Damage In Tolland Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yep finally. None of this fake cold. Still at 30 here now. Mid 30’s for highs. Tonight should be colder than last . Then the fakiators take over Wednesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still at 30 here now. Mid 30’s for highs. Tonight should be colder than last . Then the fakiators take over Wednesday night 35 here. Think under 40 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 16 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Then they had a huge rain event a couple days before Xmas that wiped em out in ‘19 completely. And last year(20) they had another good pack, and got wiped out on Xmas day down to nothing. Even ‘18 got crippled too..but then the day I got there(12/26), they were forecasting a 6-12” storm for that night into the next morning. And it played out and made all the difference. Without that happening, 2018 would have been un rideable too that week. Looked at CAR/Ft. Kent/Van Buren - all 3 had heavy RA on 12/14-15/19, light snow on 12/22 then about 0.2" cold RA on 12/27 before winter returned on NYE. At my foothills site there was 1.65" in the rainstorm and a nice 6" event on 12/17-18. That one stayed too far south to help Aroostook. Other than the small event on 12/27 (which was mostly snow at VB) I can't find the just-before-Christmas event. I also don't have up to date numbers for southern Aroostook or northern Penobscot. Last Christmas's Grinch will, one hopes, stand alone for awfulness. It's my greatest December rainstorm and at 29° AN, the greatest positive departure I've recorded here for any date, slightly ahead of 3/22/12. CAR was +35 that day. As bad as it was in those places, the real bummer was for folks watching 20-30" disappear in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 25F with 3 mile -SN in town… winter vibe today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: 25.1 and we had wind. Man airmass Yup. We had good winds overnight into the morning and got to around 25F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 33/17°F and a breeze to boot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 17 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 25F with 3 mile -SN in town… winter vibe today. Snowmaking going on at Wachusett in the daytime... so that means the cold is decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 Logan finally cracked the freezing cherry. Late for sure although most of us just inland did it a month ago at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Logan finally cracked the freezing cherry. Late for sure although most of us just inland did it a month ago at least. Memory came up today on FB of raking and lots of Oak leafs still on the trees. Was Nov 2010..... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 30 minutes ago, tamarack said: Looked at CAR/Ft. Kent/Van Buren - all 3 had heavy RA on 12/14-15/19, light snow on 12/22 then about 0.2" cold RA on 12/27 before winter returned on NYE. At my foothills site there was 1.65" in the rainstorm and a nice 6" event on 12/17-18. That one stayed too far south to help Aroostook. Other than the small event on 12/27 (which was mostly snow at VB) I can't find the just-before-Christmas event. I also don't have up to date numbers for southern Aroostook or northern Penobscot. Last Christmas's Grinch will, one hopes, stand alone for awfulness. It's my greatest December rainstorm and at 29° AN, the greatest positive departure I've recorded here for any date, slightly ahead of 3/22/12. CAR was +35 that day. As bad as it was in those places, the real bummer was for folks watching 20-30" disappear in a few hours. Then it was the 15th then? I remember them getting wiped out before Xmas in ‘19, just seemed a lil closer to Xmas then the 15th..but no recovery before the 26th or 27th was what made me not take the trip. Thanks for the clarification…but the outcome for any sledding was still the same result, a big No Go. Lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 14 hours ago, powderfreak said: Just wait until you get scarred by a whole winter of that like 2015-16. Worst snow winter I've had here, but a lot worse in VT, especially the northern half. However, for a one-event scenario, 12/25/20 is incredibly anomalous. Van Buren was 41° AN for that event. Not many 40+ departures out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 3 minutes ago, tamarack said: Worst snow winter I've had here, but a lot worse in VT, especially the northern half. However, for a one-event scenario, 12/25/20 is incredibly anomalous. Van Buren was 41° AN for that event. Not many 40+ departures out there. Yup..that’s amazing to say the least. Which again wiped em out lmao. So hoping this year in December, they avoid anything even remotely close to that. Thanks for the info..appreciated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 Outside dog water still with ice in it at 11:25AM. Another step down benchmark. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Yup..that’s amazing to say the least. Which again wiped em out lmao. So hoping this year in December, they avoid anything even remotely close to that. Thanks for the info..appreciated. Numbers r us (though not in the same class as Will or Unc.W) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 3 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Being it’s Tuesday, and we’re talking next Monday(6 days out), I doubt guidance is handling everything correctly at this lead. We keep an eye. Liking the prolonged colder scenario too. Yeah...that storm system as modeled is probably too close to us. Expect it to shift further away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 Ukie with a little nuke next Monday. Canadian trying too....GFS not interested. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 1 hour ago, PhineasC said: Low of 22, still 26 here now. Cold day. Yeah, still 24° at home. Nice, moderate snow shower on 89 as I drove into the office a little while ago. That streamer that JSpin and PF were discussing a few days ago is in effect again. Seems to following 89 pretty closely as it drops off pretty quickly as you move away from the interstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie with a little nuke next Monday. Canadian trying too....GFS not interested. Yeah not bad. Sharp S/W FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 Lol…uncle on the sauce early? Progging 6-12 for some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Lol…uncle on the sauce early? Progging 6-12 for some of us. Canadian on Fentanyl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 Both just got hit with a dose or two of Narcan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2021 Author Share Posted November 23, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Canadian on Fentanyl. I may need to spring into action with a dose of Narcan maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 Canadian looks good north of pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: Tossed. 17.2" at MHT...seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 I wouldn't be tossing anything in this volatile pattern. And by volatile, ...not so much the embedded features and handling - per se - but the determinism is whack right now, big time. The PNA is transiently bubble sorting its self out around camel hump that ends up going back neg head ( but will probably fail to some degree ) out there around Dec 7. Meanwhile, the NAO mirrors around similar timing. Those mass-field yo-yo impose exertion on the flow for/feed-back from embedded features, but the models exert on themselves with huge error proneness in that emerges from handling - I mean the models are much better than circa ...2002 .. But, almost as a comical plot by a super agency ( muah hahahaha ) the planetary system is in CC turmoil ...featuring among other charms... tendencies for fast flow. Those are notoriously bad regardless of era - including now. This is +PNA is not huge N-S in stature, but does carry potency in S/W intervals to help add to space and momentum complexity. Kind of has some 'unmanned firehose' aspects to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 18 minutes ago, dendrite said: 17.2" at MHT...seems reasonable. I'm still shoveling 3 yrs ago cmc snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 When there is a Miller B that has been showing up off and on on the European and Canadian guidance, that’s worth keeping an eye on. Miller Bs are usually very tough to forecast due to minor changes with the northern stream energy thousands of miles away right now resulting in big shifts on the models with the storm. It isn’t super high probability, but if it does hit this would be the type of storm to pop up out of nowhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 23, 2021 Author Share Posted November 23, 2021 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: 17.2" at MHT...seems reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 23, 2021 Share Posted November 23, 2021 Euro is digging pretty good through 111 hours. Potent shortwave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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