tamarack Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said: Monday too. I feel like the 3km makes a little more sense if you are purely taking the clown maps. I'm not sure I'm buying 3-4 at PWM just yet. Somebody is going to get skunked between the light stuff/upslope and the coastal taking over. Probably in the LCI/IZG to AUG corridor. Looks like from Jayhawk to MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Up in Glen, NH for the weekend. Some flakes at pinkham notchSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Beautiful fall weather here in NE CT hills light rain/fog and 41F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Up in Glen, NH for the weekend. Some flakes at pinkham notchSent from my SM-G981U1 using TapatalkHeading into Phins neighborhood Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Wondering if black ice/ flashing later this evening... Lot of day after commuters. The near/backside cyclonic escape environment is likely to feature a rather abrupt acceleration of wind imparting crashing thickness via very efficient CAA. NAM has T1 going from ~ 6C to 0C between 00z and 2am with weak windex appeal there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 35 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Beautiful fall weather here in NE CT hills light rain/fog and 41F I just checked the webcam at Mohawk Mountain in NW Connecticut. This is between 1,000' and 1,600'. Snowmaking snow on the ground, but raining and 39F https://www.mohawkmtn.com/the-mountain/webcam/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Rain flipped over to snow at the base of Bolton Valley, Sugarbush, MRG and Stratton. According to the webcams on YouTube. Sugarbush and Stratton are opened today, but conditions don't look great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 23 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I just checked the webcam at Mohawk Mountain in NW Connecticut. This is between 1,000' and 1,600'. Snowmaking snow on the ground, but raining and 39F https://www.mohawkmtn.com/the-mountain/webcam/ I get one more day to enjoy this before heading back south; hoping for some flurries to mix in later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MRVexpat Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 32 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Rain flipped over to snow at the base of Bolton Valley, Sugarbush, MRG and Stratton. According to the webcams on YouTube. Sugarbush and Stratton are opened today, but conditions don't look great. Stratton opens tomorrow. Will be there to report back on conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 22 minutes ago, MRVexpat said: Stratton opens tomorrow. Will be there to report back on conditions. The webcams showed people skiing today. Perhaps employees testing the snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 47 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: I get one more day to enjoy this before heading back south; hoping for some flurries to mix in later. I'm not sure we're you are located, or elevation. If you want to see flakes, the best bet would probably be Soapstone Mountain off route 190. You can drive to the top and it's 1 000' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Maybe we can cook up an ice deal D8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 26, 2021 Share Posted November 26, 2021 Sn. 33.8fSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 Not home but looks like 1/2"Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 Cold/dry then warm/wet type of winter setting up for SoP crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 40 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Cold/dry then warm/wet type of winter setting up for SoP crew. Better than my cold/dry then cold/wet (rainy) winter weather regime. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Cold/dry then warm/wet type of winter setting up for SoP crew. It has that feeling doesn't it? Couldn't even squeeze out a single legit snowflake yesterday. This is probably the latest in my short 7 years up here to at least see some snowflakes, let alone accumulation. Half the time I have seen them before the end of October...The way I look at it, the less we see, the more memorable they will become as the season barrels on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 It can get a bit repetitive watching our broadcasts, especially on the weekend, for four straight hours. I keep seeing the Boston water temp staring me in the face every half hour. 52F. A good reminder that it's going to be really difficult to get any snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Cold/dry then warm/wet type of winter setting up for SoP crew. I continue to not be overly impressed by the look moving forward. Looks hostile, and we know how that usually goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 Who wants to give me their model PW? lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I continue to not be overly impressed by the look moving forward. Looks hostile, and we know how that usually goes Doesn’t seem bad to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 46 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: It can get a bit repetitive watching our broadcasts, especially on the weekend, for four straight hours. I keep seeing the Boston water temp staring me in the face every half hour. 52F. A good reminder that it's going to be really difficult to get any snow. Not a bad a 'base-line expectation modulator' - haha... seriously though, wind direction wind direction wind direction. It's more about that really than the scalar oceanic SSTs. Not that you don't know this - just sayn' Take this beast ... turned out to be an absolutely juggernaut storm right down to Logan Airport, and mooshed the rain/snow line down to almost the Born Bridge over 51 F SSTs out there in the Harbor and surrounding the Bay... on December 6, 2003. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20031207.html I remember that event's vitals, vividly - those cartoon-like images provided in that link above ( note "previous" and "next" day buttons, top left and right of the interfacing...), can take the viewer through days, but it does show the crucial details too well... Those were being discussed in the background Met communities, contention, over how that high pressure up there was so ideally situated and would effect/affect matters. It was a nasty cold anomaly source, real blue knuckle numbing -10 F DP at Fryeburgh Maine type stuff, and it was nosing exactly, perfectly to absolutely stop any warm intrusion of marine air. Can it be made more clear than that? hahaha. Warm ocean or not, there was zero way the coastal boundary, the perfunctory formation in those sort of situations, could have been physically allowed to move inland. And ...that turned out to be the right call. I lived in Winchester Mass at the time, a quaint upscale town tucked NW of Boston, immediately astride I-93. Basically the the last depot along Belmont, Arlington, Winchester vestige-axis of early last century money, before Woburn sketchiness kicks in. Although Woburn lapse over Mall money ..so. Anyway, Winchester's located maybe ..10 mi from the Revere/Lynn beaches. We wind shattered 20" of 20::1, with white out conditions.. I don't know if we had a blizzard warn - I wanna say they upgraded in the throws of it but don't quote. I remember visually limited to not more than about a 16th/ mi for several hrs though. It was neat storm to geek out over, too. Harvey Leonard was doing cut -ins about the progress of the rain-snow line as it was collapsing SE. We were 19 F in Winchester when Logan plummeted from 41 to 32, as the wind shifted from ENE gusting to 50+, to NNE, across like 4 minutes. They flash transitioned to near white out, never went back, mid way through the event. And one could see the unusually well-defined transition line on radar. Places were locking water and slush on power lines in a 40 --> 24 F, 10 min transition as the CF passed through over SE zones...It was awesome to see. That high pressure up there was just that quintessentially placed, it utterly smashed any typical oceanic conventions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not a bad a 'base-line expectation modulator' - haha... seriously though, wind direction wind direction wind direction. It's more about that really than the scalar oceanic SSTs. Not that you don't know this - just sayn' Take this beast ... turned out to be an absolutely juggernaut storm right down to Logan Airport, and mooshed the rain/snow line down to almost the Born Bridge over 51 F SSTs out there in the Harbor and surrounding the Bay... on December 6, 2003. https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20031207.html I remember that event's vitals, vividly - those cartoon-like images provided in that link above ( note "previous" and "next" day buttons, top left and right of the interfacing...), can take the viewer through days, but it does show the crucial details too well... Those were being discussed in the background Met communities, contention, over how that high pressure up there was so ideally situated and would effect/affect matters. It was a nasty cold anomaly source, real blue knuckle numbing -10 F DP at Fryeburgh Maine type stuff, and it was nosing exactly, perfectly to absolutely stop any warm intrusion of marine air. Can it be made more clear than that? hahaha. Warm ocean or not, there was zero way the coastal boundary, the perfunctory formation in those sort of situations, could have been physically allowed to move inland. And ...that turned out to be the right call. I lived in Winchester Mass at the time, a quaint upscale town tucked NW of Boston, immediately astride I-93. Basically the the last depot along Belmont, Arlington, Winchester vestige-axis of early last century money, before Woburn sketchiness kicks in. Although Woburn lapse over Mall money ..so. Anyway, Winchester's located maybe ..10 mi from the Revere/Lynn beaches. We wind shattered 20" of 20::1, with white out conditions.. I don't know if we had a blizzard warn - I wanna say they upgraded in the throws of it but don't quote. I remember visually limited to not more than about a 16th/ mi for several hrs though. It was neat storm to geek out over, too. Harvey Leonard was doing cut -ins about the progress of the rain-snow line as it was collapsing SE. We were 19 F in Winchester when Logan plummeted from 41 to 32, as the wind shifted from ENE gusting to 50+, to NNE, across like 4 minutes. They flash transitioned to near white out, never went back, mid way through the event. And one could see the unusually well-defined transition line on radar. Places were locking water and slush on power lines in a 40 --> 24 F, 10 min transition as the CF passed through over SE zones...It was awesome to see. That high pressure up there was just that quintessentially placed, it utterly smashed any typical oceanic conventions. I would estimate something like 80% of events are rain with these ocean temps. East winds more often than not on a synoptic event here. Also- it ends up often being a 'flash' scenario. Those types of events where you are warm to start and then cold west winds come in. Usually works for the interior sometimes, but we don't cool as fast, plus the west winds dry us out. If you can get a dynamic enough storm with north winds, it'll snow anywhere. But that's not easy. Can be fun early season coastal fronts though. But this time of the year, Scott and I are usually on the wrong side of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 4 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I continue to not be overly impressed by the look moving forward. Looks hostile, and we know how that usually goes Me neither. I just don’t see anything special. Yea, it will snow…of course, but see sawing between one favorable tele to the other is always touchy. I like eastern NewEng though especially towards coastal Maine. Will-Ray-Jeff zone will have a great season imwo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 4 hours ago, Spanks45 said: It has that feeling doesn't it? Couldn't even squeeze out a single legit snowflake yesterday. This is probably the latest in my short 7 years up here to at least see some snowflakes, let alone accumulation. Half the time I have seen them before the end of October...The way I look at it, the less we see, the more memorable they will become as the season barrels on. We actually had flakes for a few min. My son went bonkers and frantically asked Mommy where his hat and gloves were yelling, “winter is here.” By the time he put them on, it was gone…and he was bummed. I told him it will come on again but “bigger”…I pray I didn’t lie to the little weenie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We actually had flakes for a few min. My son went bonkers and frantically asked Mommy where his hat and gloves were yelling, “winter is here.” By the time he put them on, it was gone…and he was bummed. I told him it will come on again but “bigger”…I pray I didn’t lie to the little weenie. I was outside with my 3 year old swinging while the wind and rain/possible mangled snowflakes were falling. Nothing that I could legitimately say was snow....didn't count in my book, lol. We are worlds away from eachother, the hills to my NW seem to swallow up the moisture coming from the direction. My 8 year old is obsessed, pulls up the forecast even before I do...He was tracking hurricanes well out into the Atlantic this year, proud Dad, lol...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We actually had flakes for a few min. My son went bonkers and frantically asked Mommy where his hat and gloves were yelling, “winter is here.” By the time he put them on, it was gone…and he was bummed. I told him it will come on again but “bigger”…I pray I didn’t lie to the little weenie. That's exactly what I did yesterday when the rain turned to snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 27, 2021 Share Posted November 27, 2021 35 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I was outside with my 3 year old swinging while the wind and rain/possible mangled snowflakes were falling. Nothing that I could legitimately say was snow....didn't count in my book, lol. We are worlds away from eachother, the hills to my NW seem to swallow up the moisture coming from the direction. My 8 year old is obsessed, pulls up the forecast even before I do...He was tracking hurricanes well out into the Atlantic this year, proud Dad, lol...... It’s pretty cool how it happens too. It wasn’t taught. The kid wants to watch tornado’s on youtube and wants me to pull up any radar so he can see “red and yellow thunderstorms.” Lol. The flakes yesterday weren’t pure though. They looked mangled but enough to get him excited as the deck lights showcased them enough. I don’t think we are that different. You definitely radiate better there though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 And just like that, first flakes with a coating here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 28, 2021 Share Posted November 28, 2021 10F. Feels cold outside. Mid-winter cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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