Malacka11 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 9 hours ago, Malacka11 said: Chi crew is stealing that blizzard 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Fantasy land 0z NAM says hi. . Nice rates for a period it looks like. Future runs should be fun to watch come in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 19 minutes ago, WI_SNOWSTORM said: Quite a jump south on GFS for next weekend's storm. Chicago in the crosshairs. GEM joins in also 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Even the Euro is on board. Let's see how long this lasts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 Better take your screen shots now while the big 4 have it, before it fades like every other big day 7 potential so far.. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 54 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Better take your screen shots now while the big 4 have it, before it fades like every other big day 7 potential so far. . Have we had a missed storm this year that the big 4 had? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: Better take your screen shots now while the big 4 have it, before it fades like every other big day 7 potential so far. . This is a dumb question even by my standards, but what is the fourth of the big four? Euro, GFS, CMC are no brainers but I'm blanking on the last one for some reason 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Just now, Malacka11 said: This is a dumb question even by my standards, but what is the fourth of the big four? Euro, GFS, CMC are no brainers but I'm blanking on the last one for some reason UKMET 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Just now, hlcater said: UKMET Ahh. That's what I figured but I didn't even think it went out to the seven day mark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 14 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Ahh. That's what I figured but I didn't even think it went out to the seven day mark It doesn’t on pivotal but has an evolution that would yield a storm in the time frame of other models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 It doesn’t on pivotal but has an evolution that would yield a storm in the time frame of other modelsThis.The UKMET only goes out until 144hrs, but as you said, the evolution would support a storm with an axis of snow through the region.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 5 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Better take your screen shots now while the big 4 have it, before it fades like every other big day 7 potential so far. . Yeah NAM already saying goodbye for Tue night 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Wasn't even sure what u all were tracking lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Euro snow accum maps seem to be striated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Looks showery / convective in the waa Front end thumps are a well established myth in these parts, I'd toss more than record ruining nuisance accums 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Jumping back in after a long hiatus...As long as the wave is not much more amped on Tuesday like the GEM/RGEM, I think ORD finally breaks the epic measurable snow drought (Edit: Getting 0.1" isn't a high bar to clear, right?? LOL). Support is there for a burst of heavy snow before the changeover to rain (see LOT AM Long Term AFD). Similar set-up to 12/29-30/20 with much milder antecedent air mass, but importantly, still very dry, leaving room for strong evaporative cooling before WAA overwhelms.Re. next weekend system, it was certainly eye catching to see such good op model agreement so far out. As you'd expect, tons of ensemble spread but still a good signal at this lead time for a system to affect the region. Belated Merry Christmas to everyone. 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Just now, RCNYILWX said: Jumping back in after a long hiatus... As long as the wave is not much more amped on Tuesday like the GEM/RGEM, I think ORD finally breaks the epic measurable snow drought. Support is there for a burst of heavy snow before the changeover to rain (see LOT AM Long Term AFD). Similar set-up to 12/29-30/20 with much milder antecedent air mass, but importantly, still very dry, leaving room for strong evaporative cooling before WAA overwhelms. Re. next weekend system, it was certainly eye catching to see such good op model agreement so far out. As you'd expect, tons of ensemble spread but still a good signal at this lead time for a system to affect the region. Belated Merry Christmas to everyone. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk Nice having you back. Merry Christmas 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said: Jumping back in after a long hiatus... As long as the wave is not much more amped on Tuesday like the GEM/RGEM, I think ORD finally breaks the epic measurable snow drought. Support is there for a burst of heavy snow before the changeover to rain (see LOT AM Long Term AFD). Similar set-up to 12/29-30/20 with much milder antecedent air mass, but importantly, still very dry, leaving room for strong evaporative cooling before WAA overwhelms. Re. next weekend system, it was certainly eye catching to see such good op model agreement so far out. As you'd expect, tons of ensemble spread but still a good signal at this lead time for a system to affect the region. Belated Merry Christmas to everyone. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk good to hear from you RC. As always, love the pro input. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, RCNYILWX said: Re. next weekend system, it was certainly eye catching to see such good op model agreement so far out. As you'd expect, tons of ensemble spread but still a good signal at this lead time for a system to affect the region. Getting excited while the models slowly come into better agreement for a sig hit, only to watch it devolve into suppressed garbage 24 hours out? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Getting excited while the models slowly come into better agreement for a sig hit, only to watch it devolve into suppressed garbage 24 hours out? Having it fall apart 24 hours before would be a treat! We haven't even had something to track within 5 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 Getting excited while the models slowly come into better agreement for a sig hit, only to watch it devolve into suppressed garbage 24 hours out? Given the setup, it’ll probably jump around a ton well before that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 11 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Given the setup, it’ll probably jump around a ton well before that. . Excellent point in fact the 12z GFS still has the storm but it has a gone from a snowstorm (0z) to a rainmaker 12z. But good thing is a still has a decent storm in that time frame giving us something to track at least for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Just now, ILSNOW said: Excellent point in fact the 12z GFS still has the storm but it has a good from a snowstorm (0z) to a rainmaker 12z. But good thing is a still has a decent storm in that time frame giving us something to track at least for now. Sweet. More Rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 hour ago, dmc76 said: Sweet. More Rain Someones getting nervous, chicago gonna make an epic comeback. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Stevo6899 said: Someones getting nervous, chicago gonna make an epic comeback. Shut up. They have 0” 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 12z Euro continues leading the way with minor snowfall accumulation around here on Tuesday. Most EPS also show the same.Almost everything else has little to nothing. So it’s Euro vs all at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Shame it's Romania tier now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 16 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: 12z Euro continues leading the way with minor snowfall accumulation around here on Tuesday. Most EPS also show the same. Almost everything else has little to nothing. So it’s Euro vs all at this point. When it's one model vs all others, I'm betting on the others. I expect to see flakes, but not much accumulation here. The Euro's 4" in CR looks like nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Anyone see the GEM megabomb out east? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 RIP phineas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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