Damage In Tolland Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Some of the models give Kevin some love tomorrow. Almost reminds me a bit of that March 2019 event that got him good. Tough to say how real it is, but possible. Based on knowing how it works around here. I expect snow showers, maybe a period of steady snow. Ground whitening type stuff. But no more than an inch max .As we cut the Xmas tree, should be a wintry day . After the worst autumn ever, it’ll be much appreciated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Around Portland the NAM is a cold, light rain with the dry slot still flirting with the area. But as the mid levels start to really take off watch what happens. The column becomes moist again up through 500 mb, we cool, we lift, and we steepen the lapse rates right in the snow growth zone. That's nearly dry absolutely unstable, let alone moist absolutely unstable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Around Portland the NAM is a cold, light rain with the dry slot still flirting with the area. But as the mid levels start to really take off watch what happens. The column becomes moist again up through 500 mb, we cool, we lift, and we steepen the lapse rates right in the snow growth zone. That's nearly dry absolutely unstable, let alone moist absolutely unstable. Thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Thunder We have 0.1" between 7 pm and 1 am Friday evening at Portland and that's it for snow, but it could be 1"/hr and mashed potatoes on the roads rather than your plate of leftovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 12z GFS for tonight into friday has kicked it up a notch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12z GFS for tonight has kicked it up a notch or two. Better areal coverage of good precip than prior runs. Definitely more synoptic influence showing up on these runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Gfs even gives this area some hey how are ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Crap. So much for Black Friday cleanup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs even gives this area some hey how are ya. Trend has been for that ccb to try and wrap in some steady snow for a few hours even into central and eastern MA. We’ll have to see how it plays out...def hedge lower because of west wind in the boundary layer but can’t rule out a C-1” Friday evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Watch this become the bigger of the two events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: Watch this become the bigger of the two events. Pretty good chance of that up there. You’re going to get warning snows from this event and the Sunday/Monday event may be a little too far south and weak to give those amounts there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Trend has been for that ccb to try and wrap in some steady snow for a few hours even into central and eastern MA. We’ll have to see how it plays out...def hedge lower because of west wind in the boundary layer but can’t rule out a C-1” Friday evening. I’ll be happy with some flakes flying around. Keep it reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I’ll be happy with some flakes flying around. Keep it reasonable. Euro trying to throw a bone too. Maybe a coating to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro trying to throw a bone too. Maybe a coating to an inch. Congrats HUL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Euro with the opener Saturday early morning and the closer Monday morning. End result is maybe 2 inches but we take this early and celebrate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Happy Thanksgiving everyone! My strategy has been eat enough so I’m half full avoiding going crazy st the thanksgiving table planned for around 7PM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 18z NAM gone wild for tomorrow night. That’s prob like 3-5” for Ray, lol. 1-3” for much of the rest of E/C MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Clown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z NAM gone wild for tomorrow night. That’s prob like 3-5” for Ray, lol. 1-3” for much of the rest of E/C MA You see the 18z HRRR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 The NAM has been really jumpy for this event, it's really going bonkers on the coastal now. GFS and Euro have been a lot steadier. The 18z HRRR also looked good. Tons of liquid everywhere on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3K 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 If the coastal can get going in time I could do really well in my spot. NW flow and E/NE flow are both good here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Mike Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Winter storm warning now issued for certain areas. I fly into Burlington tomorrow by noon so hopefully will be ok to get over to Stowe later. Happy Thanksgiving to all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 3KI'll take a fewSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 Wow enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 WWA for up to 9 inches, although my P&C goes even higher than that. What is the threshold for a warning up here? 10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 I think this is currently an underplayed system tomorrow night. Quite a few spots from MHT up through PWM could see between 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: WWA for up to 9 inches, although my P&C goes even higher than that. What is the threshold for a warning up here? 10? 6 or 7” in a 12 hour period I think? 9” in 24 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 25, 2021 Share Posted November 25, 2021 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: 6 or 7” in a 12 hour period I think? 9” in 24 hours? Ah, OK. Duration aspect makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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