WestMichigan Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 Now if only the GFS can be believed which we all know is next to impossible. Even Chicago would see something from this. The Ohio Valley is left out, but if this happens their time may come. The positive thing from this is that it looks like cold air will finally make a return to at least parts of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 I get what your saying and would love for it to be correct but this is yesterdays 12z GFS. Cyclone lost 20 inches in 24 hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 5:17 PM, WestMichigan said: Now if only the GFS can be believed which we all know is next to impossible. Even Chicago would see something from this. The Ohio Valley is left out, but if this happens their time may come. The positive thing from this is that it looks like cold air will finally make a return to at least parts of the subforum. Expand ugh, the gfs was a nightmare for those of us south of i80. Back to back rainstorms with postfrontal flurries in between. Saving grace is it's the gfs longrange OP. Canadian is more 'rainy' looking with it's threats inside 240 hrs. Either way I'm getting a sinking feeling about January. MJO stuck in 7, pna stuck negative, ao and nao heading back up. Every threat and significant cold shot in the longterm either pushes back or becomes muted. It seems winter cant get sustained in the east as troughs move in and out and the SER keeps fighting back. Last year we had a sucky January and a flip in Feb. This year just has that 11'-12' stank to it. I remember January was boring as hell and pretty much every met, (except for Don S.), was touting a flip to cold that kept getting pushed back and eventually never came. If this January is a yawner I think there's a greater chance of a Feb/March warm up vs. a flip to colder. Nothing meterological....just a pessimistic feeling. oh, and Merry Christmas! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 5:17 PM, WestMichigan said: Now if only the GFS can be believed which we all know is next to impossible. Even Chicago would see something from this. The Ohio Valley is left out, but if this happens their time may come. The positive thing from this is that it looks like cold air will finally make a return to at least parts of the subforum. Expand I'd say that has about the same odds as Nagy keeping his job. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 5:33 PM, buckeye said: ugh, the gfs was a nightmare for those of us south of i80. Back to back rainstorms with postfrontal flurries in between. Saving grace is it's the gfs longrange OP. Canadian is more 'rainy' looking with it's threats inside 240 hrs. Either way I'm getting a sinking feeling about January. MJO stuck in 7, pna stuck negative, ao and nao heading back up. Every threat and significant cold shot in the longterm either pushes back or becomes muted. It seems winter cant get sustained in the east as troughs move in and out and the SER keeps fighting back. Last year we had a sucky January and a flip in Feb. This year just has that 11'-12' stank to it. I remember January was boring as hell and pretty much every met, (except for Don S.), was touting a flip to cold that kept getting pushed back and eventually never came. If this January is a yawner I think there's a greater chance of a Feb/March warm up vs. a flip to colder. Nothing meterological....just a pessimistic feeling. oh, and Merry Christmas! Expand Not to mention a chance of 21-22 to end up as the next Winter with single-digit snowfall totals by March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 6:26 PM, DaveNay said: I'd say that has about the same odds as Nagy keeping his job. Expand Any maps or ideas on the system that appears on the GFS and Euro around Jan 1-2nd? Looks good on some runs not all. Something to watch at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 7:49 PM, Spartman said: Not to mention a chance of 21-22 to end up as the next Winter with single-digit snowfall totals by March. Expand We'll get a big dog in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 ZZZZZZZZ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 Picked up 2.3" last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 On 12/24/2021 at 3:06 PM, Snowstorms said: Picked up 2.3" last night. Expand wow. that's major this winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 On 12/24/2021 at 3:39 PM, dmc76 said: wow. that's major this winter Expand After getting snowfalls of 4.1" and 2.0" In November my largest december snowfall is 0.4". That should change in January. I'll say it again, I'm loving the look of the pattern for our area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2021 Share Posted December 24, 2021 On 12/24/2021 at 5:41 PM, michsnowfreak said: After getting snowfalls of 4.1" and 2.0" In November my largest december snowfall is 0.4". That should change in January. I'll say it again, I'm loving the look of the pattern for our area. Expand Cannot stay like this forever 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 On 12/23/2021 at 8:21 PM, sbnwx85 said: We'll get a big dog in April. Expand Or more likely, just a cold-ass rainer and 10 days of -20+ departures in CAD following. Can't wait personally. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 On 12/24/2021 at 5:53 PM, dmc76 said: Cannot stay like this forever Expand 20-21 says hello. (19)20-21 ofc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 Amazing, you could divide those totals by 4 and it still would be epic. I think we might have something here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 Looks about right for me down here.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 On 12/25/2021 at 4:48 AM, WI_SNOWSTORM said: lol Expand that would be epic. I am heading to the Green Bay game on the 2nd so please yes let that verify 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 On 12/25/2021 at 11:51 AM, Weather Mike said: that would be epic. I am heading to the Green Bay game on the 2nd so please yes let that verify Expand We had a storm like the GFS is hinting at in April of 2018. It dumped 3 feet around the Green Bay Area, will never forget it. GFS still has the idea of a powerful storm right after New Years but the other models seem to disagree right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 12z CMC seems to be back on board with next weekends storm. Won’t put much faith into it until the Euro jumps on too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 Looks like LOT will finally get on the board Tuesday (28th) with a little front-end snow before changing to rain. Prob a DAB, but if the changeover holds off long enough perhaps an inch or two? Down this way the period of snow/sleet/frz rain looks shorter, but still could get a DAB/very minor glaze before light rain/dry slot arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 On 12/25/2021 at 6:13 PM, cyclone77 said: Looks like LOT will finally get on the board Tuesday (28th) with a little front-end snow before changing to rain. Prob a DAB, but if the changeover holds off long enough perhaps an inch or two? Down this way the period of snow/sleet/frz rain looks shorter, but still could get a DAB/very minor glaze before light rain/dry slot arrives. Expand 12Z Euro with a full fledged snowstorm in N IL!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scorpion Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 King Euro bringing the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 It's going to be a New Years to remember if the 12z GEM is right. Severe weather outbreak in MO/OK and Blizzard in MN/WI. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 On 12/25/2021 at 7:10 PM, Powerball said: It's going to be a New Years to remember if the 12z GEM is right. Severe weather outbreak in MO/OK and Blizzard in MN/WI. Expand Love it. Lets keep this trend going 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 Chi crew is stealing that blizzard 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 25, 2021 Author Share Posted December 25, 2021 On 12/25/2021 at 6:13 PM, cyclone77 said: Looks like LOT will finally get on the board Tuesday (28th) with a little front-end snow before changing to rain. Prob a DAB, but if the changeover holds off long enough perhaps an inch or two? Down this way the period of snow/sleet/frz rain looks shorter, but still could get a DAB/very minor glaze before light rain/dry slot arrives.Ton of spread on ENS right now, so we’ll see how it trends.But yea, it’s definitely the next threat to end the new record.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 25, 2021 Share Posted December 25, 2021 A Christmas miracle. Some board optimism. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2021 Author Share Posted December 26, 2021 On 12/25/2021 at 6:13 PM, cyclone77 said: Looks like LOT will finally get on the board Tuesday (28th) with a little front-end snow before changing to rain. Prob a DAB, but if the changeover holds off long enough perhaps an inch or two? Down this way the period of snow/sleet/frz rain looks shorter, but still could get a DAB/very minor glaze before light rain/dry slot arrives.Fantasy land 0z NAM says hi.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pascy619 Posted December 26, 2021 Share Posted December 26, 2021 Quite a jump south on GFS for next weekend's storm. Chicago in the crosshairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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