identical ... . Not saying it will happen but funny to see the GFS and Euro nearly identical 180 hour out ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 Rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 38 minutes ago, mimillman said: Rainer Bring it. The roads need a good cleaning from the salt and sand residue. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 3 hours ago, mimillman said: Rainer Gonna be hard to avoid on the front end I think. Best case is probably a rainer to snower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 6 hours ago, Hoosier said: Gonna be hard to avoid on the front end I think. Best case is probably a rainer to snower. I'm ready to see some weenie snow maps. OP Euro and GFS are putting out a swath of concrete with the trailing wave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 ILX is total weenie for my area. I'm sure it was an error but it did wake me up when I saw it. ILZ031-112200- WOODFORD- INCLUDING THE CITY OF EUREKA 436 AM CST FRI FEB 11 2022 .... THURSDAY BLUSTERY, COLDER. RAIN LIKELY, POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW. SNOW HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGHS AROUND 40. TEMPERATURE FALLING INTO THE 30S IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 If the surface/500mb look for next Thursday holds, all I ask is that we get about 10-14 days of repeated rounds with similar systems sometime from mid-April through May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 33 minutes ago, frostfern said: I'm ready to see some weenie snow maps. OP Euro and GFS are putting out a swath of concrete with the trailing wave. Weenie totals in full effect not far from MBY. 2'+ with those implied ratios would be disastrous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 wouldn't be surprised to see this trend more progressive, south, weaker u know the deal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 29 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: wouldn't be surprised to see this trend more progressive, south, weaker u know the deal thought the same. Can't remember the last wrapped bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 11 minutes ago, Baum said: thought the same. Can't remember the last wrapped bomb. Those only seem to happen for upper MW or of course the EC. CMC may be on to something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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