CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Might start out a little mild though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Might start out a little mild though. Definitely tainted verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Going to end up east a bit as it gets going a little late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 The obligatory zonked run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 It seems like a 12/9/05 in the making 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That's his point. GFS has snow river east SNE. And I’ll note. Too far NE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Dynamic bugger anyways. We watch. Probably won't have a lot of confidence until Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Phew what a run here. Snow for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 That is a nice hit Pike north. Ray approved jack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: That is a nice hit Pike north. Ray approved jack. It’s fine here as well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 We need some pictorals for those of us too cheap to buy... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Phew what a run here. Snow for days. That would be warning snows on that run for quite a few, Maybe a hair wrm to start south of here, But looked to be isotherm thru the column here back to you the whole time without diving into the upper levels yet until we see if it holds and get closer in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 I don’t thing you want to be near the ocean on this . Just MO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Henry's Weather said: We need some pictorals for those of us too cheap to buy... lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 That's like the Methuen CF he has been waiting for. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t thing you want to be near the ocean on this . Just MO Thanks for the advice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 In late Novie I would take an inch or two and be happy. No issues for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol right rogut, forgot abt pivotal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s fine here as well As for the CT outcome, the modeled track of the upper features; especially the 700/850 tracks, are far from ideal for big snows across most of CT, RI and southeastern Mass... decent front-end burst possible and some wrap-around action late, but as modeled those 700 & 850 center tracks have to come considerably further south to offer a decent shot at mod/hvy amounts south of the pike. Quick transition to mixed and rain if those tracks verify. Further north, very dynamic event is on the table. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 I got new tires today so probably wont snow now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 I suppose I should get the snow brush back in the car. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, FXWX said: As for the CT outcome, the modeled track of the upper features; especially the 700/850 tracks, are far from ideal for big snows across most of CT, RI and southeastern Mass... decent front-end burst possible and some wrap-around action late, but as modeled those 700 & 850 center tracks have to come considerably further south to offer a decent shot at mod/hvy amounts south of the pike. Quick transition to mixed and rain if those tracks verify. Further north, very dynamic event is on the table. With neggy NAO suppression is bigger danger than a NNE special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 29 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: What the hell is going on with the Euro? Looks like it's going to phase all 3 shortwaves this run...or at least try. No other run tries to phase in the lagging southern stream s/w in the southwest US. Whatever you do, never cross the streams. 14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That is a nice hit Pike north. Ray approved jack. So good to be 3 miles north of the Pike. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: With neggy NAO suppression is bigger danger than a NNE special I forgot how much you make me cheer a torch sometimes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: lol Need that northern branch to dig a little more for us closer to the coast. Not a bad run though this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 Would have been interesting to see the Euro solution minus the southern stream energy it incorporated. Certainly seems to resemble the UKMET if one removes the southern energy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, George001 said: Need that northern branch to dig a little more for us closer to the coast. Not a bad run though this far out. Not so sure a full phase with that southern stream s/w would be a completely positive thing for some this early in the season, First model run that tries to interact with the southern stream. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: I got new tires today so probably wont snow now Stop spending money on snow tires...invest in one of these instead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Would have been interesting to see the Euro solution minus the southern stream energy it incorporated. Certainly seems to resemble the UKMET if one removes the southern energy. I'm sure we get to experience that in the next 12 cycles or so............... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 24, 2021 Share Posted November 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not so sure a full phase with that southern stream s/w would be a completely positive thing for some this early in the season, First model run that tries to interact with the southern stream. Yeah you are probably right, ideal would probably be the entire evolution happening about 100-200 miles south and a partial but not full phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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