NorEastermass128 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 36 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Maybe the tip of Cape Ann isn't. But most of it would be in the 50 zone. They can be kind of boom or bust there. There's also no way you didn't break 30" in 2017-2018. The 1/4/18 and 3/13/18 events alone almost get you there....then add events like Xmas 2017, Feb 17-18, Mar 7-8 and then other random 2-4" type events 2017-2018 was a blur after moving back from VA. 12/25/17 - ~3” 1/4/18 - ~12” 2/17/18 - ~4” 3/7/18 - ~4” Not much else beyond that. Maybe we nickled and dimed to 30ish? It’s a different world out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 22 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I believe they used that? Is that one from like Oregon State or something? BTV issued a similar map recently but there are some subtle differences: It discusses methodology at the link. https://www.weather.gov/btv/climoSnowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 20 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: 2017-2018 was a blur after moving back from VA. 12/25/17 - ~3” 1/4/18 - ~12” 2/17/18 - ~4” 3/7/18 - ~4” Not much else beyond that. Maybe we nickled and dimed to 30ish? It’s a different world out here. You had like 15-18" in 3/13/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Seasons in seasons. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I'd prob draw SNE to look more like this (I rushed this just now, so I didn't put in as many obsessive details as usual) You can tell by some of the roundish bullseyes that there's not much data to work with in some areas. 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: I believe they used that? Is that one from like Oregon State or something? This map was probably just ArcGIS, there's elevation adjustments involved but not PRISM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 39 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You had like 15-18" in 3/13/18 And how about 3/21/18? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 25 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Seasons in seasons. when u opening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah it's all bogus north of BOS....those north shore towns should be over 50....unless maybe you are literally out in the ocean like the tip of Cape Ann or maybe some of those communities near Marblehead. The 75+ should also extend down to far NW CT in Litchfield county and you could prob put a 100-spot or two in the northern Berkshires on the crest there over 2000-2500 feet. I was going to say the same, at least for the NW hills avg, I had gone back from 28-now, at the closest cocorah station data shows we're avg over 80 here, and that lines up with what I've been averaging since moving here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: when u opening? Scheduled for the 19th. It's usually pretty tight though. This looks nice but does zero towards getting open, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: You had like 15-18" in 3/13/18 Nearly 15" at water's edge from Logan. Probably a memory blank with everything else that was going on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Did anyone else notice the 12z guidance' et al pretty much kissed the back of the donkey's balls ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 I wish I new what that meant ^^^. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: I wish I new what that meant ^^^. Torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I actually am not sure about that weenie spot of 75" plus just north of me.....that would imply I am at least near 70", which I think is a bit high. I would extend the 75+ down to just N and W of ORH. Looking to the north, that 75-100 blue in the St. John Valley is bogus, a product of wonky measurements IMO. In my 9 full winters there FK ran 20" below CAR and any snow-conscious resident in FK would laugh at that. My measurements in 5 in-town winters, 4 within 1/2 mile of the co-op site and maybe 15' higher elev., ran 24" above that co-op and 8" more than CAR. The 4 back settlement years at 970' averaged 26" more than CAR and 51" beyond the FK co-op. One-a-day measuring that sometimes seemed to be based more on pack change than new snow is my guess at the reason. Also, the land above 1000' N and W from Allagash should be the orange or maybe the burgundy. Areas near/above 1300' must've had 50% more than my back settlement 171" in 1983-84 based on what we found working there thru that winter. (Disclosure: My measuring technique there was the same as I've used at my current location for the past 23 winters, where I average 1-2" less than the Farmington co-op 6 miles to my west.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: NE CT is low....Kev averages what I do...Union even a bit more maybe. That’s another great example of BOX being clueless about the microclimates of SNE and illustrates their love affair with BOS to PVD. Just pay everywhere else little too no mind . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Torch You know ..., and we have now cycled through two distinct intervals where/when the models ( and even telecon spreads ) signaled at minimum, a seasonal cool spell, ..but then, they moderated as the days clicked off and what we got was barely normal. I'm already getting a little gun-shy about cold and here we are all of November 3rd. I guess it's early ... there may be a bit of interpretation magnification. I mean, storms, cold or heat alike, all seem to come into extended ranges ominously...then correct toward manageable. An error aspect of guidance that's been happening for several years, frankly. But maybe in a month one of these cool waves will be deep enough to correct to 'still somewhat negative' instead of disappearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: You know ..., and we have now cycled through two distinct intervals where/when the models ( and even telecon spreads ) signaled at minimum, a seasonal cool spell, ..but then, they moderated as the days clicked off and what we got was barely normal. I'm already getting a little gun-shy about cold and here we are all of November 3rd. I guess it's early ... there may be a bit of interpretation magnification. I mean, storms, cold or heat alike, all seem to come into extended ranges ominously...then correct toward manageable. An error aspect of guidance that's been happening for several years, frankly. But maybe in a month one of these cool waves will be deep enough to correct to 'still somewhat negative' instead of disappearing. All cool / cold shots have modified . I’d be shocked if we saw any accumulating snow in SNE at all this month outside of some remote cabin in the Berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Later in the 11-15 day on the EPS looks good to me as it has last few days. The moderation prior to that has been in the cards. Nothing has changed. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Did anyone else notice the 12z guidance' et al pretty much kissed the back of the donkey's balls ? I won't even look at guidance for a couple of weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 It was snowing in Leicester MA for a bit this afternoon despite temps in the mid to upper 40s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 40 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Where is Redfield? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Just had a bit of graupel mix in with a rain shower. 40.7° 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 The cool wave for the 3-9th has moderated down the stretch - sorry it has... That is the 2nd time this has happened since October 20 or so -... One can wonder if the latter November idea does the same thing - perfectly valid. At least for me and whatever I said... that much is worth the question based on seasonal trend - albeit early .. admittedly. If this were Vegas I might put money down as a pass-over bet between bigger games... Part of the problem is, that's been doing that in the models for years now. Euro... GFS ? doesn't matter. Any cold, hot, storm or phone # I get from a girl at a f'n pub, overwhelmingly verify something less than initially advertised. We'll see - we may end up cooler out whence but I'd be little surprised at this point if it is as deep as EPS variance. It'll probably be on the warmer inner curve of that mean if that last 7 years has any meaning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The cool wave for the 3-9th has moderated down the stretch - sorry it has... That is the 2nd time this has happened since October 20 or so -... One can wonder if the latter November idea does the same thing - perfectly valid. At least for me and whatever I said... that much is worth the question based on seasonal trend - albeit early .. admittedly. I’m glad we are getting this garbage pattern out of the way early rather than wasting prime climo and kicking the can down the road on a pattern change to cold in mid winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 29 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Where is Redfield? Tug hill plateau in NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 55 minutes ago, dendrite said: Just had a bit of graupel mix in with a rain shower. 40.7° Stay safe ya hear? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 First snow magic today. What a beautiful snowfall in the higher terrain. Only a coating at home that since melted but 1,300ft and up is winter right now. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: First snow magic today. What a beautiful snowfall in the higher terrain. Only a coating at home that since melted but 1,300ft and up is winter right now. Jealous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 22 minutes ago, powderfreak said: First snow magic today. What a beautiful snowfall in the higher terrain. Only a coating at home that since melted but 1,300ft and up is winter right now. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now