40/70 Benchmark Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 1 hour ago, George001 said: Based on what I have seen on the models, everything is going according to plan and I see no reason to panic about my 70-85 inch forecast for in the Boston area this winter. I do however believe that the pattern change will be delayed, the polar vortex is expected to deepen and consolidate over the North Pole. The European guidance has the strength of the polar vortex well above normal into the 3rd week of November, rapidly weakening in the last week. There would likely be a lag too, so I would think the pattern change is mid to late December. 70-85" at Logan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 3, 2021 Author Share Posted November 3, 2021 9 hours ago, Chrisrotary12 said: That data is unusable. 1995-1996 is missing and leaving out March kills seasons like 2017-2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 70-85" at Logan? Yep, I’m going for a big winter in all of eastern mass, right down to the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Based on what I have seen on the models, everything is going according to plan and I see no reason to panic about my 70-85 inch forecast for in the Boston area this winter. I do however believe that the pattern change will be delayed, the polar vortex is expected to deepen and consolidate over the North Pole. The European guidance has the strength of the polar vortex well above normal into the 3rd week of November, rapidly weakening in the last week. There would likely be a lag too, so I would think the pattern change is mid to late December. Lol, so we punt December?Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: Lol, so we punt December? Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk I do think we punt half of December, but still end up with a big storm at the end of the month. Then January is when all hell breaks loose and we get hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Just now, Lava Rock said: Lol, so we punt December? Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk George of the jungle has gone bananas. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 6 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice view from the SR golf course cam That looks like it had a Bob Ross filter treatment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 GYX shared this on the socials yesterday. Not a fan of this map...I'd think we would have better resolution than 25"? Kinda funny with the mini jack zone just across the NH border from Ray's hood... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 I wish they would put geographic markers on those maps or release them in a format where you can check specific lat longs... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 4 minutes ago, PhineasC said: I wish they would put geographic markers on those maps or release them in a format where you can check specific lat longs... I can tell you where Mt Washington and Mt Mansfield are, ha. I still think these maps, while great, are more about the “look” of the climatology than the actual values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I can tell you where Mt Washington and Mt Mansfield are, ha. I still think these maps, while great, are more about the “look” of the climatology than the actual values. LOL yeah for sure. I guess for me still being pretty new to climo up here it would be nice to drop a map like that into Google Earth or similar as an overlay and see where different places fit in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 2 hours ago, klw said: That looks like it had a Bob Ross filter treatment. Straight from the cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I can tell you where Mt Washington and Mt Mansfield are, ha. I still think these maps, while great, are more about the “look” of the climatology than the actual values. Kevin hates that map and he is right. Garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, PhineasC said: LOL yeah for sure. I guess for me still being pretty new to climo up here it would be nice to drop a map like that into Google Earth or similar as an overlay and see where different places fit in. Yeah for sure, at least the topographic aspect makes it easier to see as those maps generally just start to mirror elevation… though as we know sometimes applying the same amounts to similar elevations isn’t always the correct/actual outcome. Up in NNE, 1000ft in one place could be more/less snowy than another 1000ft place… but often these interpolations assume they are around the same snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 I like how the map has a little dot of <25 right over GON. The map knows. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 It looks like it has 25-50 out where Pete lives, pretty sure that's not accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 29°. We freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 36. Frost in the roof tops. Maybe 2-3 weeks late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Only 35. The growing season continues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Snower? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Down to 25 this morning, Going to string a few of these over the next 5 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Snower? Too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Only 35. The growing season continues Mowvember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Ginxy tides? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 First light snow obs at the ASOS of the season. METAR KMVL 031015Z AUTO 00000KT 5SM -SN BR SCT003 OVC028 01/00 A3013 It is snowing nicely at the mountain. Bet 1500ft is white when I get there shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 28.5° Heavy frost and a light breeze too. Didn’t expect it that cold…avocados probably took a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 1st frost on the car this AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 Winter coming down in elevation. 1500ft looking real nice and snowing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: First light snow obs at the ASOS of the season. METAR KMVL 031015Z AUTO 00000KT 5SM -SN BR SCT003 OVC028 01/00 A3013 It is snowing nicely at the mountain. Bet 1500ft is white when I get there shortly. Looks like Jackman area had accumulating snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 3, 2021 Share Posted November 3, 2021 34 here but the lawn is white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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