Chicago Storm Posted October 27, 2021 Share Posted October 27, 2021 And we begin... This thread can be used for short/medium range discussion, and for those events that just don’t make the cut for being thread worthy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 27, 2021 Author Share Posted October 27, 2021 I give you the first potential flake-age of the season.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 28, 2021 Share Posted October 28, 2021 For here: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2021 Author Share Posted October 30, 2021 I give you the first potential flake-age of the season..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 31, 2021 Share Posted October 31, 2021 The op Euro is off to an lol start to winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 31, 2021 Share Posted October 31, 2021 1 hour ago, IWXwx said: The op Euro is off to an lol start to winter StormfanaticInd be like 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted November 1, 2021 Share Posted November 1, 2021 That's funny that has snow over southern Wisconsin....MBY forecast from NWS has dry and mild (relatively speaking) through next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 14, 2021 Share Posted November 14, 2021 In the "what the" and "where did this come from?" category: "GIVEN THE ABOVE CONCERNS FOR A POTENTIAL IMPACTFUL BAND OF SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON RUSH HOUR INTO, OR VERY CLOSE TO THE CHICAGO METRO AREA, WE HAVE INCREASED POPS AND SNOW AMOUNTS. OVERALL, THE BAND OF SNOW LOOKS TO ONLY PERSIST FOR A FEW HOURS TOMORROW AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING, SO TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS MAY NOT BE OVERLY HIGH, BUT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGHER SNOW RATES, WE COULD SEE SOME LOCAL AREAS PICKING UP AN INCH OR TWO OUT OF THIS. WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT, THEN HOVERING AROUND, OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING ON MONDAY, ANY SNOW THAT FALLS AS A DECENT RATE COULD ACCUMULATE ON AREA ROADS, ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASS, SO THERE COULD BE SOME TRAVEL IMPACTS LATER TOMORROW AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA IF THIS MATERIALIZES. THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN BEFORE IT ENDS SOUTHWEST OF THE CHICAGO METRO AREA AS AN ELEVATED WARM LAYER BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE AREA. PRECIPITATION SHOULD END ACROSS THE AREA BY THE MID TO LATE MONDAY EVENING. " I have to say LOT has the best AFD's these days. They can do 3 paragraphs on the potential of a snowshower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest chiTownSnow Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 Could be a nice little surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 18 minutes ago, Guest chiTownSnow said: Could be a nice little surprise. it'll look like mid November which is fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 -NAO coming. Let's see how it plays out, especially for the eastern areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 16, 2021 Share Posted November 16, 2021 Looks like there could be a big lobe of cold air pushing through ~180 hours out. It'd be nice if something manages to interact with it in a meaningful capacity. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted November 16, 2021 Share Posted November 16, 2021 240 hr - yea, yea I know but nice look....Hard core blocking would keep it from cutting. Normally I wouldn't be rooting for early snow but we've been so damn busy that I'd gladly take a weather delay at this point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 GFS has a decent clipper for the lower lakes late weekend. High ratio fluff. The usual weak until it blossoms along the east coast. It always amazes me when energy can look so weak around the lakes, then boom turns into a respectable storm for the coast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: GFS has a decent clipper for the lower lakes late weekend. High ratio fluff. The usual weak until it blossoms along the east coast. It always amazes me when energy can look so weak around the lakes, then boom turns into a respectable storm for the coast. Going to re-live the Dec 2010 nightmare, are we?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 hours ago, Stevo6899 said: GFS has a decent clipper for the lower lakes late weekend. High ratio fluff. The usual weak until it blossoms along the east coast. It always amazes me when energy can look so weak around the lakes, then boom turns into a respectable storm for the coast. Really tho, nobody's been getting buried in the CONUS, so if the Euro wants to put 6-8" here with the next couple weak NW flow clippers. Well, I may just be inclined to let it. Heck an inch or two this time of year would set the spirit of the season. Took me til Dec 29th last winter to see that amount. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 At least in the short term, the Euro keeps reloading the cold in the East. It's the trough that keeps on giving. That would be a great trend for the Winter if it kept up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 12Z Euro has some serious eye candy at the end of it's run! That would be cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Frog Town said: 12Z Euro has some serious eye candy at the end of it's run! That would be cool! Yep, caught my eye for sure. So far, looking like an eastern lakes kind of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Saturday night looking good for some snowfall here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 This thread has gone dry and lonely lately but some serious changes goin on that look mighty cold and interesting for December. Would be nice if the trough of interest shifted about 500 miles to the west but I';; take the cold and wintery feel vs. the torch that was rearing it's head previously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 If no one has seen this from Tom’s FB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 Should be a snowy afternoon and evening. Unlike the slushy snow of the 14th, this should stick easily. First WWA of the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest chiTownSnow Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 20 hours ago, vortex said: If no one has seen this from Tom’s FB. Great post by Skilling. In my opinion this is this is true forecasting l, which we see a little of these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 28, 2021 Author Share Posted November 28, 2021 Unless you live in MN/WI/MI/Canada, there should be significant concern/pause that this upcoming pattern will be a miss.The introduction of a -PNA will will bring an active pattern, but the NAO/AO will be of no help. Have to hope that the EPO can dip from time it time to help out, which is possible, but hard to bank on given the tendencies so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 Nice squall in mi 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 Models have been hinting at the MJO making a run at ph7. IF it happens, that's suddenly a much colder look for N CONUS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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