WinterWolf Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Yes right under LI Hmmm, that’s interesting for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 18z Euro 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 975 on the euro Few more weeks and this will interest me. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 18z Euro 12z Euro That’s a substantial jump west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Wind maps are not "over doing" for this event, calling it now. Why? Five years of grad school all comes down to this week for me, internship apps due and I really need internet. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowlieSnowstormson Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 9 out of 10 wind events don’t pan out. It’s simple and called the Squamus Effect. I can explain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Wind maps are not "over doing" for this event, calling it now. Why? Five years of grad school all comes down to this week for me, internship apps due and I really need internet. Honestly that's better analysis than I see with some folks tossing around Euro wind gust maps. 2 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 It’s more a function of how the euro is carrying the primary. It’s not slinging it in like 12z but sort of develops it further west and gives that appearance. End result wasn’t much different. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 58 minutes ago, alex said: Down to 29 already. Looks like those first flakes are definitely a possibility I was wondering that. It's cold and it *feels* cold out... like if clouds were to come in and it started precipitating that some flakes during the onset might be possible in the higher terrain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s more a function of how the euro is carrying the primary. It’s not slinging it in like 12z but sort of develops it further west and gives that appearance. End result wasn’t much different. Functionally the LLJ develops in a similar location and strength as 12z, so I agree that sensible weather probably isn't much different. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 28 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Hmmm, that’s interesting for sure. Nah meh typical NOREASTER LOL 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I was wondering that. It's cold and it *feels* cold out... like if clouds were to come in and it started precipitating that some flakes during the onset might be possible in the higher terrain. Late morning looks sneaky for some of the hills just above valley locations. Like pretty isothermal around freezing above 500 ft off the deck. Primary lift region is a little warm, so we're not talking serious accumulation but enough to stoke the weenie fires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nah meh typical NOREASTER LOL Congrats Wilmington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nah meh typical NOREASTER LOL Is this what our snow maps are going to look like this winter too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 7 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Functionally the LLJ develops in a similar location and strength as 12z, so I agree that sensible weather probably isn't much different. Helluva fetch. Huge surf . Gloucester to Ptown gonna get pounded. Then the North shore of the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Just now, metagraphica said: Is this what our snow maps are going to look like this winter too? I can think of many storms with that snowfall distribution. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Helluva fetch. Huge surf . Gloucester to Ptown gonna get pounded. Then the North shore of the Cape. Surge forecast is pretty wild. ETSS is nearly 4 ft at Scituate. That's big. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 1 minute ago, metagraphica said: Is this what our snow maps are going to look like this winter too? Sucker hole over my house. We toss. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Late morning looks sneaky for some of the hills just above valley locations. Like pretty isothermal around freezing above 500 ft off the deck. Primary lift region is a little warm, so we're not talking serious accumulation but enough to stoke the weenie fires. Even a brief period of wet snow above 1,500ft might be the most interesting thing that happens in the North Country with this system, ha. Otherwise, wet, dreary week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 29 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Wind maps are not "over doing" for this event, calling it now. Why? Five years of grad school all comes down to this week for me, internship apps due and I really need internet. Congrat's and good luck dude on the applications. A guy named Murphy thinks there will be some localized mixing of high winds aloft in your neighborhood. He doesn't have a met degree though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 10 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Surge forecast is pretty wild. ETSS is nearly 4 ft at Scituate. That's big. Wow. Man good thing we don’t have high astronomical tides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow. Man good thing we don’t have high astronomical tides. https://slosh.nws.noaa.gov/etsurge/index.php?page=map®ion=ne&datum=msl&list=&map=0-48&type=&stn= https://slosh.nws.noaa.gov/petss/index.php?glat=All&display=0&type=e10&base=Ocean_Basemap&datm=datum&sorc=mean 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: https://slosh.nws.noaa.gov/etsurge/index.php?page=map®ion=ne&datum=msl&list=&map=0-48&type=&stn= Just bookmarked. Thanks for sharing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Just bookmarked. Thanks for sharing. I also.posted the link to the new page. Looks like 5 high tide cycles with 2 to 4 foot surge. Max wave on top of that. Here is the new page https://slosh.nws.noaa.gov/etsurge2.0/index.php?glat=All&display=0&type=stormtide&base=Ocean_Basemap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I also.posted the link to the new page. Looks like 5 high tide cycles with 2 to 4 foot surge. Max wave on top of that. Here is the new page https://slosh.nws.noaa.gov/etsurge2.0/index.php?glat=All&display=0&type=stormtide&base=Ocean_Basemap Yeah thanks for that. Good link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Gonna leave a mark. Some max waves. Should be some great pics from Scooters hood 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Gonna leave a mark. Some max waves. Should be some great pics from Scooters hood Even though it's a max wave height, it makes good conceptual sense. When we issue storm watches/warnings there should be 20 foot significant wave heights in the forecast. Max waves are typically double the significant wave height. A 20 ft wave forecast should get you in the 40s for max possible waves. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Gonna leave a mark. Some max waves. Should be some great pics from Scooters hood Yeah might take a drive down to Marshfield if this works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 I might have to head over there to see that…wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 25, 2021 Share Posted October 25, 2021 HRRR is pure Phil. There’s the meso low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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