Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 Euro rainer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro rainer? It’s most likely a Rainer outside of the mountains anyway. It’s mid Nov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 This is going to change so many times. Mid Atlantic snow ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Mid Atlantic snow ? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 It's not worth discussing deterministic impacts - ...for the multi-syllabic challenged, that means no use even guessing specifics affects, It's really a place holder for the time being. It's the same signal we've been monitoring for the past week, but is still unfortunately too deep in the extended to start taking form. That rendition above is typical of this range in autumn ...where the models lobe the warm over top, and then eventually seclude warmth - it almost looks like a hybrid storm in that pressure layout - like what happened in 1991 when the core went caney Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 Block is insane on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Block is insane on the euro Yeah, it would be humorous if mid-Atlantic is seeing their first accumulating before New England but it’s happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, it would be humorous if mid-Atlantic is seeing their first accumulating before New England but it’s happened. I doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 52 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro rainer? But a really cool storm evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I doubt it I would welcome a fully suppressed solution over a cold rainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 LBSW continues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 I mean I’ll take a some snow with my Thanksgiving visit! 89 redue? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LBSW continues? In that evolution yes…but it’s a powerhouse system. At least we’re starting to see a powerful storm appearing on multiple guidance right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: LBSW continues? You do have to laugh at the gfs evolution. Misses SNE with surgical precision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: You do have to laugh at the gfs evolution. Misses SNE with surgical precision. Lol right. It’ll edge it’s way/come north if it’s a powerhouse as depicted imo. I realize everyone knows this, but the Only thing that matters at this point is that a system is appearing on the modeling. Something of interest at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: You do have to laugh at the gfs evolution. Misses SNE with surgical precision. Could care less. Hopefully it’s a quiet week with thanksgiving. Let it rage after. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 Eps appears fun to end November and begin December. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 15, 2021 Author Share Posted November 15, 2021 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Eps appears fun to end November and begin December. Regardless of what does on with this next event, I feel good moving forward. Still won't be shocked to see plowable somewhere in SNE before Novie closes. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 15 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol right. It’ll edge it’s way/come north if it’s a powerhouse as depicted imo. I realize everyone knows this, but the Only thing that matters at this point is that a system is appearing on the modeling. Something of interest at least. This will be solid preseason practice. No need to be invested yet; feels like a Mitch trouncer to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Eps appears fun to end November and begin December. That’s a weenie pattern to end the month and begin December. Big -NAO and +PNA. Not sure how long that PNA will hold given our current enso/PDO state but that is what you want to see...esp early in season when you have less wiggle room. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 46 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a weenie pattern to end the month and begin December. Big -NAO and +PNA. Not sure how long that PNA will hold given our current enso/PDO state but that is what you want to see...esp early in season when you have less wiggle room. Thanksgiving week still looking cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 31 degrees with moderate snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: 31 degrees with moderate snow. Nice. That’s why you moved there. Enjoy the very early season goodies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 27 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Thanksgiving week still looking cold? Yes. Doesn’t mean there can’t be a torch day in there if we get a storm cutting to the west but the overall pattern that week is definitely below normal temps on the mean. Esp after about Monday/Tuesday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 2 hours ago, MJO812 said: I doubt it I remember one year Philly has a good snowstorm and a white Christmas and we were bare in Southern New England, happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 15, 2021 Author Share Posted November 15, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a weenie pattern to end the month and begin December. Big -NAO and +PNA. Not sure how long that PNA will hold given our current enso/PDO state but that is what you want to see...esp early in season when you have less wiggle room. It can be surprising sometimes...I actually forecasted a +PNA DEC....obviously the PDO and PNA are positively correlated, but not always. That vomit bucked of a 2011-2012 season actually had +PNA. And even when it is negative in the mean, there are more stochastic fluctuations that can allow us to cash in if they are timely. Of course, Jan 2011 had one such period. I know you are aware of all of this...just saying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 Weeklies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: Weeklies? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Weeklies? They look like snowlies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2021 Share Posted November 15, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It can be surprising sometimes...I actually forecasted a +PNA DEC....obviously the PDO and PNA are positively correlated, but not always. That vomit bucked of a 2011-2012 season actually had +PNA. And even when it is negative in the mean, there are more stochastic fluctuations that can allow us to cash in if they are timely. Of course, Jan 2011 had one such period. I know you are aware of all of this...just saying. Yeah and so did December 2005 and Jan 2009 for a couple others off top of my head. I think even Dec 2017 may have been positive but not a raging +PNA like ensembles show. Getting a raging +PNA in a Niña is very good though...even if just for a few weeks. Lots of northern stream goodies for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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