weathafella Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Actually more E or ENE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 You can really see how this is likely to evolve just by observing the general synoptic layout and then balancing in the looping satellite. That best present perceived centric low pressure has coalesced SE of the Cape ... It appears on sat to be moving NNE, but ..there is a limit to how much longer that motion can persist. There is blocking NNE ..this thing has maybe 50 more naut mi before it's slammin' to a halt. It will at minimum stall when that happens, but may as well assume the advertised west motion toward the coast. The latter italicized is crucial in the amount of wind that pulses west along with it, then lingerings over night - if and when.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 3km NAM tracks this between the Cape and ACK .. might be the most zoinked run yet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 A recent check of reports from buoy 44011 (Georges Bank) and satellite animation suggests that retrograde center has formed around 40 nm southwest of that location or around 40.8 N 67.5 W and until last few obs the winds were gusting to 65-70 mph at that buoy, slight decrease past half hour and pressure check-rise probably means that strongest winds are now heading west. From both GFS and RGEM the track of this feature looks to be just to the south of ACK around 04-06z. Strongest winds to coast probably 03-05z, my guess peak winds at BOS around 65 mph, land areas of s.e. MA 75-80 mph. Will gradually back off to 45-55 and stay in that range for most of the overnight. U probly knew that but just putting it up as a thought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 No rain and barely any wind for the last half hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Wow NAM haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Wow NAM haha. I need snow got your phone? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 2 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: No rain and barely any wind for the last half hour. yeah...lull was expected before it picks back up again later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow NAM haha. The hi res is the stuff of weenie dreams 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Wow NAM haha. Euro/Eta combo there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Got in a 90 minute hike through Allendale Woods and to and from home. Winds are picking up in fits and starts but it’s becoming threatening. Happy to walk in a relative radar hole before it fills in and limbs start falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 26, 2021 Author Share Posted October 26, 2021 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I need snow got your phone? yes I do all charged up leaving for work in a hour or so probably wont get much done... weather.cod has 50kt gust on the 3k here but not sure how those maps are Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 coastal MA is going to get pummeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 One thing I noticed today is that it got Warmer than thought today with 60’s SE and even upper 50’s inland . When winds go N they’ll drop, but those higher temps may help the higher wind potential early on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Nice northern tick on NAM and high res. Winds starting to pick up from mid-day lull. Should be a fun night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 BDL could have a shot at 55-60 mph gusts. Pretty decent CAA signal as the night progresses. The core of the LLJ though is just east. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Should be a fun night in the Seaport tonight.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 5 hours ago, George001 said: I love to see these big rainstorms at this time. I don’t know how true this is but I have heard that when there are big nor’easters in the fall, often times that is a good sign for winter because we are establishing a favorable storm track, and those wind driven rainstorms now will be severe nor’easters with blizzard conditions at times in the winter. yeah that worked out great in Oct 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 minute ago, SJonesWX said: yeah that worked out great in Oct 2011 I feel like that's a misconception that's floated around b/c one fall we had big rainy Nor'easters and happened to get nailed that winter. Just like back in the day everyone thought weak La nina's meant big winter's here b/c of 95-96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 26, 2021 Author Share Posted October 26, 2021 Just now, SJonesWX said: yeah that worked out great in Oct 2011 that year was worth losing winter.. having the june 1st tornado cross in front of me on 91 and then that storm.. my weenie dreams were filled lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 1 minute ago, SJonesWX said: yeah that worked out great in Oct 2011 To be fair that was a one time bomb in a sea of warm and dry. It feels different this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 ISON3 and MDRM1 C-Man stations along the coast are already gusting above 40 kt. They should be cranking over 60 kt gusts by 03z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 We got the nice event last October with snow and I still had an above avg winter wrt snowfall. It is usually a joke about the Oct storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 26, 2021 Author Share Posted October 26, 2021 eric fisher just posted a satellite image and storms are really blowing up now and he thinks the stall has started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Logan landing was meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 51 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I'll ne shocked if I hit 50mph. Agree 100%. Interior SE Mass is kind of a pit for winds. I’d be pretty surprised if we say anything more than a few gusts approaching 50. I can’t wait to verify reality with all these weenie gust maps. My guess is there will be a lot of disappointment in those products (as there usually is). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Agree 100%. Interior SE Mass is kind of a pit for winds. I’d be pretty surprised if we say anything more than a few gusts approaching 50. I can’t wait to verify reality with all these weenie gust maps. My guess is there will be a lot of disappointment in those products (as there usually is). They usually find a station or a SM post with a rogue reading and lose their undies claiming to be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 33 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Euro/Eta combo there. Old EE rule in effect....take 'em up on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Can't wait for the high winds later on and tree branches crashing down. Stuff of dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 26, 2021 Share Posted October 26, 2021 Can Scooter hit 80? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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