michsnowfreak Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Picked up 2" of wet snow last night. It was another gorgeous plastering snow but as soon as the snow stopped it began dripping off the trees. Wasn't as exciting as the 4" snow the other day, nor did it have as low of visibility. Much of the snowcover has melted with 40ﾟ today, about 1" left on average. Some 2" spots but also some bare spot. Definitely not a bad start till the season, but certainly hoping Winter kicks into high gear for the whole sub soon. The scenic nature of wet snow is photogenic to say the least, but I'm definitely a powder man...and a reminder to all here to all, Winter is only just beginning. Props to my mom for giving me the idea about my baby pine tree lol. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 6 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Picked up 2" of wet snow last night. It was another gorgeous plastering snow but as soon as the snow stopped it began dripping off the trees. Wasn't as exciting as the 4" snow the other day, nor did it have as low of visibility. Much of the snowcover has melted with 40ﾟ today, about 1" left on average. Some 2" spots but also some bare spot. Definitely not a bad start till the season, but certainly hoping Winter kicks into high gear for the whole sub soon. The scenic nature of wet snow is photogenic to say the least, but I'm definitely a powder man...and a reminder to all here to all, Winter is only just beginning. Props to my mom for giving me the idea about my baby pine tree lol. What kind of pine? Super cute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: What kind of pine? Super cute Red pine. Got it from up north. As if I didn't have enough trees in my backyard already lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, michsnowfreak said: Red pine. Got it from up north. As if I didn't have enough trees in my backyard already lol. Wow, that'll be stunning one day. I long to have a forest for a backyard one day, though maintenance might be a lot. Trees are so crazy... how something half-buried by a few inches of snow today might be over a hundred feet tall in a couple decades 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 9 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Wow, that'll be stunning one day. I long to have a forest for a backyard one day, though maintenance might be a lot. Trees are so crazy... how something half-buried by a few inches of snow today might be over a hundred feet tall in a couple decades Yup! In this picture from last night. On the left hand side is a Norway spruce, white pine, and Birch. Then I have a huge Fur tree of some kind. To the right of that you see an autumn blaze Maple. Out of shot of the picture are two young trees, a balsam fir and a spruce. To the right of the walkway you see a young baby balsam Fir and to the left is the red pine pictured above. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 3 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Yup! In this picture from last night. On the left hand side is a Norway spruce, white pine, and Birch. Then I have a huge Fur tree of some kind. To the right of that you see an autumn blaze Maple. Out of shot of the picture are two young trees, a balsam fir and a spruce. To the right of the walkway you see a young baby balsam Fir and to the left is the red pine pictured above. Damn that really is a lot. That'll be crazy to see in like twenty years, an absolute inner sanctum of a back yard. I bet that maple is absolutely beautiful in the fall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Anyone happen to know if the Euro jumped north like all the American models did with the system early next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIstorm97 Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 Picked up 2.2” from the clipper. It was a wet plaster snow for sure, but it was photogenic. Now sitting at 6.1” on the season. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 30, 2021 Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 hour ago, Malacka11 said: Damn that really is a lot. That'll be crazy to see in like twenty years, an absolute inner sanctum of a back yard. I bet that maple is absolutely beautiful in the fall Yes, I bought it in the Spring so this was my 1st fall and it did not disappoint. It turns various colors. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 I miss the medium range pattern discussions - where did all of those folks go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 1, 2021 Author Share Posted December 1, 2021 I miss the medium range pattern discussions - where did all of those folks go?There’s not much to discuss right now.The pattern has been and will continue to be only favorable for portions of MN/WI/MI, through mid-month. The only exception appears to be the storm potential centered around next Tuesday. A dip to a brief -EPO this weekend with a PV lobe briefly moving into Canada, coupled with the trough moving into the West in a favorable fashion via the -PNA, could lead to a thread the needle type widespread potential then. But outside of that, things still look DOA and more mild for most areas (Minus the areas I mentioned at the start).. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: There’s not much to discuss right now. The pattern has been and will continue to be only favorable for portions of MN/WI/MI, through mid-month. The only exception appears to be the storm potential centered around next Tuesday. A dip to a brief -EPO this weekend with a PV lobe briefly moving into Canada, coupled with the trough moving into the West in a favorable fashion via the -PNA, could lead to a thread the needle type widespread potential then. But outside of that, things still look DOA and more mild for most areas (Minus the areas I mentioned at the start). . Just the fact that you acknowledged next week's storm -thread the needle or not- made my heart flutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: There’s not much to discuss right now. The pattern has been and will continue to be only favorable for portions of MN/WI/MI, through mid-month. The only exception appears to be the storm potential centered around next Tuesday. A dip to a brief -EPO this weekend with a PV lobe briefly moving into Canada, coupled with the trough moving into the West in a favorable fashion via the -PNA, could lead to a thread the needle type widespread potential then. But outside of that, things still look DOA and more mild for most areas (Minus the areas I mentioned at the start). . Ahh the elusive -EPO. Seldom seen but read about in books 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 1, 2021 Share Posted December 1, 2021 6 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: There’s not much to discuss right now. The pattern has been and will continue to be only favorable for portions of MN/WI/MI, through mid-month. The only exception appears to be the storm potential centered around next Tuesday. A dip to a brief -EPO this weekend with a PV lobe briefly moving into Canada, coupled with the trough moving into the West in a favorable fashion via the -PNA, could lead to a thread the needle type widespread potential then. But outside of that, things still look DOA and more mild for most areas (Minus the areas I mentioned at the start). . Was told the -PNA was gonna be rockin’ Not your best call 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 1, 2021 Author Share Posted December 1, 2021 Was told the -PNA was gonna be rockin’ Not your best call you’re not part of this sub-forum anymore, being in denver and all. the golden days are over.probably should wait for the to actually go - too for your mountain snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 It snows more in Detroit than Colorado now 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 15 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: you’re not part of this sub-forum anymore, being in denver and all. the golden days are over. probably should wait for the to actually go - too for your mountain snow. Wait...you moved to Denver!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 35 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Wait...you moved to Denver!? he's been for awhile. Pops in periodically, starts a big snow thread, screws us, and than moves on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 2, 2021 Author Share Posted December 2, 2021 Wait...you moved to Denver!?not me, tsnow matty did.happened about a year and a half ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyweather Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 not me, tsnow matty did.happened about a year and a half ago.I’d be down for geos to guest start a storm thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 Can any other weather office top this? LOT: " A 135+ KT JET STREAM EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA ALL THE WAY THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES, WITH A 150+ KT MAXIMUM MOVING FROM THE NORTH DAKOTA/CANADA BORDER TO LOWER MICHIGAN BY FRIDAY MORNING. AS THAT JET MAX TRANSLATES, IT WILL SEND A VERY LOW AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL WAVE TOWARD SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND, MORE NOTEWORTHY, INCREASE A LOWER TO MID TROPOSPHERIC FRONTOGENETIC (F-GEN) CIRCULATION. GUIDANCE TODAY HAS CONTINUED THE TREND OF AN INCREASING SIGNAL OF ENOUGH SATURATION WITH THIS FOR QPF CLIPPING AT LEAST THE FAR NORTHERN CHICAGO METRO. WHILE THE OVERLAPPING SIGNAL IN GUIDANCE REMAINS BETTER FOR NORTH OF THE STATE LINE AND STILL FAIRLY LARGE SPATIAL UNCERTAINTY ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY, THERE WAS ENOUGH OF A HIGH-RESOLUTION SIGNAL TO FURTHER INCREASE POPS FOR LAKE AND MCHENRY COUNTIES AND A SLIGHT BOOST IN ADJACENT AREAS. THE MAIN TIMING LOOKS TO BE ~2-7 A.M. DETERMINISTIC SOUNDINGS FROM THE NAM, GFS, RAP, AND HRRR (IRREGARDLESS OF WHETHER THEY SHOW PRECIPITATION) DO SHOW MARGINALLY WARM ENOUGH PROFILES FOR MELTING ALOFT. FURTHER BELOW, THE PROFILES IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER ARE ALSO MARGINAL, AND SOME DEPENDENCY ON EVENING TRENDS AS NOTED EARLIER. SO RATES OF ANY PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY BE KEY IN CHANGEOVER AND IMPACTS, AND THAT WILL BE TIED TO ENOUGH WELL-ALIGNED, NEGATIVE SATURATED EPV (INSTABILITY) ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION ABOVE THE F-GEN. IN GENERAL THE MODELS DO SHOW THAT, SO FEEL THAT IF THERE IS AN ESTABLISHED F-GEN BAND INTO FAR NORTHERN ILLINOIS, IT LIKELY WILL TURN PRECIPITATION TYPE OVER TO SNOW. GIVEN THE TIME OF DAY, SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS INCLUDING ON ROADS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS TO OCCUR TO IMPACTING LEVELS STILL REMAINS ON THE LESS LIKELY SIDE OF THE SPECTRUM OF OUTCOMES. THE EVENING SHIFT WILL KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON IT THOUGH TO SEE IF TRENDS SUPPORT AN INCREASING CHANCE OF IMPACTS. " this is the discussion for a snow shower. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 2, 2021 Share Posted December 2, 2021 23 hours ago, Thundersnow12 said: Was told the -PNA was gonna be rockin’ Not your best call Why don't you have a Met tag? I remember you going to school for that. (serious question) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 Period around next weekend has potential (that will probably be squandered). Certainly cold air available and a substantial baroclinic zone if we do indeed get a wave ejecting around that time. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 It's a nice look - hopefully it's got some legs... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 hours ago, Nelson said: It's a nice look - hopefully it's got some legs... GFS say forgetaboutit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 No concerns with run to run differences at this point. The point is that both GFS and Euro show the trough in the same time frame. Whether it cuts through MN or MI on a specific run isn't important right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 buuuut, for historical purposes, here are the last two runs of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/2/2021 at 8:54 AM, Baum said: he's been for awhile. Pops in periodically, starts a big snow thread, screws us, and than moves on. How I roll. Been an insane stretch of warmth out here the last several weeks. 70s and golf but ready for snow. I should start a thread for the next weekend cutter potential but Mr -PNA Joey might kill me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Euro with a dog overnight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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