Potential Major Noreaster 10-26 through 10-27

[MVOyster]

11 minutes ago, amarshall said:

Logan landing was meh


.

I was picturing you shirtless and screaming like Connor MacGregor

[Sn0waddict]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Can Scooter hit 80?

Is that the highest it gets for CT?

[Modfan2]

7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Can Scooter hit 80?

Can you hit 70 with elevation?

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, Sn0waddict said:

Ryan’s opinion. Thought he would be a little more into this, but he knows a lot more than me so I trust him here. 

HFD to NHaven centric, basically ignores SE CT ECt in that tweet. Disappointing 

[Damage In Tolland]

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Can Scooter hit 80?

Lots of damage there about HFD east 

[Cyclone-68]

33 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

that year was worth losing winter..  having the june 1st tornado cross in front of me on 91 and then that storm.. my weenie dreams were filled lol

I need to get back to the Brimfield antique show so I can see the remaining damage from that tornado across the street in the woods 

[weathafella]

[weathafella]

You need to be in the heavy rain to facilitate mixing I think.

[Ginx snewx]

10 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Can you hit 70 with elevation?

Usually somewhat blocked by the 785 ft Hill to my NE fo r NE winds on Margaret Henry Rd in Sterling. Wish it was a daytime storm for 2 reasons, one being a weenie 2 being a homeowner. Want to keep an eye on things. Nothing worse than shit banging off the house and not knowing what it is. Also agree with Chris Legro that N winds will surprise with mixing. 

[MJOatleast7]

42 minutes ago, SJonesWX said:

yeah that worked out great in Oct 2011 

I had read something, years ago, that suggested that...anthropomorphizing as it may be, the atmosphere has to "learn" how to storm after long periods with no synoptic storms (e.g. summer). That once it had done it one time, something in the atmosphere had "learned" something and was primed to do it more easily the next time. Tip, any thoughts?

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

You need to be in the heavy rain to facilitate mixing I think.

Think the CAA is going to crush many 

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Usually somewhat blocked by the 785 ft Hill to my NE fo r NE winds on Margaret Henry Rd in Sterling. Wish it was a daytime storm for 2 reasons, one being a weenie 2 being a homeowner. Want to keep an eye on things. Nothing worse than shit banging off the house and not knowing what it is. Also agree with Chris Legro that N winds will surprise with mixing. 

Any thoughts this area to you gusts? Curious 

[weathafella]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Think the CAA is going to crush many 

Yeah that’s the inland route to big winds.

[powderfreak]

10 minutes ago, weathafella said:

You need to be in the heavy rain to facilitate mixing I think.

I thought rain was usually a stabilizing mechanism unless it was true convective rain?  Or is that what you mean?  I figured many times big wind is in the dry slots with better mixing.

[eyewall]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I thought rain was usually a stabilizing mechanism unless it was true convective rain?  Or is that what you mean?  I figured many times big wind is in the dry slots with better mixing.

Yeah I think it only works in more convective scenarios. Otherwise I have noticed when I lived in the Northeast, the big winds are when it was dry.

[CoastalWx]

Probably 35ish in gusts. Can hear it now. 

[CoastalWx]

Dead branch down. Call it in, Wiz.

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Yeah I think it only works in more convective scenarios. Otherwise I have noticed when I lived in the Northeast, the big winds are when it was dry.

But if you see very windy conditions right off the deck wouldn’t heavy rain have a better chance of mixing that down?

[MJOatleast7]

3 minutes ago, weathafella said:

But if you see very windy conditions right off the deck wouldn’t heavy rain have a better chance of mixing that down?

Simple momentum transfer from the falling rain would make one think so.

[powderfreak]

4 minutes ago, weathafella said:

But if you see very windy conditions right off the deck wouldn’t heavy rain have a better chance of mixing that down?

I thought it stabilizes through lowering lapse rates in precipitation?  Cool, moist saturated air?

I just know it seems that folks are usually like “wow rain stopped and wind started roaring”… I think there’s better mixing without rain cooled stabilizing boundary layer.

The real question is there an inversion present at all in the low levels?  If so I think rain stabilizes and strengthens the inversion.

[TalcottWx]

Just watched pieces of my neighbors roof fly off. A little early for that 

[Baroclinic Zone]

My anemometer tracking close to TAN thus far.  19mph peak vs 21mph at TAN.

[LSC97wxnut]

Breeze definitely starting to pick up.

[Damage In Tolland]

19 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I thought it stabilizes through lowering lapse rates in precipitation?  Cool, moist saturated air?

I just know it seems that folks are usually like “wow rain stopped and wind started roaring”… I think there’s better mixing without rain cooled stabilizing boundary layer.

The real question is there an inversion present at all in the low levels?  If so I think rain stabilizes and strengthens the inversion.

When it’s sunny 100% yes. During Isaias when we were all ripping 60-70 in CT the sun was out much of the time 

[Brian5671]

40 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

HFD to NHaven centric, basically ignores SE CT ECt in that tweet. Disappointing 

it's where the people live....

[TalcottWx]

Pretty impressed by deteriorating conditions. Windy

[kdxken]

50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Lots of damage there about HFD east 

Strange to see some people on Twitter act like this is a monster storm locally... when you pull up the model data and soundings it looks like a fairly run-of-the-mill nor'easter

[weathafella]

19 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I thought it stabilizes through lowering lapse rates in precipitation?  Cool, moist saturated air?

I just know it seems that folks are usually like “wow rain stopped and wind started roaring”… I think there’s better mixing without rain cooled stabilizing boundary layer.

The real question is there an inversion present at all in the low levels?  If so I think rain stabilizes and strengthens the inversion.

But from such a low elevation?  Regarding inversion-I think it exists in cyclonic flow situations and capped high pressure but then wouldn’t heavy rain tend to break it?

[Typhoon Tip]

32 minutes ago, MJOatleast7 said:

I had read something, years ago, that suggested that...anthropomorphizing as it may be, the atmosphere has to "learn" how to storm after long periods with no synoptic storms (e.g. summer). That once it had done it one time, something in the atmosphere had "learned" something and was primed to do it more easily the next time. Tip, any thoughts?

Unfortunately, I have never heard of any kind of retarding or action belated based upon lack of antecedence -   

My immediate impression is that is meaningless  - storms happen by restoring forces, no other constraining factors - if the breach between the two sides is opened, A --> B until A = B.  Period.

When synoptic imbalances set up, the action of restoring ( " --> " ) is the 'storm event' - but A and B are wholly physically identifiable para and discrete metrics.

Like hot over there...cold over here... through moisture in between - boom. There's no "rehearsal" or practice about it.  

I understand your fuzzy with memory..  I'd have to read whatever it is you're referring to render a very good opinion  -but just based upon what you've said ..heh.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, kdxken said:

Strange to see some people on Twitter act like this is a monster storm locally... when you pull up the model data and soundings it looks like a fairly run-of-the-mill nor'easter

Your rookies at BOX likely caught playing catch-up with pants down as damage reports come in overnight ORH west to HFD