wx2fish Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, NHDrySlot said: Three decades worth of experience weathering the most painful dryslots and "near misses" in the Merrimack Valley area. Cynical until I hit the 24-30" jackpot. Nobody better at pissing and moaning their way to 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NHDrySlot Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, wx2fish said: Nobody better at pissing and moaning their way to 18". Can pretty much guarantee if Bedford pulls 18" there will be a rogue 30" slant report sourced in the deep woods of Windham. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NHDrySlot Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Just now, NHDrySlot said: Can pretty much guarantee if Bedford pulls 18" there will be a rogue 30" slant report sourced in the deep woods of Windham. Could probably start a thread investigating and roasting all the Rockingham County slant stickers. Hillsborough County has the Nashua CWSU to consistently under measure by 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Hmm, I didn't think there was a Lunenburg in NH...............lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Get this weenie a red tag ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, NHDrySlot said: Could probably start a thread investigating and roasting all the Rockingham County slant stickers. Hillsborough County has the Nashua CWSU to consistently under measure by 50%. LOL. In case you all didn’t know, myself, NHdryslot (red tag him) and Wx2fish all worked together. We’re all good friends and big weenies. And good at giving each other crap. NHdryslot loves it when I rain, so he and @40/70 Benchmark will have fun pig pilling on me. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 7 hours ago, LibertyBell said: Ray what do you think of 2016-17 as an analog? Chris thinks thats a better analog than 2011-12 because it looks like we will have more NAO blocking than we did in 2011-12 and it will be more like 2016-17 It's certainly a better overall analog than 2011....the latter is a great Pacific analog (except for the fact la nina was a modoki), but it just isn't a very appropriate representation of the polar domain. The reason 2016 was not higher on my list is because it was very decidedly modoki with a westerly QBO, which is not a conducive environment for blocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2021 Author Share Posted November 21, 2021 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: One thing I noticed this morning is that the tropical convection forecast on the EPS does finally try to nudge east. I think some of those PNA forecasts going boom was due to convection more closer to Nina climo. The nudge east supports more of a dateline ridge probably after first week of December. EPS tries to show that. In that graphic below, look how far west the convection is. That’s probably not supportive of a -EPO to +PNA ridge for more than a few transient days despite what the models showed last week and the week before. But, it finally shows signs of moving east which supports more dateline ridging. Now to make sure we are on the good side of the gradient. This is the smoking gun for change IMO....great post. I made a few posts about how we needed the convection to get out of the bowels of the maritime continent and move east towards the dateline. Theoretically speaking, the eastward propagation of la nina should help that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL. In case you all didn’t know, myself, NHdryslot (red tag him) and Wx2fish all worked together. We’re all good friends and big weenies. And good at giving each other crap. NHdryslot loves it when I rain, so he and @40/70 Benchmark will have fun pig pilling on me. Hmm, Must have to do with the name....................... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 38 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LOL. In case you all didn’t know, myself, NHdryslot (red tag him) and Wx2fish all worked together. We’re all good friends and big weenies. And good at giving each other crap. NHdryslot loves it when I rain, so he and @40/70 Benchmark will have fun pig pilling on me. Thats awesome! small world Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Most towns have noise ordinances that go to 7am. Call the police. Or buy a wrist rocket slingshot and light his ass up with acorns. I never I mean never call the police unless it's an emergency. I have a slingshot lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 12 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: How about the MANY holiday movies that show snow for weeks in the village while there are green leaves on many trees in the background? The lack of paying attention to details drives. me. bonkers. My wife insists that most "normal" people don't even pay attention to those things... yup lol..I always say that to my girlfriend. I go look at the green leaves on all the trees …so pathetic and foney. The first time I pointed this out, she goes omg I never noticed that, but you’re right. Now when I say it, and say they filmed it in July, she goes go in the other room and don’t ruin the movie for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Gfs is very close to a coastal storm next weekend. We should watch it since the NAO is rising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Gfs is very close to a coastal storm next weekend. We should watch it since the NAO is rising. I think we’re all watching a tad…but it’ll probably be gone next OP run? But I know what you mean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Subtleties in the runs offer a lean back to a more chillier regime after perhaps a two or three days of con attempts. Lol - we'll see. Looking at individual GEF members from 00z cycle and matching with the EPS mean for H500 mb anomalies, as well as sfc pressure synoptic evolution... the only aspect limiting significant MA/NE/ NW Atl cyclogen is the lower troposhere is out of phase. Still, next Saturday looks like a nasty wintry day, with gray grits in the air and probably a siggy upslope/terrain enhanced snow squally regime for central/NNE. It's pretty well agreed upon in both the GEFs and EPS means. Hey.. winter appeal is what it is Not sure I buy this recent 12z wild windy deep cold noreaster for Dec 2 just yet. But... you know, ...the suggestion from the telecon spread was always more encouraging than the operational runs of any model - interesting... But there is still a correction tendency going on with the +PNA/-NAO ( and looking at the EPS mass fields argues any tele's from that cluster would likely match the American source - ). People need to see the significant event on the charts to be enthused. This is unfortunately a situation where the canvased potential is waiting - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 28 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: yup lol..I always say that to my girlfriend. I go look at the green leaves on all the trees …so pathetic and foney. The first time I pointed this out, she goes omg I never noticed that, but you’re right. Now when I say it, and say they filmed it in July, she goes go in the other room and don’t ruin the movie for me. I saw an episode of North Woods Law where they pulled over some snowmobilers in Lincoln, NH. They showed the stop and the officers talking to the riders. Then they would cut to a shot of just the officer explaining the rule that was being violated. It’s was just a head shot with him wearing a helmet but the background was completely green forest. Lol. I figure those type of scenes were shot when they were editing together the show at a later time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Cold night last night. Caught a massive coyote on my ring. Thing looked like a bloody German Shepard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 GGEM trending ... fwiw - 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Cold night last night. Caught a massive coyote on my ring. Thing looked like a bloody German Shepard Coywolf? I saw the same thing driving to my house from errands a few days ago. Could by coydog also.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 47/36. Mostly cloudy but no wind. Great day for yard work. I was hauling tarps of leaves etc. outback and was marveling at all the tree damage we have had in the past three years. More than the previous 10 years combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 41 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: GGEM trending ... fwiw - Beer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 One of the things I I'm truly looking forward to is when we do have something to track as far as a potential storm goes. I love the way everyone comes together, there's an excitement level that we're all feeling. All the worries and frustrations of past disappointments disappear. We all know it's going to happen, and I'm looking forward to it. I have a good feeling they'll be many opportunities to feel this way 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Does the 12z show anything for the 28-30 timeframe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 First week of December looks good for a storm, am I reading the models right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 14 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: Does the 12z show anything for the 28-30 timeframe? It has something but I can't figure out what it is. Snows on NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 It looks like there is something brewing for next weekend, All the models have it in some way shape or form and looks to be supported on the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Plenty of money in the bank in the long range. The only question is whether or not we can access the PIN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 Barely a warmup on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 4 hours ago, wx2fish said: Nobody better at pissing and moaning their way to 18". You missed the 30” in 8 hours that we got last year here in the land of the chickens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted November 21, 2021 Share Posted November 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: You missed the 30” in 8 hours that we got last year here in the land of the chickens Yep. My uncle in Andover got smoked along with you guys. Quite the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now