kdxken Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Your rookies at BOX likely caught playing catch-up with pants down as damage reports come in overnight ORH west to HFD That's your local forecaster Ryan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 How many outages so far for CT Seversource? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Just now, Torch Tiger said: How many outages so far for CT Seversource? 25,000 - due to someone sneezing near a power line. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: How many outages so far for CT Seversource? https://outagemap.eversource.com/external/default.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Out grilling burgers and marked increase in wind last 20 minutes. 2.05” so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, kdxken said: That's your local forecaster Ryan. He has 45-60 here south and east. He’s good BOX has nothing and will be forced to issue warnings during the event . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Out grilling burgers and marked increase in wind last 20 minutes. 2.05” so far Burgers and dogs flying off the grill and into neighbors yards…damage. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 45 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I thought it stabilizes through lowering lapse rates in precipitation? Cool, moist saturated air? I just know it seems that folks are usually like “wow rain stopped and wind started roaring”… I think there’s better mixing without rain cooled stabilizing boundary layer. The real question is there an inversion present at all in the low levels? If so I think rain stabilizes and strengthens the inversion. Yeah the rain will act to strengthen an already existing inversion. Obviously with convection you can get some stronger downdrafts that can mix down to the sfc. My strongest downsloping is usually with abundant virga and very light precip reaching the ground. That evaporative cooling can give the downdrafts a little extra boost. Overall the higher and more mixed the layer is from the sfc the better off you’ll be. The coast this time of year gets good mixing in these systems with flow off of the warmer waters. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 10 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Unfortunately, I have never heard of any kind of retarding or action belated based upon lack of antecedence - My immediate impression is that is meaningless - storms happen by restoring forces, no other constraining factors - if the breach between the two sides is opened, A --> B until A = B. Period. When synoptic imbalances set up, the action of restoring ( " --> " ) is the 'storm event' - but A and B are wholly physically identifiable para and discrete metrics. Like hot over there...cold over here... through moisture in between - boom. There's no "rehearsal" or practice about it. I understand your fuzzy with memory.. I'd have to read whatever it is you're referring to render a very good opinion -but just based upon what you've said ..heh. Yeah, synoptic storms don't happen in the summer because the atmospheric patterns that would be required aren't there, and don't produce the conditions needed. When the seasonal conditions adjust, synoptic storms happen, and sometimes some patterns are better than others for producing storms. No atmospheric learning there, just physics based on our yearly seasonal cycles. A very John Madden like assessment of the weather lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He has 45-60 here south and east. He’s good BOX has nothing and will be forced to issue warnings during the event . Midday computer guidance shows increasing winds tonight. Not expecting major issues locally but gusts to 45 mph possible in the Hartford area and 55 mph around New Haven. Enough for scattered tree and powerline issues. RH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Missing a good one back home. Dang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Yeah the rain will act to strengthen an already existing inversion. Obviously with convection you can get some stronger downdrafts that can mix down to the sfc. My strongest downsloping is usually with abundant virga and very light precip reaching the ground. That evaporative cooling can give the downdrafts a little extra boost. Overally the higher and more mixed the layer is from the sfc the better off you’ll be. The coast this time of year gets good mixing in these systems with flow off of the warmer waters. Thanks for the clarity dude. Makes sense along the coastal plain. I’m (like you) more used to our interior climo where it seems rainfall is always stabilizing unless it’s a convective downburst or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: Missing a good one back home. Dang. It's rocking in Rockport. Many gusts already into the 50s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, kdxken said: Midday computer guidance shows increasing winds tonight. Not expecting major issues locally but gusts to 45 mph possible in the Hartford area and 55 mph around New Haven. Enough for scattered tree and powerline issues. RH Clueless drunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 MEH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 21 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: How many outages so far for CT Seversource? 1,016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Decent winds now. Over 2.5" rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: MEH Holy shit, over 19 mph?!? Hope you've gotten everything inside, the house probably won't blow away 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: MEH Gotta wait until after 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Clueless drunk Be kind to yourself. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Gotta wait until after 00z. Why was the HWW put into place from 2pm than? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 https://www.windy.com/?namConus,41.326,-70.116,7 Kinda cool, based off 12z NAM, can also appreciate some of the mesolows earlier Tuesday... This is 1am tonight, speeds are mph... obviously wind gusts will be significantly underestimated with plenty of mixing: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Gotta wait until after 00z. E MA go time is 9:00- 4:00 am Ours in CT is 1:00-7:00 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Why was the HWW put into place from 2pm than? Idk…haven’t been following the warnings. But the main core of the LLJ passes through 00-06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Light/moderate rain and around 25mph gusts so far. Maybe 30 the highest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 34 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: How many outages so far for CT Seversource? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 lol wind gust maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 look for the highest sustained winds in the mixed layer and use that for your gust speed. you're welcome 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 21z rap has like 70 knots at 950mb (not 925mb) on the south shore. Some areas there are gonna get absolutely smoked. Basically 1000 feet off the deck. Pine hills right on the shore there in PYM are prob ground zero. But some of the exposed spots up toward BOS (like Braintree/Weymouth/Marshfield axis) could get hit very hard as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 21z rap has like 70 knots at 950mb (not 925mb) on the south shore. Some areas there are gonna get absolutely smoked. Basically 1000 feet off the deck. Pine hills right on the shore there in PYM are prob ground zero. But some of the exposed spots up toward BOS (like Braintree/Weymouth/Marshfield axis) could get hit very hard as well. Was just looking at PYM. Looks like strongest winds may be between about 1:00-3:00 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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